Lincoln Academy
W-L: ( 4- 8) PR = 82.0332Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 421 H John Bapst Memorial ( 1- 7, 78.2) 13- 1 424 H Freeport (11- 4, 92.6) 2-14 426 A Houlton/Hogdon ( 3- 4, 82.2) 10- 9 428 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 10- 9 430 A Maranacook-Winthrop (10- 4, 88.1) 2- 7 509 A Houlton/Hogdon ( 3- 4, 82.2) 10- 9 513 A Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 2-14 515 H Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 4- 8 529 A Gray/New Gloucester/ ( 6- 9, 85.4) 6- 7 530 A Erskine Academy ( 8- 7, 83.9) 1-11 602 H Bangor ( 6- 8, 82.5) 4- 9 605 H Camden Hills Regiona ( 6- 8, 82.3) 10-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
421 H John Bapst Memorial 13- 1 12 5 0.45
424 H Freeport 2-14 -12 -10 0.00
426 A Houlton/Hogdon 10- 9 1 -1 1.87
428 H Morse/Boothbay 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 4.53
430 A Maranacook-Winthrop 2- 7 -5 -7 0.00
509 A Houlton/Hogdon 10- 9 1 -1 1.87
513 A Oak Hill 2-14 -12 -7 0.00
515 H Mount Ararat 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.41
529 A Gray/New Gloucester/ 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.07
530 A Erskine Academy 1-11 -10 -3 - -2.35
602 H Bangor 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.31
605 H Camden Hills Regiona 10-13 -3 0 - -3.50
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 602 H Bangor 4- 9 -5 0 -- -5.31 515 H Mount Ararat 4- 8 -4 -2 - -2.41 530 A Erskine Academy 1-11 -10 -3 - -2.35 605 H Camden Hills Regiona 10-13 -3 0 - -3.50 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 428 H Morse/Boothbay 10- 9 1 -4 ++ 4.53 529 A Gray/New Gloucester/ 6- 7 -1 -4 + 3.07 |
Lincoln Academy Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bangor | Bangor | Bangor | ||
| Biddeford | Biddeford | Biddeford | ||
| Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | Bonny Eagle | ||
| Brewer | Brewer | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Brewer | |
| Brunswick | Brunswick | Brunswick 5- 1 vs 0- 6 | ||
| Camden Hills Regiona | Camden Hills Regiona | Camden Hills Regiona | ||
| Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | Cape Elizabeth | ||
| Cheverus | Cheverus | Cheverus 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cony | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Deering | Deering | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Deering | |
| Edward Little | Edward Little | Edward Little 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | Erskine Academy | ||
| Falmouth | Falmouth | Falmouth | ||
| Freeport | Freeport | Freeport | ||
| Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy | Fryeburg Academy 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Gardiner Area | Gardiner Area | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Gardiner Area | |
| Gorham | Gorham | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Gorham | |
| Gray/New Gloucester/ | Gray/New Gloucester/ | Gray/New Gloucester/ | ||
| Greely | Greely | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Greely | |
| Hampden Academy | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Houlton/Hogdon | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| John Bapst Memorial | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Kennebunk | Kennebunk | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kennebunk | |
| Lake Region | Lake Region | Lake Region | ||
| Lawrence/Winslow | Lincoln Academy | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Lewiston | Lewiston | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Lewiston | |
| Maranacook-Winthrop | Maranacook-Winthrop | Maranacook-Winthrop | ||
| Marshwood | Marshwood | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Marshwood | |
| Massabesic | Massabesic | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Massabesic | |
| MCI-Nokomis | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Messalonskee | Messalonskee | Messalonskee 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Morse/Boothbay | Lincoln Academy | Lincoln Academy | ||
| Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | Mount Ararat | ||
| Mount Blue | Mount Blue | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Mount Blue | |
| Noble/Sanford | Noble/Sanford | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Noble/Sanford | |
| North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade | North Yarmouth Acade 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Oak Hill | Oak Hill | Oak Hill | ||
| Oxford Hills | Oxford Hills | tied - ( 0- 6) ( 0- 6) | Oxford Hills | |
| Portland | Portland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Portland | |
| Scarborough | Scarborough | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Scarborough | |
| South Portland | South Portland | South Portland | ||
| Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | Thornton Academy | ||
| Traip Academy | Lincoln Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Waynflete School | Waynflete School | Waynflete School | ||
| Wells | Wells | Wells 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Westbrook | Lincoln Academy | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lincoln Academy | |
| Windham | Windham | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Windham | |
| Yarmouth | Yarmouth | Yarmouth 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| York | York | York 2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
PowerWise = 9
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.00
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H John Bapst Mem ( 1- 7, 78.2) 13- 1 -21.68 6.76 -0.74 1.08 6.53
0 H Freeport (11- 4, 92.6) 2-14 -7.29 21.15 -0.74 1.08 -8.70
0 A Houlton/Hogdon ( 3- 4, 82.2) 10- 9 -17.73 10.71 0.74 1.08 12.40
0 H Morse/Boothbay ( 8- 7, 86.3) 10- 9 -13.60 14.84 -0.74 1.08 15.28
0 A Maranacook-Win (10- 4, 88.1) 2- 7 -11.84 16.60 0.74 1.08 -12.02
0 A Houlton/Hogdon ( 3- 4, 82.2) 10- 9 -17.73 10.71 0.74 1.08 12.40
0 A Oak Hill (10- 6, 88.6) 2-14 -11.32 17.12 0.74 1.08 -11.46
0 H Mount Ararat ( 6- 9, 84.4) 4- 8 -15.54 12.90 -0.74 1.08 -17.64
0 A Gray/New Glouc ( 6- 9, 85.4) 6- 7 -14.53 13.91 0.74 1.08 -14.94
0 A Erskine Academ ( 8- 7, 83.9) 1-11 -15.96 12.48 0.74 1.08 -16.49
0 H Bangor ( 6- 8, 82.5) 4- 9 -17.43 11.01 -0.74 1.08 -19.69
0 H Camden Hills R ( 6- 8, 82.3) 10-13 -17.62 10.82 -0.74 1.08 -19.90
------
-74.23
|
winning pts = 46.6094 losing points = -120.8346
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------