---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Lexington Catholic 1
  
Lexington Catholic    
W-L: (10- 7) PR = 87.6064

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 7- 3 308 H Covington Catholic ( 6- 9, 81.5) 13- 0 312 A Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 5-19 319 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 7- 6 322 A Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 9- 7 327 A Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 10-11 329 H Ryle ( 8- 9, 82.8) 13- 6 331 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 79.4) 18- 7 402 H Lafayette ( 9- 6, 81.0) 16- 1 416 A Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 3-12 424 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 12-13 426 A South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 12- 1 428 A Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 18- 8 507 H Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 6-21 510 H Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 13- 5 512 H Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 7-21 514 A Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 6-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   304 H Lexington Christian     7- 3       4     3           1.30
   308 H Covington Catholic     13- 0      13     7           0.00
   312 A Trinity Louisville      5-19     -14   -13           0.00
   319 H North Oldham            7- 6       1     4    -     -2.84
   322 A Sayre                   9- 7       2    -1    +      2.54
   327 A Henry Clay             10-11      -1    -1          -0.38
   329 H Ryle                   13- 6       7     6           0.00
   331 A Paul Laurence Dunbar   18- 7      11     7           0.00
   402 H Lafayette              16- 1      15     7           0.00
   416 A Frederick Douglass      3-12      -9    -3          -1.71
   424 A Ballard Louisville     12-13      -1     0          -1.34
   426 A South Warren           12- 1      11     3           1.84
   428 A Tates Creek            18- 8      10     8           0.00
   507 H Woodford County         6-21     -15    -6           0.00
   510 H Lexington Christian    13- 5       8     3    +      2.30
   512 H Woodford County         7-21     -14    -6           0.00
   514 A Frederick Douglass      6-13      -7    -3          -1.71

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   319 H North Oldham            7- 6       1     4    -     -2.84

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 A Sayre                   9- 7       2    -1    +      2.54
   510 H Lexington Christian    13- 5       8     3    +      2.30

Lexington Catholic Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Atherton Lexington Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Lexington Catholic
Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville  
Bluegrass Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Bowling Green Lexington Catholic tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Lexington Catholic
Bryan Station Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 3 vs 0- 8
Central Hardin Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Christian Academy-Lo Lexington Catholic tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) Lexington Catholic
Collins Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   6- 0 vs 1- 5
Cooper Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Covington Catholic Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
DeSales Lexington Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lexington Catholic
Dixie Heights Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 1 vs 3- 3
DuPont Manual Lexington Catholic insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Lexington Catholic
Eastern Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 2 vs 3- 4
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Great Crossing Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 2 vs 2- 5
Greenwood Lexington Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lexington Catholic
Henry Clay Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Kentucky Country Day Kentucky Country Day insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) Kentucky Country Day
Lafayette Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Lexington Christian Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Louisville Collegiat Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   3- 2 vs 1- 4
Male Lexington Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lexington Catholic
North Hardin Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
North Oldham Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Oldham County Lexington Catholic insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Lexington Catholic
Owensboro Lexington Catholic   Lexington Catholic
Paul Laurence Dunbar Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Ryle Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Sayre Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Scott County Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   4- 2 vs 0- 6
Shelby County Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham   4- 1 vs 2- 3
South Warren Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
St Henry Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic  
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville  
Walton-Verona Lexington Catholic Lexington Catholic   5- 0 vs 0- 5
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County  

PowerWise = 33


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Lexington Chri  (10- 6, 85.7)     7- 3      -14.24      17.75      -0.75         0.80            13.61
   0 H Covington Cath  ( 6- 9, 81.5)    13- 0      -18.44      13.54      -0.75         0.80            10.25
   0 A Trinity Louisv  (13- 1, 99.9)     5-19       -0.00      31.98       0.75         0.80            -0.60
   0 H North Oldham    ( 9-10, 84.5)     7- 6      -15.38      16.60      -0.75         0.80            12.70
   0 A Sayre           (11- 5, 87.4)     9- 7      -12.50      19.48       0.75         0.80            16.21
   0 A Henry Clay      (13- 5, 87.5)    10-11      -12.43      19.56       0.75         0.80            -9.35
   0 H Ryle            ( 8- 9, 82.8)    13- 6      -17.10      14.88      -0.75         0.80            11.32
   0 A Paul Laurence   ( 7- 7, 79.4)    18- 7      -20.49      11.49       0.75         0.80             9.81
   0 H Lafayette       ( 9- 6, 81.0)    16- 1      -18.93      13.05      -0.75         0.80             9.85
   0 A Frederick Doug  (15- 3, 90.1)     3-12       -9.75      22.23       0.75         0.80            -7.21
   0 A Ballard Louisv  (10- 6, 86.5)    12-13      -13.39      18.60       0.75         0.80           -10.12
   0 A South Warren    ( 7- 5, 83.7)    12- 1      -16.21      15.78       0.75         0.80            13.24
   0 A Tates Creek     ( 3-13, 79.2)    18- 8      -20.74      11.24       0.75         0.80             9.61
   0 H Woodford Count  (14- 3, 94.6)     6-21       -5.27      26.71      -0.75         0.80            -4.83
   0 H Lexington Chri  (10- 6, 85.7)    13- 5      -14.24      17.75      -0.75         0.80            13.61
   0 H Woodford Count  (14- 3, 94.6)     7-21       -5.27      26.71      -0.75         0.80            -4.83
   0 A Frederick Doug  (15- 3, 90.1)     6-13       -9.75      22.23       0.75         0.80            -7.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        76.06

winning pts = 120.2119 losing points = -44.1546

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------