All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 66.7699966 home-field advantage = -0.69 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 319 H Midland ( 0-15, 56.9) 16- 3 326 H Midland Dow (14- 5, 73.8) 4-14 408 A Swartz Creek ( 5-11, 62.9) 9- 6 411 H Troy (11- 5, 71.4) 1-10 415 H Fenton ( 9- 9, 66.1) 8- 9 417 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 64.9) 17-13 422 A Ortonville Brandon ( 4-11, 62.0) 10- 8 424 A Waterford United ( 7-11, 69.2) 12- 6 425 H Swartz Creek ( 5-11, 62.9) 7- 2 428 A Bay City Western ( 6-12, 63.5) 9- 5 430 H Bay City John Glenn ( 6- 8, 62.8) 8- 1 502 A Fenton ( 9- 9, 66.1) 9- 7 506 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton ( 6- 8, 64.9) 14-15 508 H Ortonville Brandon ( 4-11, 62.0) 8-12 512 A Davison ( 4-12, 59.7) 14- 1 513 H East Lansing (10- 6, 73.4) 4-11 515 A Ann Arbor Skyline ( 5-12, 66.8) 13- 8 521 A East Grand Rapids (20- 3, 90.0) 1-19
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H Midland 16- 3 13 10 0.00 326 H Midland Dow 4-14 -10 -6 -0.68 408 A Swartz Creek 9- 6 3 3 -0.18 411 H Troy 1-10 -9 -3 - -3.05 415 H Fenton 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.40 417 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton 17-13 4 1 + 2.79 422 A Ortonville Brandon 10- 8 2 4 - -2.13 424 A Waterford United 12- 6 6 -3 +++ 9.09 425 H Swartz Creek 7- 2 5 4 0.44 428 A Bay City Western 9- 5 4 2 1.39 430 H Bay City John Glenn 8- 1 7 4 + 2.38 502 A Fenton 9- 7 2 0 1.98 506 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton 14-15 -1 2 - -3.59 508 H Ortonville Brandon 8-12 -4 5 --- -9.51 512 A Davison 14- 1 13 6 0.62 513 H East Lansing 4-11 -7 -5 -1.07 515 A Ann Arbor Skyline 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.75 521 A East Grand Rapids 1-19 -18 -23 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H Ortonville Brandon 8-12 -4 5 --- -9.51 411 H Troy 1-10 -9 -3 - -3.05 415 H Fenton 8- 9 -1 1 - -2.40 422 A Ortonville Brandon 10- 8 2 4 - -2.13 506 H Goodrich/Lake Fenton 14-15 -1 2 - -3.59OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Waterford United 12- 6 6 -3 +++ 9.09 515 A Ann Arbor Skyline 13- 8 5 0 ++ 5.75 417 A Goodrich/Lake Fenton 17-13 4 1 + 2.79 430 H Bay City John Glenn 8- 1 7 4 + 2.38
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 66.77 Power Rank................. 90 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 37.02 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 105 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5249 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 97 RPI Rating............... .4817 RPI Rank................... 70 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 83 Selection sum ........... 228 Selection Rank ............ 76 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -100. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 61 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -100. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 61 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 9.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -18.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -18.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -18.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -6.7