---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:11 PDT

safe3step boys Logan 1
  
Logan                 
W-L: ( 2-17) PR = 83.4330

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 303 A American Fork ( 4-15, 85.2) 7- 9 306 H Northridge (12- 6, 92.7) 4-23 310 H Roy ( 4-14, 84.5) 7- 6 314 H Bonneville ( 1-17, 79.2) 11- 4 317 H Waterford (12- 3, 89.6) 6-19 319 H Bear River (15- 5, 91.1) 2- 7 321 A Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 6-11 326 A Ridgeline ( 6-13, 87.1) 4- 9 328 H West Field (16- 4, 93.9) 5-14 409 A Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 4-15 411 H Mountain Crest (11- 9, 88.1) 7-16 418 A Bear River (15- 5, 91.1) 0-16 422 H Green Canyon (10-10, 89.0) 4-15 425 H Ridgeline ( 6-13, 87.1) 1-12 430 A West Field (16- 4, 93.9) 5-19 502 A Sky View (13- 7, 90.9) 7-20 507 A Mountain Crest (11- 9, 88.1) 4-14 509 H Clearfield ( 8-11, 85.0) 10-14 513 A Mountain Crest (11- 9, 88.1) 8-12

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A American Fork           7- 9      -2    -2           0.31
   306 H Northridge              4-23     -19    -9           0.00
   310 H Roy                     7- 6       1    -1           1.54
   314 H Bonneville             11- 4       7     5           0.19
   317 H Waterford               6-19     -13    -6           0.00
   319 H Bear River              2- 7      -5    -7           0.00
   321 A Green Canyon            6-11      -5    -6           0.00
   326 A Ridgeline               4- 9      -5    -4          -0.84
   328 H West Field              5-14      -9   -10           0.00
   409 A Sky View                4-15     -11    -8           0.00
   411 H Mountain Crest          7-16      -9    -4          -0.82
   418 A Bear River              0-16     -16    -8           0.00
   422 H Green Canyon            4-15     -11    -5           0.00
   425 H Ridgeline               1-12     -11    -3          -1.89
   430 A West Field              5-19     -14   -11           0.00
   502 A Sky View                7-20     -13    -8           0.00
   507 A Mountain Crest          4-14     -10    -5           0.00
   509 H Clearfield             10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.96
   513 A Mountain Crest          8-12      -4    -5           1.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 H Clearfield             10-14      -4    -1    -     -2.96

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*

Logan Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alta Alta   Alta
American Fork American Fork American Fork  
Bear River Bear River Bear River  
Bingham Bingham insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Bingham
Bonneville Logan Logan  
Bountiful Bountiful insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Bountiful
Box Elder Box Elder Box Elder   4- 2 vs 2- 4
Brighton Brighton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Brighton
Canyon View Logan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Logan
Cedar Logan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Logan
Cedar Valley Cedar Valley insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Cedar Valley
Clearfield Clearfield Clearfield  
Copper Hills Copper Hills   Copper Hills
Corner Canyon Corner Canyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Corner Canyon
Crimson Cliffs Logan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Logan
Davis Davis Davis   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Desert Hills Logan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Logan
Dixie Logan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Logan
East East tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East
Farmington Farmington insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Farmington
Fremont Fremont Fremont   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Green Canyon Green Canyon Green Canyon  
Herriman Herriman insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Herriman
Highland Highland insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Highland
Hillcrest Logan insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 0- 5) Logan
Hurricane Logan tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Logan
Jordan Logan tied - ( 0- 4) ( 0- 4) Logan
Juan Diego Catholic Juan Diego Catholic Juan Diego Catholic   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho Judge Memorial Catho   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Layton Logan insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Logan
Lehi Lehi insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lehi
Lone Peak Lone Peak insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lone Peak
Maple Mountain Maple Mountain insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Maple Mountain
Mountain Crest Mountain Crest Mountain Crest  
Mountain Ridge Mountain Ridge insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Mountain Ridge
Mountain View Logan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Logan
Northridge Northridge Northridge  
Olympus Olympus Olympus   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Orem Logan tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Logan
Park City Park City insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Park City
Payson Payson Payson   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Pine View Logan   Logan
Pleasant Grove Pleasant Grove tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Pleasant Grove
Provo Logan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Logan
Ridgeline Ridgeline Ridgeline  
Riverton Riverton Riverton   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Roy Logan Logan  
Salem Hills Salem Hills   Salem Hills
Sky View Sky View Sky View  
Skyline Skyline insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Skyline
Skyridge Skyridge Skyridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Snow Canyon Snow Canyon insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Snow Canyon
Spanish Fork Spanish Fork Spanish Fork   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Springville Springville insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Springville
Syracuse Syracuse tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Syracuse
Timpanogos Timpanogos tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Timpanogos
Timpview Timpview tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Timpview
Viewmont Viewmont insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) Viewmont
Wasatch Wasatch tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Wasatch
Waterford Waterford Waterford  
Weber Weber Weber   2- 0 vs 0- 2
West Logan   Logan
West Field West Field West Field  
West Jordan Logan   Logan
Westlake Westlake insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Westlake
Woods Cross Woods Cross Woods Cross   4- 1 vs 2- 3

PowerWise = 17


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 18.63

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A American Fork   ( 4-15, 85.2)     7- 9      -14.68      14.83       0.53         0.98           -13.87
   0 H Northridge      (12- 6, 92.7)     4-23       -7.16      22.35      -0.53         0.98            -7.54
   0 H Roy             ( 4-14, 84.5)     7- 6      -15.41      14.10      -0.53         0.98            13.31
   0 H Bonneville      ( 1-17, 79.2)    11- 4      -20.75       8.76      -0.53         0.98             8.08
   0 H Waterford       (12- 3, 89.6)     6-19      -10.32      19.20      -0.53         0.98           -10.63
   0 H Bear River      (15- 5, 91.1)     2- 7       -8.81      20.70      -0.53         0.98            -9.15
   0 A Green Canyon    (10-10, 89.0)     6-11      -10.88      18.63       0.53         0.98           -10.15
   0 A Ridgeline       ( 6-13, 87.1)     4- 9      -12.83      16.68       0.53         0.98           -12.07
   0 H West Field      (16- 4, 93.9)     5-14       -6.00      23.51      -0.53         0.98            -6.40
   0 A Sky View        (13- 7, 90.9)     4-15       -9.03      20.48       0.53         0.98            -8.34
   0 H Mountain Crest  (11- 9, 88.1)     7-16      -11.76      17.75      -0.53         0.98           -12.05
   0 A Bear River      (15- 5, 91.1)     0-16       -8.81      20.70       0.53         0.98            -8.12
   0 H Green Canyon    (10-10, 89.0)     4-15      -10.88      18.63      -0.53         0.98           -11.18
   0 H Ridgeline       ( 6-13, 87.1)     1-12      -12.83      16.68      -0.53         0.98           -13.10
   0 A West Field      (16- 4, 93.9)     5-19       -6.00      23.51       0.53         0.98            -5.37
   0 A Sky View        (13- 7, 90.9)     7-20       -9.03      20.48       0.53         0.98            -8.34
   0 A Mountain Crest  (11- 9, 88.1)     4-14      -11.76      17.75       0.53         0.98           -11.02
   0 H Clearfield      ( 8-11, 85.0)    10-14      -14.90      14.61      -0.53         0.98           -15.12
   0 A Mountain Crest  (11- 9, 88.1)     8-12      -11.76      17.75       0.53         0.98           -11.02
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -152.07

winning pts = 21.3881 losing points = -173.4555

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------