All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 70.6900024 home-field advantage = -0.30 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Lampeter-Strasburg (18- 5, 82.4) 1-16 320 H Muhlenberg ( 2-12, 65.9) 12- 5 324 A Warwick (10- 8, 74.5) 3- 2 326 A Conrad Weiser ( 5-12, 70.2) 7- 3 328 H Garden Spot ( 8- 9, 74.7) 7- 6 403 A Lancaster CDS ( 7-11, 72.8) 4- 9 407 A Cocalico (12- 7, 80.3) 1-16 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg (18- 5, 82.4) 1-11 412 H Cedar Crest ( 4-12, 74.4) 5-11 415 A Mechanicsburg (14- 6, 76.6) 2-11 417 H Warwick (10- 8, 74.5) 6- 8 422 H Lancaster CDS ( 7-11, 72.8) 6- 8 425 H Bishop McDevitt ( 6-11, 68.3) 5- 6 426 H Ephrata (12- 7, 79.1) 6-12 428 A Spring Grove (10- 8, 74.8) 5-14 430 A Garden Spot ( 8- 9, 74.7) 3-13 505 H Cocalico (12- 7, 80.3) 3-12 508 H Kennard-Dale ( 4-13, 70.1) 7- 4
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A Lampeter-Strasburg 1-16 -15 -12 0.00 320 H Muhlenberg 12- 5 7 5 1.89 324 A Warwick 3- 2 1 -4 ++ 5.12 326 A Conrad Weiser 7- 3 4 0 + 3.85 328 H Garden Spot 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.74 403 A Lancaster CDS 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.59 407 A Cocalico 1-16 -15 -9 0.00 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg 1-11 -10 -11 0.00 412 H Cedar Crest 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.56 415 A Mechanicsburg 2-11 -9 -6 -0.78 417 H Warwick 6- 8 -2 -3 1.52 422 H Lancaster CDS 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.19 425 H Bishop McDevitt 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.71 426 H Ephrata 6-12 -6 -8 1.00 428 A Spring Grove 5-14 -9 -4 - -2.63 430 A Garden Spot 3-13 -10 -4 - -2.66 505 H Cocalico 3-12 -9 -9 0.00 508 H Kennard-Dale 7- 4 3 0 + 2.14UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Lancaster CDS 4- 9 -5 -2 - -2.59 412 H Cedar Crest 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.56 425 H Bishop McDevitt 5- 6 -1 2 - -3.71 428 A Spring Grove 5-14 -9 -4 - -2.63 430 A Garden Spot 3-13 -10 -4 - -2.66OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Warwick 3- 2 1 -4 ++ 5.12 328 H Garden Spot 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.74 326 A Conrad Weiser 7- 3 4 0 + 3.85 508 H Kennard-Dale 7- 4 3 0 + 2.14
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 70.69 Power Rank................. 142 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 48.96 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 103 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5813 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 103 RPI Rating............... .4254 RPI Rank................... 157 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 184 Selection sum ........... 458 Selection Rank ............ 157 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -300. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 206 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -280. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 198 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 4.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 5-13 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -5.3