Lapeer
W-L: ( 5-12) PR = 78.1544Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 322 A Fenton ( 9- 9, 80.6) 7- 6 327 A Swartz Creek ( 5-11, 78.7) 5- 3 408 A Bay City Western ( 6-12, 78.7) 4-11 410 A Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 1-18 411 H Waterford United ( 7-11, 82.5) 2-11 415 H Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 5-15 418 H White Lake Lakeland ( 7- 8, 82.6) 5-14 422 H Bay City Central (10- 6, 79.7) 5-11 424 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 10- 6 425 A White Lake Lakeland ( 7- 8, 82.6) 1- 5 429 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 3-24 501 H Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 82.9) 4-15 506 H Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 16- 6 508 H Oxford (13- 6, 87.0) 2-16 509 H Chippewa Valley ( 8- 7, 74.5) 16- 7 512 H Ortonville Brandon ( 4-11, 78.0) 11-12 516 A Saginaw Heritage (11- 7, 82.9) 2-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
322 A Fenton 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.92
327 A Swartz Creek 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.03
408 A Bay City Western 4-11 -7 -1 - -3.98
410 A Midland Dow 1-18 -17 -9 0.00
411 H Waterford United 2-11 -9 -4 -1.15
415 H Grand Blanc 5-15 -10 -9 0.00
418 H White Lake Lakeland 5-14 -9 -4 -1.04
422 H Bay City Central 5-11 -6 -1 - -3.94
424 A Davison 10- 6 4 1 + 3.07
425 A White Lake Lakeland 1- 5 -4 -5 0.95
429 A Flint Powers 3-24 -21 -5 -0.46
501 H Saginaw Heritage 4-15 -11 -4 -0.74
506 H Midland 16- 6 10 4 1.14
508 H Oxford 2-16 -14 -8 0.00
509 H Chippewa Valley 16- 7 9 4 0.86
512 H Ortonville Brandon 11-12 -1 1 -1.65
516 A Saginaw Heritage 2-15 -13 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 408 A Bay City Western 4-11 -7 -1 - -3.98 422 H Bay City Central 5-11 -6 -1 - -3.94 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 A Fenton 7- 6 1 -3 + 3.92 327 A Swartz Creek 5- 3 2 -1 + 3.03 424 A Davison 10- 6 4 1 + 3.07 |
Lapeer Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lapeer | |
| Anchor Bay | Anchor Bay | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Anchor Bay | |
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | ||
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | Ann Arbor Skyline | ||
| Bay City Central | Bay City Central | Bay City Central | ||
| Bay City John Glenn | Bay City John Glenn | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Bay City John Glenn | |
| Bay City Western | Bay City Western | Bay City Western | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | Bedford | ||
| Belleville | Belleville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Belleville | |
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Birmingham United | |
| Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | ||
| Bishop Foley | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lapeer | |
| Bloomfield Hills | Bloomfield Hills | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Bloomfield Hills | |
| Brighton | Brighton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brighton | |
| Brighton B | Brighton B | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Brighton B | |
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | Brother Rice | ||
| Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | ||
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Cadillac | Cadillac | Cadillac | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Canton | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Canton | |
| Cass Tech | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lapeer | |
| Chelsea | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lapeer | |
| Chippewa Valley | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Clarkston | Clarkston | Clarkston 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Coopersville | Coopersville | Coopersville | ||
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | Cranbrook | ||
| Dakota | Dakota | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Dakota | |
| Davison | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| De La Salle | De La Salle | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | De La Salle | |
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | DeWitt | |
| Dexter | Dexter | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Dexter | |
| Divine Child | Divine Child | Divine Child | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | ||
| East Kentwood | Lapeer | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lapeer | |
| East Lansing | East Lansing | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Lansing | |
| Farmington | Lapeer | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Lapeer | |
| Fenton | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Flint Powers | Flint Powers | Flint Powers | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | ||
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | ||
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Forest Hills Norther | |
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Goodrich/Lake Fenton | tied - ( 3- 5) ( 3- 5) | Goodrich/Lake Fenton | |
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | ||
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | Grand Haven | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | ||
| Grand Rapids Christi | Grand Rapids Christi | Grand Rapids Christi | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | Grandville | ||
| Grosse Ile | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lapeer | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Harper Creek | Harper Creek | Harper Creek | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | Hartland 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | ||
