List of boy Div 27 Paul Laurence Dunbar List of Team Values for Kentucky


      All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.



PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   302 H Madison County CoOp     9- 3       6    11          -1.00
   306 H Elizabethtown          11- 5       6     7          -1.00
   313 A Lexington Christian     2-19     -17   -14           0.00
   316 H Dixie Heights           8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.67
   320 H Woodford County         2-22     -20   -17           0.00
   326 H Lafayette               6- 5       1    -1    +      2.37
   413 A Shelby County           8- 3       5     4           0.52
   416 H Collins                 3-16     -13    -9           0.00
   420 A Cooper                  3-12      -9    -6          -0.03
   424 A DeSales                 9- 7       2     5    -     -3.49
   430 H Bluegrass              12- 6       6     3    +      2.39
   503 A Frederick Douglass      2-12     -10   -15           0.00
   508 H Shelby County          10- 2       8     6           0.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 A DeSales                 9- 7       2     5    -     -3.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Dixie Heights           8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.67
   326 H Lafayette               6- 5       1    -1    +      2.37
   430 H Bluegrass              12- 6       6     3    +      2.39



 RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Power Rating............. 55.64 Power Rank.................    33
 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 27.03 SOS (PR) Rank..............    37
 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4787 SOS (RPI) Rank.............    33
 RPI Rating............... .4434 RPI Rank...................    26
 Champ. Probability ......   0.0 Championship Rank .........    34
 Selection sum ...........    81 Selection Rank ............    26
 Qual Win (PR) Rating.....  -70. Qual Win (PR) Rank.........    23
 Qual Win (RPI) Rating....  -65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........    22
    
 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals .....   6.5 Ave Defensive Goals .......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.3