Loudoun Valley
W-L: ( 5- 9) PR = 80.2559Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 5-12 321 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 0-13 325 A John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 6- 5 328 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 7- 5 402 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 2-17 409 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 2-10 422 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 11- 9 423 A Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 2-17 429 A Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 17- 0 506 H Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 5- 6 508 H Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 6-13 513 A Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 4-13 515 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 17- 8 521 A Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 12-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H Fauquier 5-12 -7 -1 - -3.65
321 A Broad Run 0-13 -13 -8 0.00
325 A John Champe 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.12
328 H Potomac Falls 7- 5 2 1 0.97
402 A Loudoun County 2-17 -15 -11 0.00
409 H Stone Bridge 2-10 -8 -9 0.00
422 H Kettle Run 11- 9 2 1 0.51
423 A Independence 2-17 -15 -14 0.00
429 A Park View 17- 0 17 15 0.00
506 H Heritage Leesburg 5- 6 -1 -1 0.31
508 H Woodgrove 6-13 -7 -5 -0.46
513 A Dominion 4-13 -9 -3 -1.74
515 H Tuscarora 17- 8 9 4 0.73
521 A Dominion 12-14 -2 -3 1.26
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H Fauquier 5-12 -7 -1 - -3.65 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A John Champe 6- 5 1 -1 + 2.12 |
Loudoun Valley Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Atlee | |
| Battlefield | Battlefield | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Battlefield | |
| Bayside | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods 7- 1 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Clover Hill | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cosby | |
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cox | |
| Culpeper County | Loudoun Valley | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Loudoun Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Loudoun Valley | |
| EC Glass | EC Glass | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | EC Glass | |
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfax | |
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier | ||
| First Colonial | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Loudoun Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Forest Park | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Handley | Handley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Handley | |
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Hidden Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Hylton | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | James Monroe | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | James Monroe | |
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| John Champe | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Justice | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kellam | |
| Kempsville | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Kettle Run | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Braddock | |
| Landstown | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Langley | Langley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Loudoun Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Liberty Bealeton | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge 5- 4 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Massaponax | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Matoaca | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Menchville LC | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Monticello | |
| Mount Vernon | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Orange County | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Osbourn | Loudoun Valley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Osbourn Park | Loudoun Valley | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Park View | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Powhatan | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Princess Anne | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | Riverbend | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside 6- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | Seton School | ||
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Steward School | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Tandem Friends | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Thomas Dale | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Loudoun Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Unity Reed | Loudoun Valley | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Veritas School | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Virginia Academy | Loudoun Valley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 62
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 5-12 -17.69 17.31 -0.61 1.00 -18.22
0 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 0-13 -11.83 23.17 0.61 1.00 -11.17
0 A John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 6- 5 -19.14 15.87 0.61 1.00 16.41
0 H Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 7- 5 -20.06 14.94 -0.61 1.00 14.27
0 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 2-17 -9.41 25.59 0.61 1.00 -8.77
0 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 2-10 -10.16 24.84 -0.61 1.00 -10.73
0 H Kettle Run ( 4- 9, 79.4) 11- 9 -20.53 14.47 -0.61 1.00 13.81
0 A Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 2-17 -6.07 28.94 0.61 1.00 -5.43
0 A Park View ( 0-14, 64.9) 17- 0 -35.00 1.00 0.61 1.00 1.60
0 H Heritage Lees ( 7-10, 82.2) 5- 6 -17.73 17.28 -0.61 1.00 -18.26
0 H Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 6-13 -14.49 20.51 -0.61 1.00 -15.04
0 A Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 4-13 -16.99 18.01 0.61 1.00 -16.32
0 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 17- 8 -23.31 11.70 -0.61 1.00 11.04
0 A Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 12-14 -16.99 18.01 0.61 1.00 -16.32
------
-63.13
|
winning pts = 57.1348 losing points = -120.2685
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------