All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 97.0800018 home-field advantage = -0.59 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 A Severn School ( 5-11, 92.8) 9- 7 307 H Mount St Joseph (10- 8, 93.5) 9- 8 311 H Gilman ( 4-13, 92.1) 7- 6 315 A Haverford School (17- 4, 97.4) 10-11 320 A Benjamin School (24- 1, 97.3) 15- 7 321 A Jupiter (14- 8, 90.6) 8- 4 322 A St Andrews (18- 7, 94.8) 16-11 329 A St James (13- 3, 88.5) 12- 5 401 H Riverside (13- 4, 85.2) 20- 3 404 H St Stephen-St Agnes ( 3-12, 84.5) 16- 2 408 H Severna Park (19- 1, 91.3) 13- 5 411 H St Albans ( 8- 9, 89.3) 11- 7 414 H Gonzaga (10-10, 94.5) 9- 8 417 A Bullis (16- 5, 96.2) 11- 8 422 H Blue Ridge School (15- 8, 90.6) 12- 6 425 A Episcopal ( 9- 9, 89.5) 15- 5 429 H Georgetown Prep ( 8- 9, 92.5) 12- 3 506 H St Albans ( 8- 9, 89.3) 11- 7 509 H Bullis (16- 5, 96.2) 9- 7
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Severn School 9- 7 2 3 -1.72 307 H Mount St Joseph 9- 8 1 4 - -3.13 311 H Gilman 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.61 315 A Haverford School 10-11 -1 0 n/a 320 A Benjamin School 15- 7 8 0 n/a 321 A Jupiter 8- 4 4 5 n/a 322 A St Andrews 16-11 5 1 n/a 329 A St James 12- 5 7 7 0.00 401 H Riverside 20- 3 17 12 n/a 404 H St Stephen-St Agnes 16- 2 14 13 n/a 408 H Severna Park 13- 5 8 6 0.62 411 H St Albans 11- 7 4 8 - -3.00 414 H Gonzaga 9- 8 1 3 - -2.19 417 A Bullis 11- 8 3 0 + 2.76 422 H Blue Ridge School 12- 6 6 7 n/a 425 A Episcopal 15- 5 10 6 n/a 429 H Georgetown Prep 12- 3 9 5 1.79 506 H St Albans 11- 7 4 8 - -3.00 509 H Bullis 9- 7 2 1 0.58UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Gilman 7- 6 1 5 -- -4.61 307 H Mount St Joseph 9- 8 1 4 - -3.13 411 H St Albans 11- 7 4 8 - -3.00 414 H Gonzaga 9- 8 1 3 - -2.19 506 H St Albans 11- 7 4 8 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 320 A Benjamin School 15- 7 8 0 +++ 322 A St Andrews 16-11 5 1 + 417 A Bullis 11- 8 3 0 + 2.76
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 97.08 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 81.21 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 13 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6502 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 24 RPI Rating............... .6711 RPI Rank................... 6 Champ. Probability ...... 5.0 Championship Rank ......... 9 Selection sum ........... 34 Selection Rank ............ 7 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 130. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 4 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 4 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.8 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 18- 1 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 2.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 8- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 3.4 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 5.0