Lake Orion
W-L: (15- 6) PR = 89.5172Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 401 A Anchor Bay ( 5-12, 80.6) 15- 3 404 A Divine Child (15- 7, 87.6) 9-10 408 H Oxford (13- 6, 87.0) 11- 8 410 A Birmingham United (13- 6, 89.5) 10-11 412 H University Detroit J ( 2-12, 82.3) 15- 0 415 A Rochester HS ( 6-10, 81.5) 17- 1 417 A Rochester Adams ( 9- 8, 86.5) 17- 7 419 H South Lyon Unified (14- 5, 88.6) 9- 8 424 H Bloomfield Hills ( 6-11, 82.5) 13- 5 426 H Brighton (15- 5, 92.4) 8-14 428 A Romeo (14- 7, 87.7) 8- 6 501 A Rochester Stoney Cre (10- 9, 86.2) 10- 7 503 A Grand Rapids Catholi ( 4-14, 85.5) 14- 3 505 H Clarkston (12- 3, 91.1) 9-18 508 A Notre Dame Prep ( 7-10, 85.2) 14- 8 509 A Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 11- 6 512 A Cranbrook (11- 8, 89.6) 6- 8 514 H Brother Rice Orange ( 3- 2, 86.8) 13- 8 522 H Anchor Bay ( 5-12, 80.6) 19- 1 528 H Dakota (13- 7, 85.4) 9- 4 530 A Detroit Catholic Cen (15- 1, 99.9) 7-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
401 A Anchor Bay 15- 3 12 8 0.00
404 A Divine Child 9-10 -1 1 - -2.46
408 H Oxford 11- 8 3 3 0.02
410 A Birmingham United 10-11 -1 0 -0.52
412 H University Detroit J 15- 0 15 8 0.00
415 A Rochester HS 17- 1 16 7 0.00
417 A Rochester Adams 17- 7 10 2 + 2.50
419 H South Lyon Unified 9- 8 1 1 -0.46
424 H Bloomfield Hills 13- 5 8 7 0.00
426 H Brighton 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.65
428 A Romeo 8- 6 2 1 0.68
501 A Rochester Stoney Cre 10- 7 3 3 0.23
503 A Grand Rapids Catholi 14- 3 11 4 1.50
505 H Clarkston 9-18 -9 -1 - -3.95
508 A Notre Dame Prep 14- 8 6 4 1.22
509 A Grand Blanc 11- 6 5 2 + 3.24
512 A Cranbrook 6- 8 -2 -1 -1.44
514 H Brother Rice Orange 13- 8 5 3 1.76
522 H Anchor Bay 19- 1 18 9 0.00
528 H Dakota 9- 4 5 5 0.35
530 A Detroit Catholic Cen 7-18 -11 -11 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 404 A Divine Child 9-10 -1 1 - -2.46 426 H Brighton 8-14 -6 -2 - -2.65 505 H Clarkston 9-18 -9 -1 - -3.95 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 417 A Rochester Adams 17- 7 10 2 + 2.50 509 A Grand Blanc 11- 6 5 2 + 3.24 |
Lake Orion Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Anchor Bay | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Lake Orion | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Ann Arbor Huron | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Lake Orion | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Bay City Central | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Bay City John Glenn | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Bay City Western | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Bedford | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Belleville | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | Birmingham United | ||
| Birmingham United B | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Bishop Foley | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Bloomfield Hills | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Brighton | Brighton | Brighton | ||
| Brighton B | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | Brother Rice 4- 1 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Brother Rice Orange | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Byron Center | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Cadillac | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Cass Tech | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Chelsea | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Clarkston | Clarkston | Clarkston | ||
| Coopersville | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | Cranbrook | ||
| Dakota | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Davison | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| De La Salle | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 5- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | ||
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day 8- 1 vs 5- 3 | ||
| DeWitt | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Dexter | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Divine Child | Divine Child | Divine Child | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| East Kentwood | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| East Lansing | Lake Orion | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Farmington | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Fenton | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Flint Powers | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 3) | Lake Orion | |
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Forest Hills Eastern | |
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest Hills Norther | |
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Grand Blanc | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grand Haven | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grand Ledge | |
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grand Rapids Christi | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grandville | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Grosse Ile | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Grosse Pointe South | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 7- 0 vs 4- 3 | ||
| Harper Creek | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Hartland | Hartland | Hartland 4- 1 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Henry Ford II | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Holland Christian | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Holt | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Howell | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Hudsonville | |
