Elizabethtown
W-L: ( 5-13) PR = 80.4495Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Lampeter-Strasburg (18- 5, 88.5) 1-16 320 H Muhlenberg ( 2-12, 76.7) 12- 5 324 A Warwick (10- 8, 83.4) 3- 2 326 A Conrad Weiser ( 5-12, 79.0) 7- 3 328 H Garden Spot ( 8- 9, 83.7) 7- 6 403 A Lancaster CDS ( 7-11, 81.7) 4- 9 407 A Cocalico (12- 7, 87.1) 1-16 411 H Lampeter-Strasburg (18- 5, 88.5) 1-11 412 H Cedar Crest ( 4-12, 83.3) 5-11 415 A Mechanicsburg (14- 6, 84.8) 2-11 417 H Warwick (10- 8, 83.4) 6- 8 422 H Lancaster CDS ( 7-11, 81.7) 6- 8 425 H Bishop McDevitt ( 6-11, 78.7) 5- 6 426 H Ephrata (12- 7, 86.9) 6-12 428 A Spring Grove (10- 8, 83.1) 5-14 430 A Garden Spot ( 8- 9, 83.7) 3-13 505 H Cocalico (12- 7, 87.1) 3-12 508 H Kennard-Dale ( 4-13, 78.9) 7- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Lampeter-Strasburg 1-16 -15 -8 0.00
320 H Muhlenberg 12- 5 7 4 1.03
324 A Warwick 3- 2 1 -3 ++ 4.15
326 A Conrad Weiser 7- 3 4 1 + 2.79
328 H Garden Spot 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.07
403 A Lancaster CDS 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.55
407 A Cocalico 1-16 -15 -7 0.00
411 H Lampeter-Strasburg 1-11 -10 -8 0.00
412 H Cedar Crest 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.36
415 A Mechanicsburg 2-11 -9 -5 -0.44
417 H Warwick 6- 8 -2 -3 0.74
422 H Lancaster CDS 6- 8 -2 -1 -0.96
425 H Bishop McDevitt 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.99
426 H Ephrata 6-12 -6 -6 0.00
428 A Spring Grove 5-14 -9 -3 - -2.18
430 A Garden Spot 3-13 -10 -3 -1.52
505 H Cocalico 3-12 -9 -6 0.00
508 H Kennard-Dale 7- 4 3 2 1.29
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Lancaster CDS 4- 9 -5 -1 - -3.55 412 H Cedar Crest 5-11 -6 -3 - -2.36 425 H Bishop McDevitt 5- 6 -1 2 - -2.99 428 A Spring Grove 5-14 -9 -3 - -2.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Warwick 3- 2 1 -3 ++ 4.15 328 H Garden Spot 7- 6 1 -3 ++ 4.07 326 A Conrad Weiser 7- 3 4 1 + 2.79 |
Elizabethtown Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abington | Abington | Abington | ||
| Academy New Church | Academy New Church | Academy New Church | ||
| AIM Academy | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Allentown Central Ca | Allentown Central Ca | Allentown Central Ca | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Archbishop Ryan | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Archbishop Wood | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Avon Grove | Avon Grove | Avon Grove | ||
| Avon Grove Charter | Avon Grove Charter | Avon Grove Charter | ||
| Bayard Rustin | Bayard Rustin | Bayard Rustin | ||
| Bethlehem Catholic | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Bishop Shanahan | Bishop Shanahan | Bishop Shanahan | ||
| BL Charter | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Bonner-Prendergast | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Boyertown | Boyertown | Boyertown | ||
| Cardinal OHara | Cardinal OHara | Cardinal OHara | ||
| Central Bucks East | Central Bucks East | Central Bucks East | ||
| Central Bucks South | Central Bucks South | Central Bucks South | ||
| Central Bucks West | Central Bucks West | Central Bucks West | ||
| Central Philadelphia | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Cheltenham | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Church Farm School | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Coatesville | Coatesville | Coatesville | ||
| Conestoga | Conestoga | Conestoga | ||
| Conwell Egan | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Council Rock North | Council Rock North | Council Rock North | ||
| Council Rock South | Council Rock South | Council Rock South | ||
| Delaware Valley Frie | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Devon Prep | Devon Prep | Devon Prep | ||
| Downingtown East | Downingtown East | Downingtown East | ||
| Downingtown West | Downingtown West | Downingtown West | ||
| Easton Area | Easton Area | Easton Area | ||
| Emmaus | Emmaus | Emmaus | ||
| Episcopal Academy | Episcopal Academy | Episcopal Academy | ||
| Father Judge | Father Judge | Father Judge | ||
| Frankford | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Freedom Bethlehem | Freedom Bethlehem | Freedom Bethlehem | ||
| Garnet Valley | Garnet Valley | Garnet Valley | ||
| George School | George School | George School | ||
| George Washington | George Washington | George Washington | ||
| Germantown Academy | Germantown Academy | Germantown Academy | ||
| Great Valley | Great Valley | Great Valley | ||
| Harriton | Harriton | Harriton | ||
| Hatboro-Horsham | Hatboro-Horsham | Hatboro-Horsham | ||