| Holland Christian | Holland Christian | Holland Christian | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | ||
| Holt | Holt | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Holt | |
| Howell | Howell | Howell 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jackson | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Jenison | Jenison | Jenison | ||
| Kalamazoo United | Kalamazoo United | Kalamazoo United | ||
| Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | ||
| L'Anse Creuse | Lapeer | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lapeer | |
| L'Anse Creuse North | L'Anse Creuse North | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | L'Anse Creuse North | |
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lake Shore | Lake Shore | Lake Shore | ||
| Lakeview | Lakeview | Lakeview | ||
| Lansing Catholic | Lansing Catholic | Lansing Catholic | ||
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Linden | Linden | Linden 6- 2 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Livonia United | Livonia United | Livonia United | ||
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | Mattawan | ||
| Midland | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Midland Dow | Midland Dow | Midland Dow | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Northview | Northview | ||
| Northville | Northville | Northville | ||
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Novi | Novi | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Novi | |
| Okemos | Okemos | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Okemos | |
| Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Ortonville Brandon | Ortonville Brandon | Ortonville Brandon | ||
| Oxford | Oxford | Oxford | ||
| Pennfield | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Petoskey | Petoskey | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Petoskey | |
| Pinckney | Lapeer | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lapeer | |
| Plymouth | Plymouth | Plymouth | ||
| Port Huron United | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Portage Central | Portage Central | Portage Central | ||
| Portage Northern | Portage Northern | Portage Northern | ||
| Reeths Puffer | Reeths Puffer | Reeths Puffer | ||
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Rochester HS | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rochester HS | |
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Rochester Stoney Cre | |
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Romeo | Romeo | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Romeo | |
| Royal Oak HS | Royal Oak HS | Royal Oak HS 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Royal Oak Shrine | Royal Oak Shrine | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Royal Oak Shrine | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salem | |
| Saline | Saline | Saline | ||
| Sault Area | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lapeer | |
| South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Spring Lake | |
| St Clair | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lapeer | |
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lapeer | |
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Swartz Creek | Lapeer | Lapeer | ||
| Tecumseh | Tecumseh | Tecumseh | ||
| Traverse City Centra | Traverse City Centra | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Traverse City Centra | |
| Traverse City West | Traverse City West | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Traverse City West | |
| Troy | Troy | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Troy | |
| Troy Athens | Troy Athens | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 1) | Troy Athens | |
| University Detroit J | University Detroit J | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | University Detroit J | |
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Utica Eisenhower | |
| Vicksburg | Vicksburg | Vicksburg | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | ||
| Waterford United | Waterford United | Waterford United | ||
| West Bloomfield | Lapeer | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 0- 6) | Lapeer | |
| White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | White Lake Lakeland | ||
| Zeeland | Zeeland | Zeeland |
PowerWise = 27
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Fenton ( 9- 9, 80.6) 7- 6 -19.32 12.99 0.50 0.94 12.74
0 A Swartz Creek ( 5-11, 78.7) 5- 3 -21.21 11.10 0.50 0.94 10.95
0 A Bay City Weste ( 6-12, 78.7) 4-11 -21.23 11.09 0.50 0.94 -19.58
0 A Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 1-18 -13.67 18.64 0.50 0.94 -12.45
0 H Waterford Unit ( 7-11, 82.5) 2-11 -17.40 14.91 -0.50 0.94 -16.91
0 H Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 5-15 -12.64 19.68 -0.50 0.94 -12.41
0 H White Lake Lak ( 7- 8, 82.6) 5-14 -17.29 15.02 -0.50 0.94 -16.81
0 H Bay City Centr (10- 6, 79.7) 5-11 -20.19 12.12 -0.50 0.94 -19.54
0 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 10- 6 -23.17 9.14 0.50 0.94 9.11
0 A White Lake Lak ( 7- 8, 82.6) 1- 5 -17.29 15.02 0.50 0.94 -15.87
0 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 3-24 -17.71 14.61 0.50 0.94 -16.26
0 H Saginaw Herita (11- 7, 82.9) 4-15 -16.99 15.32 -0.50 0.94 -16.52
0 H Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 16- 6 -25.11 7.20 -0.50 0.94 6.33
0 H Oxford (13- 6, 87.0) 2-16 -12.87 19.44 -0.50 0.94 -12.63
0 H Chippewa Valle ( 8- 7, 74.5) 16- 7 -25.39 6.93 -0.50 0.94 6.07
0 H Ortonville Bra ( 4-11, 78.0) 11-12 -21.90 10.41 -0.50 0.94 -21.16
0 A Saginaw Herita (11- 7, 82.9) 2-15 -16.99 15.32 0.50 0.94 -15.58
------
-150.49
|
winning pts = 45.2066 losing points = -195.6951
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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