All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 79.3199997 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 325 A Frontier Central (13- 6, 76.3) 8- 9 401 A Niagara Wheatfield ( 6-10, 72.4) 17- 5 403 A West Seneca West ( 6-10, 66.8) 18- 3 405 A Hilton (12- 5, 84.8) 7-13 407 A Starpoint ( 6-10, 67.1) 19- 3 410 H North Tonawanda ( 6- 8, 66.6) 25- 5 424 H Williamsville North ( 7-11, 70.2) 11- 4 426 H St Joseph Collegiate ( 9-10, 75.6) 12- 4 429 A Clarence (12- 4, 76.2) 9- 6 501 H Sweet Home ( 2-12, 62.3) 18- 3 503 H Penn Yan (21- 2, 84.8) 5-14 507 H Frontier Central (13- 6, 76.3) 8- 4 510 H St Francis ( 7-11, 74.0) 13- 7 513 H Niagara Wheatfield ( 6-10, 72.4) 23- 9 515 H Erie-McDowell ( 8-11, 67.4) 19- 1 516 A Salamanca/Randolph (12- 5, 73.8) 14- 7 520 H North Tonawanda ( 6- 8, 66.6) 19- 0 522 H Williamsville North ( 7-11, 70.2) 9- 5 530 N Frontier Central (13- 6, 76.3) 14- 9 607 N Canandaigua (19- 3, 88.4) 6-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Frontier Central 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.49 401 A Niagara Wheatfield 17- 5 12 6 0.64 403 A West Seneca West 18- 3 15 11 0.00 405 A Hilton 7-13 -6 -6 0.02 407 A Starpoint 19- 3 16 11 0.00 410 H North Tonawanda 25- 5 20 13 0.00 424 H Williamsville North 11- 4 7 9 0.00 426 H St Joseph Collegiate 12- 4 8 4 + 2.66 429 A Clarence 9- 6 3 2 0.42 501 H Sweet Home 18- 3 15 17 0.00 503 H Penn Yan 5-14 -9 -4 - -2.14 507 H Frontier Central 8- 4 4 3 0.37 510 H St Francis 13- 7 6 5 0.10 513 H Niagara Wheatfield 23- 9 14 7 0.00 515 H Erie-McDowell 19- 1 18 12 n/a 516 A Salamanca/Randolph 14- 7 7 4 + 2.05 520 H North Tonawanda 19- 0 19 13 0.00 522 H Williamsville North 9- 5 4 9 - -3.00 530 N Frontier Central 14- 9 5 3 1.94 607 N Canandaigua 6-15 -9 -9 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Frontier Central 8- 9 -1 2 - -3.49 503 H Penn Yan 5-14 -9 -4 - -2.14 522 H Williamsville North 9- 5 4 9 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 426 H St Joseph Collegiate 12- 4 8 4 + 2.66 516 A Salamanca/Randolph 14- 7 7 4 + 2.05
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 79.32 Power Rank................. 100 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 46.90 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 177 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6496 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 66 RPI Rating............... .6192 RPI Rank................... 36 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 250 Selection sum ........... 152 Selection Rank ............ 34 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -15. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 56 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -5. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 50 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 7.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.0