| Haverford HS | Haverford HS | Haverford HS | ||
| Haverford School | Haverford School | Haverford School | ||
| Hill School | Hill School | Hill School | ||
| Holy Ghost Prep | Holy Ghost Prep | Holy Ghost Prep | ||
| Interboro | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Jack Barrack Academy | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Kennett | Kennett | Kennett | ||
| La Salle College | La Salle College | La Salle College | ||
| Lansdale Catholic | Lansdale Catholic | Lansdale Catholic | ||
| Liberty Bethlehem | Liberty Bethlehem | Liberty Bethlehem | ||
| Lower Merion | Lower Merion | Lower Merion | ||
| Malvern Prep | Malvern Prep | Malvern Prep | ||
| Marple Newtown | Marple Newtown | Marple Newtown | ||
| Masterman | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Mastery Charter Nort | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Methacton | Methacton | Methacton | ||
| Moravian Academy | Moravian Academy | Moravian Academy | ||
| Nazareth Area | Nazareth Area | Nazareth Area | ||
| Neshaminy | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| New Hope-Solebury | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| North Penn | North Penn | North Penn | ||
| Northampton Area | Northampton Area | Northampton Area | ||
| Northeast | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Northwestern Lehigh | Northwestern Lehigh | Northwestern Lehigh | ||
| Olney Charter | Olney Charter | Olney Charter | ||
| Owen J Roberts | Owen J Roberts | Owen J Roberts | ||
| Oxford Area | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Parkland | Parkland | Parkland | ||
| Penn Charter | Penn Charter | Penn Charter | ||
| Penncrest | Penncrest | Penncrest | ||
| Pennridge | Pennridge | Pennridge | ||
| Pennsbury | Pennsbury | Pennsbury | ||
| Perkiomen School | Perkiomen School | Perkiomen School | ||
| Perkiomen Valley | Perkiomen Valley | Perkiomen Valley | ||
| Phoenixville | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Pleasant Valley | Pleasant Valley | Pleasant Valley | ||
| Plymouth-Whitemarsh | Plymouth-Whitemarsh | Plymouth-Whitemarsh | ||
| Pope John Paul II | Pope John Paul II | Pope John Paul II | ||
| Pottsgrove | Elizabethtown | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Elizabethtown | |
| Quakertown | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Radnor | Radnor | Radnor | ||
| Ridley | Ridley | Ridley | ||
| Roman Catholic | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Saucon Valley | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Shipley School | Shipley School | Shipley School | ||
| Solanco | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Souderton | Souderton | Souderton | ||
| South Philadelphia | South Philadelphia | South Philadelphia | ||
| Southern Lehigh | Southern Lehigh | Southern Lehigh | ||
| Spring-Ford | Spring-Ford | Spring-Ford | ||
| Springfield Twp | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Springfield-Delco | Springfield-Delco | Springfield-Delco | ||
| Springside Chestnut | Springside Chestnut | Springside Chestnut | ||
| St Josephs Prep | St Josephs Prep | St Josephs Prep | ||
| Strath Haven | Strath Haven | Strath Haven | ||
| Sun Valley | Sun Valley | Sun Valley | ||
| Truman | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Unionville | Unionville | Unionville | ||
| Upper Darby | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Upper Dublin | Upper Dublin | Upper Dublin | ||
| Upper Merion | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Upper Moreland | Upper Moreland | Upper Moreland | ||
| West Chester East | West Chester East | West Chester East | ||
| West Chester Henders | West Chester Henders | West Chester Henders | ||
| West Philadelphia | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Westtown | Westtown | Westtown | ||
| William Tennent | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Wissahickon | Wissahickon | Wissahickon | ||
| Baldwin | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Bethel Park | Bethel Park | Bethel Park | ||
| Butler Area | Butler Area | Butler Area | ||
| Canon-McMillan | Canon-McMillan | Canon-McMillan | ||
| Cathedral Prep | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Central Catholic | Central Catholic | Central Catholic | ||
| Chartiers Valley | Chartiers Valley | Chartiers Valley | ||
| Conneaut | Conneaut | Conneaut | ||
| Erie-McDowell | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Fairview | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Fox Chapel | Fox Chapel | Fox Chapel | ||
