All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.8199997 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Sidwell Friends ( 6- 9, 75.4) 8- 3 319 H St Andrews Episcopal ( 2- 8, 75.0) 18- 2 321 H Centreville ( 3- 9, 75.2) 18- 1 324 H West Potomac (17- 6, 84.1) 8- 7 328 A Yorktown (12- 9, 80.4) 12- 5 404 A McLean (10- 8, 78.9) 13- 7 409 A Westfield ( 6-12, 75.2) 12- 3 412 A Lucy Beckham (17- 3, 89.1) 3- 9 414 A Wando (16- 2, 87.4) 5- 6 423 H Marshall ( 3- 9, 68.2) 18- 4 425 H Wakefield HS ( 5-10, 69.7) 22- 2 426 N Robinson (16- 6, 85.2) 9- 8 429 H Herndon ( 8- 4, 80.7) 10- 8 503 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 8- 9 508 A Washington-Liberty (11- 6, 79.4) 11- 6 519 H Washington-Liberty (11- 6, 79.4) 16- 5 521 H Yorktown (12- 9, 80.4) 10-11 523 H Chantilly ( 9- 5, 81.3) 13- 6 527 A Madison (17- 2, 85.2) 9- 7 529 A Yorktown (12- 9, 80.4) 15- 6 606 H Robinson (16- 6, 85.2) 2- 3
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Sidwell Friends 8- 3 5 8 n/a 319 H St Andrews Episcopal 18- 2 16 10 n/a 321 H Centreville 18- 1 17 10 0.00 324 H West Potomac 8- 7 1 1 -0.55 328 A Yorktown 12- 5 7 3 + 3.37 404 A McLean 13- 7 6 5 0.83 409 A Westfield 12- 3 9 8 0.00 412 A Lucy Beckham 3- 9 -6 -4 n/a 414 A Wando 5- 6 -1 -3 n/a 423 H Marshall 18- 4 14 17 0.00 425 H Wakefield HS 22- 2 20 15 0.00 426 N Robinson 9- 8 1 0 1.39 429 H Herndon 10- 8 2 4 - -2.87 503 H Stone Bridge 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.82 508 A Washington-Liberty 11- 6 5 4 0.37 519 H Washington-Liberty 16- 5 11 6 0.81 521 H Yorktown 10-11 -1 5 --- -6.19 523 H Chantilly 13- 6 7 4 + 2.66 527 A Madison 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.17 529 A Yorktown 15- 6 9 3 + 3.37 606 H Robinson 2- 3 -1 0 -1.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Stone Bridge 8- 9 -1 5 --- -6.82 521 H Yorktown 10-11 -1 5 --- -6.19 317 A Sidwell Friends 8- 3 5 8 - 429 H Herndon 10- 8 2 4 - -2.87OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 328 A Yorktown 12- 5 7 3 + 3.37 414 A Wando 5- 6 -1 -3 + 523 H Chantilly 13- 6 7 4 + 2.66 527 A Madison 9- 7 2 -1 + 3.17 529 A Yorktown 15- 6 9 3 + 3.37
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 84.82 Power Rank................. 15 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 57.33 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 22 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5748 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 69 RPI Rating............... .6638 RPI Rank................... 9 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 13 Selection sum ........... 89 Selection Rank ............ 24 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 30. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 17 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 65. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 11 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 5.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.8 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 0.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.3