Lexington Catholic
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 87.6064
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
304 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 7- 3
308 H Covington Catholic ( 6- 9, 81.5) 13- 0
312 A Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 5-19
319 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 7- 6
322 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 9- 7
327 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 10-11
329 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 13- 6
331 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 79.4) 18- 7
402 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 16- 1
416 A Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 3-12
424 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 12-13
426 A South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 12- 1
428 A Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 18- 8
507 H Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 6-21
510 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 13- 5
512 H Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 7-21
514 A Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 6-13
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Lexington Christian 7- 3 4 3 1.30
308 H Covington Catholic 13- 0 13 7 0.00
312 A Trinity Louisville 5-19 -14 -13 0.00
319 H North Oldham 7- 6 1 4 - -2.84
322 A Sayre 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.54
327 A Henry Clay 10-11 -1 -1 -0.38
329 H Ryle 13- 6 7 6 0.00
331 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 18- 7 11 7 0.00
402 H Lafayette 16- 1 15 7 0.00
416 A Frederick Douglass 3-12 -9 -3 -1.71
424 A Ballard Louisville 12-13 -1 0 -1.34
426 A South Warren 12- 1 11 3 1.84
428 A Tates Creek 18- 8 10 8 0.00
507 H Woodford County 6-21 -15 -6 0.00
510 H Lexington Christian 13- 5 8 3 + 2.30
512 H Woodford County 7-21 -14 -6 0.00
514 A Frederick Douglass 6-13 -7 -3 -1.71
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
319 H North Oldham 7- 6 1 4 - -2.84
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
322 A Sayre 9- 7 2 -1 + 2.54
510 H Lexington Christian 13- 5 8 3 + 2.30
|
Lexington Catholic Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Anderson County |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
Atherton |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
Ballard Louisville |
Ballard Louisville |
Ballard Louisville |
 
| |
Bluegrass |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
Bowling Green |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
Bryan Station |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   5- 3 vs 0- 8 |
|
Central Hardin |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
Christian Academy-Lo |
Lexington Catholic |
|
tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) |
Lexington Catholic |
Collins |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   6- 0 vs 1- 5 |
|
Cooper |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   5- 1 vs 1- 5 |
|
Covington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
DeSales |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
Dixie Heights |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   5- 1 vs 3- 3 |
|
DuPont Manual |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Lexington Catholic |
Eastern |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   5- 2 vs 3- 4 |
|
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
 
| |
Great Crossing |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   5- 2 vs 2- 5 |
|
Greenwood |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Kentucky Country Day |
Kentucky Country Day |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) |
Kentucky Country Day |
Lafayette |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
Lexington Christian |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
Louisville Collegiat |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   3- 2 vs 1- 4 |
|
Male |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
North Hardin |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
North Oldham |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
Oldham County |
Lexington Catholic |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Lexington Catholic |
Owensboro |
Lexington Catholic |
|
 
| Lexington Catholic |
Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
Ryle |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
Sayre |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
Scott County |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   4- 2 vs 0- 6 |
|
Shelby County |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
South Oldham |
South Oldham |
|
South Oldham   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
South Warren |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
St Henry |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) |
St Xavier Louisville |
Tates Creek |
Lexington Catholic |
Lexington Catholic |
 
| |
Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
 
| |
Walton-Verona |
Lexington Catholic |
|
Lexington Catholic   5- 0 vs 0- 5 |
|
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
 
| |
PowerWise = 33

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 7- 3 -14.24 17.75 -0.75 0.80 13.61
0 H Covington Cath ( 6- 9, 81.5) 13- 0 -18.44 13.54 -0.75 0.80 10.25
0 A Trinity Louisv (13- 1, 99.9) 5-19 -0.00 31.98 0.75 0.80 -0.60
0 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 7- 6 -15.38 16.60 -0.75 0.80 12.70
0 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 9- 7 -12.50 19.48 0.75 0.80 16.21
0 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 10-11 -12.43 19.56 0.75 0.80 -9.35
0 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 13- 6 -17.10 14.88 -0.75 0.80 11.32
0 A Paul Laurence ( 7- 7, 79.4) 18- 7 -20.49 11.49 0.75 0.80 9.81
0 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 16- 1 -18.93 13.05 -0.75 0.80 9.85
0 A Frederick Doug (15- 3, 90.1) 3-12 -9.75 22.23 0.75 0.80 -7.21
0 A Ballard Louisv (10- 6, 86.5) 12-13 -13.39 18.60 0.75 0.80 -10.12
0 A South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 12- 1 -16.21 15.78 0.75 0.80 13.24
0 A Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 18- 8 -20.74 11.24 0.75 0.80 9.61
0 H Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 6-21 -5.27 26.71 -0.75 0.80 -4.83
0 H Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 13- 5 -14.24 17.75 -0.75 0.80 13.61
0 H Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 7-21 -5.27 26.71 -0.75 0.80 -4.83
0 A Frederick Doug (15- 3, 90.1) 6-13 -9.75 22.23 0.75 0.80 -7.21
------
76.06
|
winning pts = 120.2119 losing points = -44.1546
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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