Loudoun County
W-L: (17- 4) PR = 90.4862
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
318 A Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 21- 6
321 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 20- 3
325 H Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 7- 8
402 H Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 17- 2
404 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 18- 1
407 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 8- 9
411 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 18- 8
422 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 13-12
429 A Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 6-11
502 H Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 21- 0
506 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 13- 6
508 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 15- 7
513 A Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 19- 5
515 H John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 21- 5
521 H John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 21- 0
523 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 8- 6
528 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 16- 3
602 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 11- 6
606 H Jefferson Forest (14- 3, 89.0) 15-11
610 H Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 12-11
614 N Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 7-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Dominion 21- 6 15 7 0.00
321 H Tuscarora 20- 3 17 15 0.00
325 H Battlefield 7- 8 -1 -1 0.17
402 H Loudoun Valley 17- 2 15 11 0.00
404 A Potomac Falls 18- 1 17 10 0.00
407 A Briar Woods 8- 9 -1 -1 0.35
411 A Lightridge 18- 8 10 5 0.03
422 H Stone Bridge 13-12 1 1 -0.36
429 A Independence 6-11 -5 -4 -1.04
502 H Park View 21- 0 21 26 0.00
506 A Woodgrove 13- 6 7 4 0.53
508 A Broad Run 15- 7 8 2 + 3.19
513 A Heritage Leesburg 19- 5 14 8 0.00
515 H John Champe 21- 5 16 10 0.00
521 H John Champe 21- 0 21 10 0.00
523 H Broad Run 8- 6 2 3 -1.02
528 H Dominion 16- 3 13 8 0.00
602 H Broad Run 11- 6 5 3 1.98
606 H Jefferson Forest 15-11 4 2 1.95
610 H Meridian 12-11 1 4 - -3.01
614 N Salem 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.71
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
610 H Meridian 12-11 1 4 - -3.01
614 N Salem 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.71
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
508 A Broad Run 15- 7 8 2 + 3.19
|
Loudoun County Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Albemarle |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Alexandria City |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Loudoun County |
Annandale |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Atlee |
Atlee |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) |
Atlee |
Battlefield |
Battlefield |
Battlefield |
 
| |
Bayside |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Benedictine |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Bishop Ireton |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Bishop OConnell |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Blacksburg |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Blue Ridge School |
Blue Ridge School |
|
 
| Blue Ridge School |
Brentsville |
Loudoun County |
|
Loudoun County   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
Briar Woods |
 
| |
Broad Run |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Brooke Point |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Cape Henry Collegiat |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Catholic HS |
Catholic HS |
|
 
| Catholic HS |
Cave Spring |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Centreville |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Chantilly |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Charlottesville |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Christchurch |
Christchurch |
|
 
| Christchurch |
Christiansburg |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Clover Hill |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Colgan |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Collegiate School |
Collegiate School |
|
 
| Collegiate School |
Colonial Forge |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Cosby |
Cosby |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Cosby |
Covenant School |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Cox |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Culpeper County |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Loudoun County |
Deep Run |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Dominion |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Douglas Freeman |
Douglas Freeman |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) |
Douglas Freeman |
Eastern View |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
EC Glass |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Edison |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Episcopal |
Episcopal |
|
 
| Episcopal |
Eukarya Christian |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Fairfax |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Falls Church |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Fauquier |
Loudoun County |
|
Loudoun County   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
First Colonial |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Fishburne Military A |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Flint Hill |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Fluvanna County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Forest Park |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Fork Union Military |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Franklin County |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Fredericksburg Acade |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Fredericksburg Chris |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Freedom South Ridin |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 6- 2) ( 6- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Freedom Woodbridge |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Gainesville |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Gar-field |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Glen Allen |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Goochland |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Grafton LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Grassfield LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Green Run |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Handley |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Hanover |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Hayfield |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Heritage Leesburg |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Herndon |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Hickory LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Hidden Valley |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Highland School |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Highland Springs |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Hylton |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Independence |
Independence |
Independence |
 
| |
James Monroe |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
James River |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Jamestown LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Jefferson Forest |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
John Champe |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Justice |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Kellam |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Kempsville |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Kettle Run |
Loudoun County |
|
Loudoun County   5- 0 vs 1- 4 |
|
Lafayette LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Lake Braddock |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Landstown |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Langley |
Langley |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Langley |
Lewis |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Loudoun County |
Liberty Bealeton |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Lightridge |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Lloyd C Bird |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Lord Botetourt |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Loudoun Valley |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Madison |
Madison |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) |
Madison |
Manchester |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Marshall |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Massaponax |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Matoaca |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Maury LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
McLean |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Mechanicsville |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Menchville LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Meridian |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Midlothian |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Mills Godwin |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Monacan |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Monticello |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Mount Vernon |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Mountain View |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Nansemond-Suffolk Ac |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
New Covenant School |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Academy |
|
 
