All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
Nickname = Coach =GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 84.8199997 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 H Madison (14- 2, 85.2) 7-14 323 H Washington-Liberty ( 8- 6, 79.4) 14- 1 325 A West Potomac (10- 7, 84.1) 6- 7 326 A DeMatha ( 0- 0, 93.7) 6-11 328 A Oceanside Academy 5- 7 330 A Wando 10-11 406 A South Lakes ( 2-13, 73.4) 12- 1 414 H McLean ( 9- 9, 78.9) 4- 5 415 A Stone Bridge 17-12 418 N Douglas Freeman 7- 5 420 A Marshall ( 3- 9, 68.2) 18- 3 422 H Oakton (12- 6, 81.6) 6- 7 428 A Wakefield HS ( 3-12, 69.7) 21- 0 430 A Herndon ( 6- 8, 80.7) 14- 3 506 H Yorktown (15- 3, 80.4) 8-13 513 H Marshall ( 3- 9, 68.2) 11- 1 515 A McLean ( 9- 9, 78.9) 12- 2 520 A Yorktown (15- 3, 80.4) 12-18 522 H Chantilly (10- 8, 81.3) 17- 7 529 A Madison (14- 2, 85.2) 1
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Madison 7-14 -7 0 --- -7.51 323 H Washington-Liberty 14- 1 13 6 0.69 325 A West Potomac 6- 7 -1 0 -0.87 326 A DeMatha 6-11 -5 -9 n/a 406 A South Lakes 12- 1 11 10 0.00 414 H McLean 4- 5 -1 6 --- -7.85 420 A Marshall 18- 3 15 15 0.00 422 H Oakton 6- 7 -1 4 -- -5.10 428 A Wakefield HS 21- 0 21 14 0.00 430 A Herndon 14- 3 11 3 + 3.81 506 H Yorktown 8-13 -5 5 --- -10.31 513 H Marshall 11- 1 10 17 0.00 515 A McLean 12- 2 10 5 1.95 520 A Yorktown 12-18 -6 3 --- -9.51 522 H Chantilly 17- 7 10 4 + 2.54UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 H Madison 7-14 -7 0 --- -7.51 414 H McLean 4- 5 -1 6 --- -7.85 506 H Yorktown 8-13 -5 5 --- -10.31 520 A Yorktown 12-18 -6 3 --- -9.51 422 H Oakton 6- 7 -1 4 -- -5.10OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A DeMatha 6-11 -5 -9 + 430 A Herndon 14- 3 11 3 + 3.81 522 H Chantilly 17- 7 10 4 + 2.54
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 84.82 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 56.09 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 7 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5313 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 20 RPI Rating............... .5550 RPI Rank................... 15 Champ. Probability ...... 2.2 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 53 Selection Rank ............ 16 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 10. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 12 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 0. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 18 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 10.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 10- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -4.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7