All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 77.5400009 home-field advantage = -0.85 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 328 A North Andover ( 9-11, 83.1) 10-11 401 H Watertown ( 4-13, 64.3) 15- 0 403 A Burlington (11- 9, 81.0) 5-17 405 A Masconomet (13- 6, 77.2) 9-10 409 H Wilmington ( 4-14, 70.6) 13- 4 411 A Woburn Memorial ( 5-13, 72.3) 12- 9 415 A Reading Memorial (19- 4, 87.4) 2-13 417 H Dracut (17- 4, 84.9) 4-13 423 A Concord-Carlisle (17- 4, 85.3) 7-16 426 H Bridgewater-Raynham ( 9-10, 77.5) 6- 8 430 A Melrose ( 9- 9, 78.1) 6- 5 502 H Stoneham ( 4-15, 69.0) 17- 2 506 H Marblehead (10- 9, 77.4) 12- 5 508 A Wakefield Memorial (16- 4, 81.4) 6-13 513 H Winchester (13- 8, 85.9) 5-16 517 H Newton North (10- 9, 79.7) 8- 7 519 A Belmont ( 5-14, 74.3) 11- 7 521 H Arlington HS (13- 6, 78.1) 9- 8 531 A Catholic Memorial ( 9-12, 83.7) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A North Andover 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 5.36 401 H Watertown 15- 0 15 14 0.00 403 A Burlington 5-17 -12 -4 - -2.68 405 A Masconomet 9-10 -1 0 -0.48 409 H Wilmington 13- 4 9 7 0.00 411 A Woburn Memorial 12- 9 3 4 -1.34 415 A Reading Memorial 2-13 -11 -10 0.00 417 H Dracut 4-13 -9 -6 -0.49 423 A Concord-Carlisle 7-16 -9 -8 0.00 426 H Bridgewater-Raynham 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.93 430 A Melrose 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.37 502 H Stoneham 17- 2 15 9 0.00 506 H Marblehead 12- 5 7 1 ++ 6.00 508 A Wakefield Memorial 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.31 513 H Winchester 5-16 -11 -7 0.00 517 H Newton North 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.31 519 A Belmont 11- 7 4 2 1.57 521 H Arlington HS 9- 8 1 0 0.70 531 A Catholic Memorial 6-14 -8 -7 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Burlington 5-17 -12 -4 - -2.68 426 H Bridgewater-Raynham 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.93 508 A Wakefield Memorial 6-13 -7 -4 - -2.31OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A North Andover 10-11 -1 -6 ++ 5.36 506 H Marblehead 12- 5 7 1 ++ 6.00 430 A Melrose 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.37 517 H Newton North 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.31
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 77.54 Power Rank................. 65 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 55.17 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 39 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6216 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 88 RPI Rating............... .5109 RPI Rank................... 92 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 96 Selection sum ........... 304 Selection Rank ............ 98 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -190. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 120 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -190. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 124 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -10.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -1.0