| Jackson | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Jenison | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Kalamazoo United | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Kenowa Hills | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| L'Anse Creuse | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| L'Anse Creuse North | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Lake Shore | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Lakeview | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Lansing Catholic | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Lapeer | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Linden | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Livonia United | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Lake Orion | |
| Lowell | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Mattawan | Mattawan | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Midland | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Midland Dow | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Mona Shores | |
| Northview | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Northville | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) | Lake Orion | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Novi | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Okemos | Lake Orion | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Lake Orion | |
| Orchard Lake St Mary | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 4) | Lake Orion | |
| Ortonville Brandon | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Oxford | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Pennfield | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Petoskey | Lake Orion | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Pinckney | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Plymouth | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Port Huron United | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Portage Central | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Portage Northern | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Reeths Puffer | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Rochester Adams | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Rochester HS | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 1) | Rockford | |
| Romeo | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Royal Oak HS | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Royal Oak Shrine | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Saginaw Heritage | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Salem | Lake Orion | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Saline | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Sault Area | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| South Lyon Unified | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Spring Lake | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| St Clair | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Swartz Creek | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Tecumseh | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Traverse City Centra | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Traverse City West | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Troy | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 6- 0 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Troy Athens | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| University Detroit J | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| University Liggett | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Utica Eisenhower | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Vicksburg | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Lake Orion | |
| Walled Lake Western | Lake Orion | Lake Orion | ||
| Waterford United | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| West Bloomfield | Lake Orion | Lake Orion 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Lake Orion | |
| Zeeland | Lake Orion | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Lake Orion |
PowerWise = 115
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Anchor Bay ( 5-12, 80.6) 15- 3 -19.34 12.97 0.50 0.76 10.30
0 A Divine Child (15- 7, 87.6) 9-10 -12.34 19.97 0.50 0.76 -9.05
0 H Oxford (13- 6, 87.0) 11- 8 -12.87 19.44 -0.50 0.76 14.49
0 A Birmingham Uni (13- 6, 89.5) 10-11 -10.40 21.91 0.50 0.76 -7.57
0 H University Det ( 2-12, 82.3) 15- 0 -17.61 14.70 -0.50 0.76 10.86
0 A Rochester HS ( 6-10, 81.5) 17- 1 -18.37 13.94 0.50 0.76 11.04
0 A Rochester Adam ( 9- 8, 86.5) 17- 7 -13.38 18.94 0.50 0.76 14.86
0 H South Lyon Uni (14- 5, 88.6) 9- 8 -11.34 20.97 -0.50 0.76 15.66
0 H Bloomfield Hil ( 6-11, 82.5) 13- 5 -17.38 14.93 -0.50 0.76 11.04
0 H Brighton (15- 5, 92.4) 8-14 -7.53 24.78 -0.50 0.76 -6.14
0 A Romeo (14- 7, 87.7) 8- 6 -12.20 20.11 0.50 0.76 15.76
0 A Rochester Ston (10- 9, 86.2) 10- 7 -13.65 18.66 0.50 0.76 14.65
0 A Grand Rapids C ( 4-14, 85.5) 14- 3 -14.38 17.93 0.50 0.76 14.09
0 H Clarkston (12- 3, 91.1) 9-18 -8.84 23.48 -0.50 0.76 -7.14
0 A Notre Dame Pre ( 7-10, 85.2) 14- 8 -14.66 17.65 0.50 0.76 13.88
0 A Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 11- 6 -12.64 19.68 0.50 0.76 15.43
0 A Cranbrook (11- 8, 89.6) 6- 8 -10.32 21.99 0.50 0.76 -7.51
0 H Brother Rice O ( 3- 2, 86.8) 13- 8 -13.13 19.18 -0.50 0.76 14.29
0 H Anchor Bay ( 5-12, 80.6) 19- 1 -19.34 12.97 -0.50 0.76 9.54
0 H Dakota (13- 7, 85.4) 9- 4 -14.54 17.77 -0.50 0.76 13.21
0 A Detroit Cathol (15- 1, 99.9) 7-18 -0.00 32.31 0.50 0.76 -0.38
------
161.29
|
winning pts = 199.0891 losing points = -37.8012
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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