All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 70.8300018 home-field advantage = -0.97 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 72.6) 3- 7 308 H Henry Clay (13- 6, 71.9) 10- 9 313 H Dixie Heights (13- 7, 69.0) 14- 7 318 A Paul Laurence Dunbar ( 7- 7, 62.1) 16- 5 326 H Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 72.5) 8-14 329 H Bryan Station ( 1-13, 52.8) 24- 2 401 A Frederick Douglass (15- 5, 74.5) 4- 7 414 A Tates Creek ( 3-14, 62.4) 12- 3 418 H Sayre (11- 5, 72.7) 8-15 421 A Ryle ( 8-11, 66.5) 18-10 428 A Lafayette ( 9- 6, 64.8) 10- 3 430 H Collins ( 6- 9, 61.1) 19- 5 502 A Woodford County (14- 3, 81.5) 5-20 506 H Eastern ( 7- 7, 72.4) 11-10 509 N Tates Creek ( 3-14, 62.4) 12- 3 510 A Lexington Catholic (10- 9, 72.6) 5-13
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Lexington Catholic 3- 7 -4 -2 -1.22 308 H Henry Clay 10- 9 1 0 1.08 313 H Dixie Heights 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.19 318 A Paul Laurence Dunbar 16- 5 11 7 0.00 326 H Ballard Louisville 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.34 329 H Bryan Station 24- 2 22 19 0.00 401 A Frederick Douglass 4- 7 -3 -4 1.65 414 A Tates Creek 12- 3 9 7 0.00 418 H Sayre 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.15 421 A Ryle 18-10 8 3 + 3.66 428 A Lafayette 10- 3 7 5 1.93 430 H Collins 19- 5 14 10 0.00 502 A Woodford County 5-20 -15 -11 0.00 506 H Eastern 11-10 1 0 1.61 509 N Tates Creek 12- 3 9 8 0.00 510 A Lexington Catholic 5-13 -8 -2 -- -4.22UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 418 H Sayre 8-15 -7 0 --- -6.15 326 H Ballard Louisville 8-14 -6 0 -- -5.34 510 A Lexington Catholic 5-13 -8 -2 -- -4.22OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Dixie Heights 14- 7 7 2 ++ 4.19 421 A Ryle 18-10 8 3 + 3.66
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 70.83 Power Rank................. 13 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 39.17 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 16 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6362 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 6 RPI Rating............... .5622 RPI Rank................... 12 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 27 Selection sum ........... 30 Selection Rank ............ 10 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 35. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 11 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 35. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 12 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 6 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 2.9 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -9.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -6.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.6 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 0.7