Sayre
W-L: (11- 5) PR = 87.3985Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 306 A Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 11- 4 311 H Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 5-12 313 A Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 15- 9 320 A Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 19- 2 322 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 7- 9 325 A Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 20- 1 326 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 17- 0 331 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 20- 0 402 H Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 5-12 416 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 12- 4 418 A Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 15- 8 423 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 6-10 430 A Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 8, 84.2) 8- 5 506 H Covington Catholic ( 6- 9, 81.5) 16- 2 509 N Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 20- 1 510 N Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 6- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
306 A Eastern 11- 4 7 0 ++ 4.92
311 H Woodford County 5-12 -7 -6 0.00
313 A Ryle 15- 9 6 4 1.15
320 A Scott County 19- 2 17 14 0.00
322 H Lexington Catholic 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.54
325 A Bryan Station 20- 1 19 14 0.00
326 A Great Crossing 17- 0 17 9 0.00
331 H Tates Creek 20- 0 20 9 0.00
402 H Frederick Douglass 5-12 -7 -2 - -3.00
416 H Lafayette 12- 4 8 7 0.00
418 A Lexington Christian 15- 8 7 1 ++ 4.02
423 A Henry Clay 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.17
430 A Louisville Collegiat 8- 5 3 2 0.57
506 H Covington Catholic 16- 2 14 7 0.00
509 N Bryan Station 20- 1 19 14 0.00
510 N Henry Clay 6- 8 -2 0 -1.92
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 322 H Lexington Catholic 7- 9 -2 1 - -2.54 402 H Frederick Douglass 5-12 -7 -2 - -3.00 423 A Henry Clay 6-10 -4 -1 - -3.17 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 306 A Eastern 11- 4 7 0 ++ 4.92 418 A Lexington Christian 15- 8 7 1 ++ 4.02 |
Sayre Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Atherton | Sayre | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Sayre | |
| Ballard Louisville | Sayre | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 2) | Sayre | |
| Bluegrass | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Bowling Green | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Bryan Station | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Central Hardin | Sayre | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Sayre | |
| Christian Academy-Lo | Sayre | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Sayre | |
| Collins | Sayre | Sayre 5- 0 vs 2- 3 | ||
| Cooper | Sayre | Sayre 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Covington Catholic | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| DeSales | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Dixie Heights | Sayre | Sayre 7- 1 vs 5- 3 | ||
| DuPont Manual | Sayre | Sayre 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Eastern | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Great Crossing | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Greenwood | Sayre | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Sayre | |
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Lafayette | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | Lexington Catholic | ||
| Lexington Christian | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Louisville Collegiat | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Male | Sayre | Sayre 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| North Hardin | Sayre | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Sayre | |
| North Oldham | Sayre | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 3- 4) | Sayre | |
| Oldham County | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Owensboro | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Sayre | Sayre 6- 2 vs 3- 5 | ||
| Ryle | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Scott County | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Shelby County | Sayre | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sayre | |
| South Oldham | South Oldham | South Oldham 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| South Warren | Sayre | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Sayre | |
| St Henry | Sayre | Sayre 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Xavier Louisville | |
| Tates Creek | Sayre | Sayre | ||
| Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Walton-Verona | Sayre | Sayre 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County |
PowerWise = 33
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 11- 4 -13.34 18.65 0.75 0.85 16.51
0 H Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 5-12 -5.27 26.71 -0.75 0.85 -5.13
0 A Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 15- 9 -17.10 14.88 0.75 0.85 13.31
0 A Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 19- 2 -27.44 4.54 0.75 0.85 4.51
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 7, 87.6) 7- 9 -12.29 19.69 -0.75 0.85 -11.10
0 A Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 20- 1 -26.81 5.18 0.75 0.85 5.05
0 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 17- 0 -21.94 10.05 0.75 0.85 9.19
0 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 20- 0 -20.74 11.24 -0.75 0.85 8.93
0 H Frederick Doug (15- 3, 90.1) 5-12 -9.75 22.23 -0.75 0.85 -8.94
0 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 12- 4 -18.93 13.05 -0.75 0.85 10.47
0 A Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 15- 8 -14.24 17.75 0.75 0.85 15.74
0 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 6-10 -12.43 19.56 0.75 0.85 -9.94
0 A Louisville Col ( 6- 8, 84.2) 8- 5 -15.68 16.30 0.75 0.85 14.52
0 H Covington Cath ( 6- 9, 81.5) 16- 2 -18.44 13.54 -0.75 0.85 10.89
0 N Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 20- 1 -26.81 5.18 -0.00 0.85 4.41
0 N Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 6- 8 -12.43 19.56 -0.00 0.85 -10.58
------
67.83
|
winning pts = 113.5177 losing points = -45.6901
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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