All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 72.6399994 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 70.8) 7- 3 308 H Covington Catholic ( 6-12, 64.6) 13- 0 312 A Trinity Louisville (15- 7, 88.5) 5-19 319 H North Oldham ( 9-12, 68.3) 7- 6 322 A Sayre (11- 5, 72.7) 9- 7 326 H Milford (13- 7, 83.1) 6-21 327 A Henry Clay (13- 6, 71.9) 10-11 329 H Ryle ( 8-11, 66.5) 13- 6 331 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 62.1) 18- 7 402 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 64.8) 16- 1 416 A Frederick Douglass (15- 5, 74.5) 3-12 424 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 72.5) 12-13 426 A South Warren ( 8- 6, 67.6) 12- 1 428 A Tates Creek ( 3-14, 62.4) 18- 8 503 H Loveland (11- 8, 78.3) 9-14 507 H Woodford County (14- 3, 81.5) 6-21 510 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 70.8) 13- 5 512 H Woodford County (14- 3, 81.5) 7-21 514 A Frederick Douglass (15- 5, 74.5) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 H Lexington Christian 7- 3 4 2 1.22 308 H Covington Catholic 13- 0 13 9 0.00 312 A Trinity Louisville 5-19 -14 -16 0.00 319 H North Oldham 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.29 322 A Sayre 9- 7 2 0 + 2.98 326 H Milford 6-21 -15 -9 n/a 327 A Henry Clay 10-11 -1 0 -0.79 329 H Ryle 13- 6 7 7 0.00 331 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 18- 7 11 9 0.00 402 H Lafayette 16- 1 15 8 0.00 416 A Frederick Douglass 3-12 -9 -2 -- -4.16 424 A Ballard Louisville 12-13 -1 0 -0.21 426 A South Warren 12- 1 11 4 + 2.88 428 A Tates Creek 18- 8 10 9 0.00 503 H Loveland 9-14 -5 -4 n/a 507 H Woodford County 6-21 -15 -7 0.00 510 H Lexington Christian 13- 5 8 2 ++ 4.22 512 H Woodford County 7-21 -14 -7 0.00 514 A Frederick Douglass 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.16UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 319 H North Oldham 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.29 416 A Frederick Douglass 3-12 -9 -2 -- -4.16 514 A Frederick Douglass 6-13 -7 -2 -- -4.16OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H Lexington Christian 13- 5 8 2 ++ 4.22 322 A Sayre 9- 7 2 0 + 2.98 426 A South Warren 12- 1 11 4 + 2.88
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 72.64 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 45.54 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6451 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 5 RPI Rating............... .6125 RPI Rank................... 7 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 26 Selection sum ........... 19 Selection Rank ............ 5 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 55. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 9 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.9 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -11.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -8.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -4.3