Loch Raven
W-L: ( 4-10) PR = 77.1519Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Pikesville ( 6- 6, 77.5) 9-10 324 A Mount Carmel ( 1-11, 71.3) 10- 0 326 A Patapsco ( 6- 7, 76.6) 9- 3 328 H Dundalk ( 9- 6, 80.3) 3-18 402 H Catonsville ( 6- 8, 88.7) 3-14 407 A Hereford (11- 5, 89.5) 1-12 408 A Park School ( 4- 7, 79.0) 2-13 423 H Perry Hall ( 7- 8, 78.8) 9-10 425 A Eastern Tech ( 9- 4, 81.6) 7-16 430 H Sparrows Point ( 9- 5, 85.0) 1-15 501 H Lansdowne ( 0- 9, 70.1) 10- 0 505 A Franklin ( 6- 7, 83.3) 5-15 507 H Reginald F Lewis ( 0- 9, 64.7) 16- 2 508 A Forest Park (12- 1, 82.0) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Pikesville 9-10 -1 -1 -0.16
324 A Mount Carmel 10- 0 10 5 0.00
326 A Patapsco 9- 3 6 0 ++ 4.91
328 H Dundalk 3-18 -15 -3 - -2.32
402 H Catonsville 3-14 -11 -11 0.00
407 A Hereford 1-12 -11 -13 0.00
408 A Park School 2-13 -11 -2 - -2.73
423 H Perry Hall 9-10 -1 -1 0.23
425 A Eastern Tech 7-16 -9 -5 -0.13
430 H Sparrows Point 1-15 -14 -7 0.00
501 H Lansdowne 10- 0 10 8 0.00
505 A Franklin 5-15 -10 -7 0.00
507 H Reginald F Lewis 16- 2 14 13 0.00
508 A Forest Park 6-13 -7 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 H Dundalk 3-18 -15 -3 - -2.32 408 A Park School 2-13 -11 -2 - -2.73 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Patapsco 9- 3 6 0 ++ 4.91 |
Loch Raven Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Bishop McNamara | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loch Raven | |
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Concordia Prep | |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Loch Raven | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | FCA LC | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | FCA LC | |
| Friends | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loch Raven | |
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Glenelg Country | |
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Gunston School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gunston School | |
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Indian Creek School | |
| Jemicy School | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loch Raven | |
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Key School | |
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Maret | Maret | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mount St Joseph | |
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Johns Catholic Pr | |
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | St Vincent Pallotti | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Vincent Pallotti | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Sts Peter & Paul | |
| Tome School | Tome School | Tome School | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Aberdeen | Aberdeen | ||
| Academy for College | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Baltimore Polytechni | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Loch Raven | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Loch Raven | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Loch Raven | |
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | City College | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | City College | |
| Clarksburg | Clarksburg | Clarksburg | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | CM Wright | |
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Dr Henry Wise | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Dunbar | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Loch Raven | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Edmondson-Westside | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Einstein | Einstein | Einstein | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | Eleanor Roosevelt | ||
| Elkton | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Loch Raven | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | Gaithersburg | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Gwynn Park | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Hammond | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Harford Tech | |
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Kennedy | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Kent County | Kent County | Kent County | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Loch Raven | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Loch Raven | |
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Lake Clifton | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Lansdowne | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Laurel | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Long Reach | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Mergenthaler | Loch Raven | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Middletown | Middletown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Middletown | |
| Milford Mill | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| MJ McDonough | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mount Hebron | |
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| North East Cecil | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| North Hagerstown | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | North Harford | |
| North Point | North Point | North Point | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Northwood | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Loch Raven | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Owings Mills | Loch Raven | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Loch Raven | |
| Oxon Hill | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Paint Branch | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Parkdale | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Loch Raven | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Loch Raven | |
| Patapsco | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Patterson HS | Loch Raven | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Loch Raven | |
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Perryville | Perryville | ||
| Pikesville | Pikesville | Pikesville | ||
| Poolesville | Poolesville | Poolesville | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Severn Run | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stephen Decatur | |
| Suitland | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Walt Whitman | |
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Western STES | Western STES | tied - ( 2- 4) ( 2- 4) | Western STES | |
| Westlake | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Westminster | |
| Wheaton | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Wicomico | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Loch Raven | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loch Raven | |
| Wootton | Wootton | Wootton | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| DC International PCS | Loch Raven | Loch Raven | ||
| Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 69
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Pikesville ( 6- 6, 77.5) 9-10 -22.35 13.24 0.45 0.87 -18.99
0 A Mount Carmel ( 1-11, 71.3) 10- 0 -28.56 7.04 0.45 0.87 6.49
0 A Patapsco ( 6- 7, 76.6) 9- 3 -23.28 12.31 0.45 0.87 11.06
0 H Dundalk ( 9- 6, 80.3) 3-18 -19.63 15.97 -0.45 0.87 -17.40
0 H Catonsville ( 6- 8, 88.7) 3-14 -11.18 24.42 -0.45 0.87 -10.08
0 A Hereford (11- 5, 89.5) 1-12 -10.43 25.16 0.45 0.87 -8.66
0 A Park School ( 4- 7, 79.0) 2-13 -20.92 14.67 0.45 0.87 -17.75
0 H Perry Hall ( 7- 8, 78.8) 9-10 -21.07 14.52 -0.45 0.87 -18.65
0 A Eastern Tech ( 9- 4, 81.6) 7-16 -18.32 17.27 0.45 0.87 -15.49
0 H Sparrows Point ( 9- 5, 85.0) 1-15 -14.86 20.73 -0.45 0.87 -13.27
0 H Lansdowne ( 0- 9, 70.1) 10- 0 -29.82 5.77 -0.45 0.87 4.62
0 A Franklin ( 6- 7, 83.3) 5-15 -16.56 19.03 0.45 0.87 -13.97
0 H Reginald F Lew ( 0- 9, 64.7) 16- 2 -35.15 1.00 -0.45 0.87 0.48
0 A Forest Park (12- 1, 82.0) 6-13 -17.87 17.73 0.45 0.87 -15.10
------
-126.71
|
winning pts = 22.6411 losing points = -149.3513
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------