All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 83.4000015 home-field advantage = -1.00 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 422 A Shakopee ( 6- 8, 75.8) 14- 7 424 H Edina (18- 1, 87.1) 10- 8 429 H Eagan ( 2-13, 68.9) 20- 3 501 A Benilde-St Margarets (13- 5, 81.8) 9-11 503 H Maple Grove ( 5-10, 73.2) 15- 1 506 A Farmington (15- 1, 83.8) 3-10 508 A Rosemount (11- 4, 81.6) 13- 8 510 A Northfield ( 8- 6, 72.5) 23- 9 512 A Owatonna ( 6- 8, 73.5) 17- 6 513 H Eastview/Apple Valley ( 3-12, 73.8) 14- 3 515 H Lakeville South ( 8- 7, 77.4) 6- 4 520 H Prior Lake ( 9- 6, 80.4) 5- 9 522 H East Ridge (13- 6, 80.8) 5- 7 527 H Southwest Christian ( 9- 5, 68.9) 16- 4 531 H New Prague ( 9- 6, 79.1) 17- 4 603 A Farmington (15- 1, 83.8) 9- 8 610 N Minnetonka (14- 5, 84.1) 12- 8 612 N Edina (18- 1, 87.1) 4-10 614 N East Ridge (13- 6, 80.8) 18- 5
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Shakopee 14- 7 7 6 0.39 424 H Edina 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.71 429 H Eagan 20- 3 17 15 0.00 501 A Benilde-St Margarets 9-11 -2 0 - -2.61 503 H Maple Grove 15- 1 14 11 0.00 506 A Farmington 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.60 508 A Rosemount 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.20 510 A Northfield 23- 9 14 9 0.00 512 A Owatonna 17- 6 11 8 0.00 513 H Eastview/Apple Valley 14- 3 11 10 0.00 515 H Lakeville South 6- 4 2 7 -- -5.00 520 H Prior Lake 5- 9 -4 3 --- -7.99 522 H East Ridge 5- 7 -2 3 -- -5.58 527 H Southwest Christian 16- 4 12 15 0.00 531 H New Prague 17- 4 13 5 1.71 603 A Farmington 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.40 610 N Minnetonka 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.74 612 N Edina 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.29 614 N East Ridge 18- 5 13 2 ++ 4.42UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 520 H Prior Lake 5- 9 -4 3 --- -7.99 506 A Farmington 3-10 -7 -1 -- -5.60 515 H Lakeville South 6- 4 2 7 -- -5.00 522 H East Ridge 5- 7 -2 3 -- -5.58 501 A Benilde-St Margarets 9-11 -2 0 - -2.61 612 N Edina 4-10 -6 -3 - -2.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 H Edina 10- 8 2 -2 ++ 4.71 508 A Rosemount 13- 8 5 0 ++ 4.20 610 N Minnetonka 12- 8 4 0 ++ 4.74 614 N East Ridge 18- 5 13 2 ++ 4.42 603 A Farmington 9- 8 1 -1 + 2.40
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 83.40 Power Rank................. 5 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 55.37 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 5 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7568 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6531 RPI Rank................... 3 Champ. Probability ...... 7.0 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 9 Selection Rank ............ 3 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 115. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 3 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 100. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 5 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -1.2 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 4- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -0.4 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 1.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.7