| Norfolk Academy |
Norfolk Christian |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Norfolk Collegiate |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
North Cross School |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
North Stafford |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Northern VA Home Sch |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Oakton |
Oakton |
|
tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) |
Oakton |
Ocean Lakes |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Orange County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Osbourn |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Osbourn Park |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Park View |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Patrick Henry Ashla |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Patrick Henry Roano |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Patriot |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Loudoun County |
Paul VI |
Paul VI |
|
 
| Paul VI |
Potomac Falls |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Potomac School |
Potomac School |
|
 
| Potomac School |
Potomac-Dumfries |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Powhatan |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Princess Anne |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Riverbend |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Riverside |
Riverside |
|
Riverside   8- 0 vs 6- 2 |
|
Robinson |
Robinson |
|
 
| Robinson |
Rock Ridge |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Rockbridge County |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
Rockingham LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Salem |
Salem |
Salem |
 
| |
Salem Virginia Beach |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Seton School |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
South County |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
South Lakes |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
St Annes-Belfield |
St Annes-Belfield |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) |
St Annes-Belfield |
St Christophers |
St Christophers |
|
 
| St Christophers |
St John Paul the Gre |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
St Stephen-St Agnes |
|
 
| St Stephen-St Agnes |
Stafford |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Steward School |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Stone Bridge |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Strasburg LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Tabb LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Tallwood |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Tandem Friends |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Thomas Dale |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Thomas Jefferson |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Trinity Christian |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Trinity Episcopal |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Trinity Meadow View |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Tuscarora |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Unity Reed |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Veritas School |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Virginia Academy |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
Virginia Episcopal S |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Wakefield HS |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Wakefield School |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Washington-Liberty |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
West Potomac |
West Potomac |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
West Potomac |
West Springfield |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Western Albemarle |
Loudoun County |
|
Loudoun County   2- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Westfield |
Loudoun County |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Loudoun County |
William Byrd |
Loudoun County |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) |
Loudoun County |
William Fleming |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Woodberry Forest |
Woodberry Forest |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) |
Woodberry Forest |
Woodbridge |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Woodgrove |
Loudoun County |
Loudoun County |
 
| |
Woodson |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
York LC |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
Yorktown |
Loudoun County |
|
 
| Loudoun County |
PowerWise = 151

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 21- 6 -16.99 18.01 0.61 0.66 12.36
0 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 20- 3 -23.31 11.70 -0.61 0.66 7.36
0 H Battlefield (18- 4, 92.3) 7- 8 -7.63 27.37 -0.61 0.66 -5.47
0 H Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 17- 2 -19.64 15.36 -0.61 0.66 9.79
0 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 18- 1 -20.06 14.94 0.61 0.66 10.32
0 A Briar Woods (16- 6, 91.2) 8- 9 -8.67 26.33 0.61 0.66 -5.35
0 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 18- 8 -14.99 20.01 0.61 0.66 13.69
0 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 13-12 -10.16 24.84 -0.61 0.66 16.09
0 A Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 6-11 -6.07 28.94 0.61 0.66 -3.62
0 H Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 21- 0 -35.00 1.00 -0.61 0.66 0.26
0 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 13- 6 -14.49 20.51 0.61 0.66 14.02
0 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 15- 7 -11.83 23.17 0.61 0.66 15.79
0 A Heritage Lees ( 7-10, 82.2) 19- 5 -17.73 17.28 0.61 0.66 11.88
0 H John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 21- 5 -19.14 15.87 -0.61 0.66 10.13
0 H John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 21- 0 -19.14 15.87 -0.61 0.66 10.13
0 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 8- 6 -11.83 23.17 -0.61 0.66 14.98
0 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 16- 3 -16.99 18.01 -0.61 0.66 11.55
0 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 11- 6 -11.83 23.17 -0.61 0.66 14.98
0 H Jefferson Fore (14- 3, 89.0) 15-11 -10.85 24.15 -0.61 0.66 15.63
0 H Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 12-11 -12.81 22.19 -0.61 0.66 14.33
0 N Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 7-11 -8.12 26.88 -0.00 0.66 -5.39
------
183.46
|
winning pts = 203.3010 losing points = -19.8387
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------