| Franklin Regional | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Freeport Area | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Gateway | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Greensburg Central C | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Hampton | Hampton | Hampton | ||
| Hempfield Greensburg | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Hickory | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Indiana Area | Indiana Area | Indiana Area | ||
| Knoch | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Latrobe | Latrobe | Latrobe | ||
| Mars Area | Mars Area | Mars Area | ||
| Meadville-Crawford C | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Moon Area | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Mount Lebanon | Mount Lebanon | Mount Lebanon | ||
| North Allegheny | North Allegheny | North Allegheny | ||
| North Catholic | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| North Hills | North Hills | North Hills | ||
| Norwin | Norwin | Norwin | ||
| Penn-Trafford | Penn-Trafford | Penn-Trafford | ||
| Peters Township | Peters Township | Peters Township | ||
| Pine Richland | Pine Richland | Pine Richland | ||
| Plum | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Quaker Valley | Quaker Valley | Quaker Valley | ||
| Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | Seneca Valley | ||
| Seton LaSalle | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Sewickley Academy | Sewickley Academy | Sewickley Academy | ||
| Shady Side Academy | Shady Side Academy | Shady Side Academy | ||
| Shaler Area | Shaler Area | Shaler Area | ||
| South Fayette | South Fayette | South Fayette | ||
| Taylor Allderdice | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Trinity Area | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Upper St Clair | Upper St Clair | Upper St Clair | ||
| West Allegheny | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Winchester Thurston | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Abington Heights | Abington Heights | Abington Heights | ||
| Bellefonte | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Berks Catholic | Berks Catholic | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Berks Catholic | |
| Bishop McDevitt | Bishop McDevitt | Bishop McDevitt | ||
| Carlisle | Elizabethtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elizabethtown | |
| Cedar Cliff | Elizabethtown | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Elizabethtown | |
| Cedar Crest | Cedar Crest | Cedar Crest | ||
| Central Dauphin | Central Dauphin | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Central Dauphin | |
| Central Dauphin East | Elizabethtown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Elizabethtown | |
| Central York | Central York | Central York 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Chambersburg | Elizabethtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elizabethtown | |
| Cocalico | Cocalico | Cocalico | ||
| Conestoga Valley | Conestoga Valley | Conestoga Valley 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Conrad Weiser | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Crestwood | Crestwood | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Crestwood | |
| Cumberland Valley | Cumberland Valley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cumberland Valley | |
| Dallas | Elizabethtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elizabethtown | |
| Dallastown | Dallastown | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Dallastown | |
| Daniel Boone | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown 3- 3 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Danville Area | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Delaware Valley | Delaware Valley | Delaware Valley | ||
| Delone Catholic | Delone Catholic | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 3) | Delone Catholic | |
| Dover Area | Elizabethtown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Elizabethtown | |
| Eastern York | Eastern York | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Eastern York | |
| Ephrata | Ephrata | Ephrata | ||
| Exeter Township | Exeter Township | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) | Exeter Township | |
| Garden Spot | Garden Spot | tied - ( 2- 5) ( 2- 4) | Garden Spot | |
| Gettysburg | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown 3- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Governor Mifflin | Governor Mifflin | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 1) | Governor Mifflin | |
| Hempfield | Hempfield | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Hempfield | |
