Northwest Black
W-L: (12- 3) PR = 98.8088Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 19- 0 412 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 18- 4 412 A Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 24- 1 419 H Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 4- 6 419 A Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 12- 9 426 H Billings Beartooth (11- 4, 97.1) 13- 5 426 H Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 18- 1 501 A Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 13- 7 502 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 13- 5 504 H Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 24- 5 510 H Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 5- 8 510 H Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 7- 5 517 H Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 19- 3 517 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 19- 1 518 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 5- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 H Helena West 19- 0 19 6 0.00
412 A Great Falls 18- 4 14 5 0.00
412 A Helena West 24- 1 23 5 0.04
419 H Bozeman Black 4- 6 -2 -1 -1.18
419 A Helena East 12- 9 3 0 + 2.70
426 H Billings Beartooth 13- 5 8 2 + 3.06
426 H Sheridan 18- 1 17 11 0.00
501 A Northwest Green 13- 7 6 6 0.00
502 H Missoula Wild 13- 5 8 4 1.27
504 H Great Falls 24- 5 19 6 0.00
510 H Bozeman Black 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.18
510 H Bozeman White 7- 5 2 6 - -3.00
517 H Great Falls 19- 3 16 6 0.00
517 H Missoula Wild 19- 1 18 4 1.27
518 A Bozeman Black 5- 7 -2 -1 -0.64
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 510 H Bozeman Black 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.18 510 H Bozeman White 7- 5 2 6 - -3.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 A Helena East 12- 9 3 0 + 2.70 426 H Billings Beartooth 13- 5 8 2 + 3.06 |
Northwest Black Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billings Beartooth | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Bozeman White | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Cody | Northwest Black | Northwest Black 6- 1 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Great Falls | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Helena East | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Helena West | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Missoula Wild | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Northwest Green | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Sheridan | Northwest Black | Northwest Black |
PowerWise = 9
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 19- 0 -6.33 7.23 -0.27 1.03 7.20
0 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 18- 4 -6.56 6.99 0.27 1.03 7.52
0 A Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 24- 1 -6.33 7.23 0.27 1.03 7.76
0 H Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 4- 6 -0.00 13.56 -0.27 1.03 -0.28
0 A Helena East (11- 3, 98.2) 12- 9 -1.66 11.90 0.27 1.03 12.60
0 H Billings Beart (11- 4, 97.1) 13- 5 -2.76 10.80 -0.27 1.03 10.89
0 H Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 18- 1 -12.15 1.41 -0.27 1.03 1.18
0 A Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 13- 7 -6.96 6.59 0.27 1.03 7.11
0 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 13- 5 -4.55 9.00 -0.27 1.03 9.04
0 H Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 24- 5 -6.56 6.99 -0.27 1.03 6.96
0 H Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 5- 8 -0.00 13.56 -0.27 1.03 -0.28
0 H Bozeman White ( 4- 8, 92.7) 7- 5 -7.16 6.40 -0.27 1.03 6.34
0 H Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 19- 3 -6.56 6.99 -0.27 1.03 6.96
0 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 19- 1 -4.55 9.00 -0.27 1.03 9.04
0 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 5- 7 -0.00 13.56 0.27 1.03 -0.28
------
91.75
|
winning pts = 92.5909 losing points = -0.8392
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------