Paul Laurence Dunbar
W-L: ( 7- 7) PR = 79.4071Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 A Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 1-28 312 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 10-13 318 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 5-16 322 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 17-13 325 H Shelby County ( 6-12, 76.1) 13- 9 328 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 73.5) 14- 2 331 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 7-18 402 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 14- 8 415 H Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 15- 9 417 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 4-19 425 A Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 5-14 428 H Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 18- 7 430 H Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 14- 3 509 N Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 6-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
307 A Woodford County 1-28 -27 -16 0.00
312 A Great Crossing 10-13 -3 1 - -3.69
318 H Lexington Christian 5-16 -11 -6 0.00
322 H Cooper 17-13 4 1 + 2.57
325 H Shelby County 13- 9 4 4 -0.06
328 A Walton-Verona 14- 2 12 5 0.00
331 H Lexington Catholic 7-18 -11 -7 0.00
402 H Tates Creek 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.00
415 H Collins 15- 9 6 2 + 3.26
417 A Ballard Louisville 4-19 -15 -8 0.00
425 A Lafayette 5-14 -9 -2 - -2.69
428 H Bryan Station 18- 7 11 7 0.00
430 H Scott County 14- 3 11 8 0.00
509 N Lafayette 6-15 -9 -2 - -3.44
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 312 A Great Crossing 10-13 -3 1 - -3.69 425 A Lafayette 5-14 -9 -2 - -2.69 509 N Lafayette 6-15 -9 -2 - -3.44 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 H Tates Creek 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.00 322 H Cooper 17-13 4 1 + 2.57 415 H Collins 15- 9 6 2 + 3.26 |
Paul Laurence Dunbar Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Anderson County | Anderson County | ||
| Atherton | Atherton | tied - ( 4- 1) ( 4- 1) | Atherton | |
| Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | Ballard Louisville | ||
| Bluegrass | Bluegrass | Bluegrass | ||
| Bowling Green | Bowling Green | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Bowling Green | |
| Bryan Station | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Central Hardin | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Christian Academy-Lo | Christian Academy-Lo | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Christian Academy-Lo | |
| Collins | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Cooper | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Covington Catholic | Covington Catholic | tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) | Covington Catholic | |
| DeSales | Paul Laurence Dunbar | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Paul Laurence Dunbar | |
| Dixie Heights | Dixie Heights | insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 7- 1) | Dixie Heights | |
| DuPont Manual | DuPont Manual | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | DuPont Manual | |
| Eastern | Eastern | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Eastern | |
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Great Crossing | Great Crossing | Great Crossing | ||
| Greenwood | Greenwood | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Greenwood | |
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay 6- 3 vs 4- 5 | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Lafayette | Lafayette | Lafayette | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | ||
| Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | Lexington Christian | ||
| Louisville Collegiat | Louisville Collegiat | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Louisville Collegiat | |
| Male | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| North Hardin | Paul Laurence Dunbar | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Paul Laurence Dunbar | |
| North Oldham | North Oldham | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | North Oldham | |
| Oldham County | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Owensboro | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Ryle | Ryle | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Ryle | |
| Sayre | Sayre | Sayre 6- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Scott County | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Shelby County | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| South Oldham | South Oldham | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | South Oldham | |
| South Warren | South Warren | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | South Warren | |
| St Henry | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | ||
| Tates Creek | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Walton-Verona | Paul Laurence Dunbar | Paul Laurence Dunbar | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County |
PowerWise = 14
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 1-28 -5.27 26.71 0.75 0.97 -4.40
0 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 10-13 -21.94 10.05 0.75 0.97 -20.61
0 H Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 5-16 -14.24 17.75 -0.75 0.97 -14.58
0 H Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 17-13 -21.17 10.81 -0.75 0.97 9.79
0 H Shelby County ( 6-12, 76.1) 13- 9 -23.80 8.19 -0.75 0.97 7.23
0 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 73.5) 14- 2 -26.40 5.58 0.75 0.97 6.16
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 7, 87.6) 7-18 -12.29 19.69 -0.75 0.97 -12.69
0 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 14- 8 -20.74 11.24 -0.75 0.97 10.21
0 H Collins ( 6- 9, 78.4) 15- 9 -21.48 10.50 -0.75 0.97 9.48
0 A Ballard Louisv (10- 6, 86.5) 4-19 -13.39 18.60 0.75 0.97 -12.29
0 A Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 5-14 -18.93 13.05 0.75 0.97 -17.69
0 H Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 18- 7 -26.81 5.18 -0.75 0.97 4.30
0 H Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 14- 3 -27.44 4.54 -0.75 0.97 3.69
0 N Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 6-15 -18.93 13.05 -0.00 0.97 -18.42
------
-49.81
|
winning pts = 50.8633 losing points = -100.6724
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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