| Hershey | Hershey | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Hershey | |
| Kennard-Dale | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Lake-Lehman | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Lakeland | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Lampeter-Strasburg | Lampeter-Strasburg | Lampeter-Strasburg | ||
| Lancaster CDS | Lancaster CDS | Lancaster CDS | ||
| Lewisburg | Lewisburg | Lewisburg | ||
| Lower Dauphin | Lower Dauphin | Lower Dauphin 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Manheim Township | Manheim Township | Manheim Township 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Mechanicsburg | Mechanicsburg | Mechanicsburg | ||
| Mifflin County | Elizabethtown | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Elizabethtown | |
| Mifflinburg | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Muhlenberg | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| New Oxford | New Oxford | New Oxford 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| North Pocono | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Northern York | Elizabethtown | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 3) | Elizabethtown | |
| Palmyra | Palmyra | Palmyra 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Penn Manor | Penn Manor | Penn Manor 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Red Land | Elizabethtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Elizabethtown | |
| Red Lion | Red Lion | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Red Lion | |
| Schuylkill Valley | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown 3- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Scranton Prep | Scranton Prep | Scranton Prep | ||
| Selinsgrove | Selinsgrove | Selinsgrove | ||
| South-Western | South-Western | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | South-Western | |
| Spring Grove | Spring Grove | Spring Grove | ||
| State College | State College | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | State College | |
| Susquehannock | Susquehannock | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Susquehannock | |
| Trinity HS | Trinity HS | Trinity HS 2- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tunkhannock | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Twin Valley | Twin Valley | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 1) | Twin Valley | |
| Warwick | Warwick | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 3) | Warwick | |
| West York | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown 2- 2 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Wilkes-Barre Area | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Wilson West Lawn | Wilson West Lawn | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) | Wilson West Lawn | |
| Wyoming Area | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown | ||
| Wyoming Seminary | Wyoming Seminary | Wyoming Seminary | ||
| Wyomissing | Elizabethtown | Elizabethtown 4- 4 vs 2- 4 | ||
| York Catholic | York Catholic | York Catholic 4- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| York Suburban | Elizabethtown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Elizabethtown |
PowerWise = 80
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 15.72
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lampeter-Stras (18- 5, 88.5) 1-16 -11.36 22.98 0.20 0.87 -9.74
0 H Muhlenberg ( 2-12, 76.7) 12- 5 -23.21 11.12 -0.20 0.87 9.54
0 A Warwick (10- 8, 83.4) 3- 2 -16.51 17.83 0.20 0.87 15.75
0 A Conrad Weiser ( 5-12, 79.0) 7- 3 -20.86 13.47 0.20 0.87 11.94
0 H Garden Spot ( 8- 9, 83.7) 7- 6 -16.17 18.16 -0.20 0.87 15.68
0 A Lancaster CDS ( 7-11, 81.7) 4- 9 -18.21 16.13 0.20 0.87 -15.72
0 A Cocalico (12- 7, 87.1) 1-16 -12.79 21.54 0.20 0.87 -10.99
0 H Lampeter-Stras (18- 5, 88.5) 1-11 -11.36 22.98 -0.20 0.87 -10.10
0 H Cedar Crest ( 4-12, 83.3) 5-11 -16.60 17.73 -0.20 0.87 -14.68
0 A Mechanicsburg (14- 6, 84.8) 2-11 -15.10 19.24 0.20 0.87 -13.00
0 H Warwick (10- 8, 83.4) 6- 8 -16.51 17.83 -0.20 0.87 -14.59
0 H Lancaster CDS ( 7-11, 81.7) 6- 8 -18.21 16.13 -0.20 0.87 -16.08
0 H Bishop McDevit ( 6-11, 78.7) 5- 6 -21.24 13.10 -0.20 0.87 -18.72
0 H Ephrata (12- 7, 86.9) 6-12 -12.96 21.37 -0.20 0.87 -11.50
0 A Spring Grove (10- 8, 83.1) 5-14 -16.83 17.50 0.20 0.87 -14.52
0 A Garden Spot ( 8- 9, 83.7) 3-13 -16.17 18.16 0.20 0.87 -13.94
0 H Cocalico (12- 7, 87.1) 3-12 -12.79 21.54 -0.20 0.87 -11.35
0 H Kennard-Dale ( 4-13, 78.9) 7- 4 -20.95 13.38 -0.20 0.87 11.51
------
-110.52
|
winning pts = 64.4188 losing points = -174.9384
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------