Long Reach
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 78.3969Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Wilde Lake ( 5-10, 80.0) 3- 5 324 A Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 0-13 325 A Northeast AA (10- 4, 85.2) 1- 9 331 A Hammond ( 2-11, 74.5) 7- 4 401 H Severn Run ( 4-11, 76.9) 4- 2 409 H Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 7- 2 423 H Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 9- 1 425 H Oakland Mills ( 6- 7, 81.0) 3-10 428 H Howard (13- 4, 87.1) 0- 9 430 A Reservoir ( 7- 6, 83.3) 6-18 502 H Centennial ( 7- 7, 83.7) 4-17 507 A Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 0-23
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Wilde Lake 3- 5 -2 -2 0.08
324 A Winters Mill 0-13 -13 -4 -0.64
325 A Northeast AA 1- 9 -8 -7 0.00
331 A Hammond 7- 4 3 3 -0.44
401 H Severn Run 4- 2 2 2 0.08
409 H Atholton 7- 2 5 2 + 3.29
423 H Guilford Park 9- 1 8 4 0.71
425 H Oakland Mills 3-10 -7 -2 - -2.85
428 H Howard 0- 9 -9 -8 0.00
430 A Reservoir 6-18 -12 -5 0.00
502 H Centennial 4-17 -13 -5 -0.19
507 A Westminster 0-23 -23 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Oakland Mills 3-10 -7 -2 - -2.85 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Atholton 7- 2 5 2 + 3.29 |
Long Reach Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Long Reach | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | Georgetown Day | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | Indian Creek School | ||
| Jemicy School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Maret | Maret | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Park School | Park School | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St James | |
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | St Vincent Pallotti | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Vincent Pallotti | |
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Academy for College | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | Arundel | |
| Atholton | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Baltimore Polytechni | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bel Air | |
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Blair | Blair | Blair | ||
| Blake | Blake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Blake | |
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | Century 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| CH Flowers | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Clarksburg | Clarksburg | Clarksburg | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Damascus | |
| Digital Harbor | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Dulaney | |
| Dunbar | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Einstein | Einstein | Einstein | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Elkton | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fallston | |
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Francis Scott Key | |
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Long Reach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) | Glen Burnie | |
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS 5- 0 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Gwynn Park | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Hammond | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Harford Tech | Harford Tech | Harford Tech | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hereford | |
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Kennedy | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Kent County | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Lake Clifton | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Lansdowne | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Laurel | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Magruder | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Manchester Valley | |
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Meade | Long Reach | Long Reach 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Mergenthaler | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| MJ McDonough | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) | North County | |
| North Dorchester | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| North East Cecil | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| North Hagerstown | Long Reach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Northwood | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oakdale | |
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Old Mill | |
| Overlea | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Owings Mills | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Oxon Hill | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Paint Branch | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Parkdale | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Patapsco | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Patterson HS | Long Reach | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Patterson Mill | |
| Patuxent | Patuxent | Patuxent | ||
| Perry Hall | Perry Hall | Perry Hall | ||
| Perryville | Long Reach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Pikesville | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Poolesville | Long Reach | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Long Reach | |
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Severn Run | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sherwood | |
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Smithsburg | |
| South Carroll | South Carroll | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | South Carroll | |
| South Hagerstown | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| South River | South River | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South River | |
| Southern AA | Southern AA | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Southern AA | |
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Walkersville | |
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Western STES | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Westlake | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Wicomico | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Wootton | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| DC International PCS | Long Reach | Long Reach | ||
| Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed | Jackson Reed |
PowerWise = 84
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Wilde Lake ( 5-10, 80.0) 3- 5 -19.87 15.73 0.45 1.01 -19.64
0 A Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 0-13 -17.59 18.01 0.45 1.01 -17.33
0 A Northeast AA (10- 4, 85.2) 1- 9 -14.68 20.91 0.45 1.01 -14.40
0 A Hammond ( 2-11, 74.5) 7- 4 -25.39 10.20 0.45 1.01 10.77
0 H Severn Run ( 4-11, 76.9) 4- 2 -22.98 12.61 -0.45 1.01 12.31
0 H Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 7- 2 -22.77 12.82 -0.45 1.01 12.52
0 H Guilford Park ( 2-11, 74.6) 9- 1 -25.35 10.25 -0.45 1.01 9.91
0 H Oakland Mills ( 6- 7, 81.0) 3-10 -18.91 16.68 -0.45 1.01 -19.57
0 H Howard (13- 4, 87.1) 0- 9 -12.82 22.77 -0.45 1.01 -13.42
0 A Reservoir ( 7- 6, 83.3) 6-18 -16.61 18.98 0.45 1.01 -16.35
0 H Centennial ( 7- 7, 83.7) 4-17 -16.24 19.35 -0.45 1.01 -16.88
0 A Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 0-23 -14.01 21.58 0.45 1.01 -13.72
------
-85.81
|
winning pts = 45.4997 losing points = -131.3077
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------