All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 89.8300018 home-field advantage = -0.85 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 A Billerica Memorial (22- 1, 91.0) 10- 7 329 H Niskayuna (16- 3, 87.6) 9- 5 402 A Concord-Carlisle (17- 4, 85.3) 12- 4 405 A Marshfield (13- 6, 85.8) 12- 5 409 A St Johns Prep Danvers (22- 1, 90.9) 5-11 412 H Needham (12- 8, 83.0) 18- 3 415 H Xaverian Brothers ( 9-11, 85.1) 8- 4 419 N West Genesee (21- 1, 91.7) 15-16 424 A Seattle Prep (15- 4, 86.3) 8- 3 426 A Mercer Island (16- 5, 87.2) 7- 4 501 H Duxbury (16- 6, 87.8) 10- 9 505 H Winchester (13- 8, 85.9) 17-10 508 H Reading Memorial (19- 4, 87.4) 14- 7 513 A Medfield (18- 4, 89.2) 8-13 517 H Hingham (19- 4, 88.4) 7-10 523 H Longmeadow (17- 4, 88.7) 6- 5 531 H Framingham ( 4-15, 74.1) 19- 2 604 H Natick (14- 6, 81.2) 10- 6 608 H Concord-Carlisle (17- 4, 85.3) 14- 8 611 N St Johns Prep Danvers (22- 1, 90.9) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Billerica Memorial 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.99 329 H Niskayuna 9- 5 4 2 n/a 402 A Concord-Carlisle 12- 4 8 3 + 3.31 405 A Marshfield 12- 5 7 3 + 3.82 409 A St Johns Prep Danvers 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.05 412 H Needham 18- 3 15 7 0.00 415 H Xaverian Brothers 8- 4 4 5 -1.60 419 N West Genesee 15-16 -1 -1 n/a 424 A Seattle Prep 8- 3 5 2 n/a 426 A Mercer Island 7- 4 3 1 n/a 501 H Duxbury 10- 9 1 2 -1.84 505 H Winchester 17-10 7 4 + 2.25 508 H Reading Memorial 14- 7 7 3 + 3.71 513 A Medfield 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.75 517 H Hingham 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.29 523 H Longmeadow 6- 5 1 1 -0.97 531 H Framingham 19- 2 17 16 0.00 604 H Natick 10- 6 4 9 - -3.00 608 H Concord-Carlisle 14- 8 6 5 0.61 611 N St Johns Prep Danvers 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.90UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 A St Johns Prep Danvers 5-11 -6 -1 -- -4.05 513 A Medfield 8-13 -5 0 -- -4.75 517 H Hingham 7-10 -3 2 -- -5.29 611 N St Johns Prep Danvers 5-12 -7 -1 -- -5.90 604 H Natick 10- 6 4 9 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Billerica Memorial 10- 7 3 -1 ++ 4.99 402 A Concord-Carlisle 12- 4 8 3 + 3.31 405 A Marshfield 12- 5 7 3 + 3.82 424 A Seattle Prep 8- 3 5 2 + 505 H Winchester 17-10 7 4 + 2.25 508 H Reading Memorial 14- 7 7 3 + 3.71
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 89.83 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 70.14 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 1 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7079 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 14 RPI Rating............... .7209 RPI Rank................... 2 Champ. Probability ...... 8.0 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 23 Selection Rank ............ 3 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 105. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 6 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.7 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 15- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 3.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 1.0