Kettle Run
W-L: ( 4- 9) PR = 79.3724Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 3-13 320 A Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 6-15 325 A Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 16-15 329 A Fluvanna County ( 5- 9, 79.3) 9-13 404 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 4-14 409 H Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 7-15 410 H Eastern View ( 0-13, 72.3) 15- 3 422 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 9-11 428 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 8-18 501 H Liberty Bealeton ( 6- 6, 81.3) 12-13 508 H James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 18-11 512 A Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 5-18 519 H Culpeper County ( 4-11, 75.7) 13- 8
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A Lightridge 3-13 -10 -6 0.00
320 A Fauquier 6-15 -9 -3 -1.55
325 A Tuscarora 16-15 1 2 -1.17
329 A Fluvanna County 9-13 -4 -1 - -3.47
404 A Broad Run 4-14 -10 -9 0.00
409 H Brentsville 7-15 -8 -5 -0.36
410 H Eastern View 15- 3 12 8 0.00
422 A Loudoun Valley 9-11 -2 -1 -0.51
428 A Brentsville 8-18 -10 -6 0.00
501 H Liberty Bealeton 12-13 -1 -1 0.34
508 H James Monroe 18-11 7 -1 ++ 6.00
512 A Meridian 5-18 -13 -8 0.00
519 H Culpeper County 13- 8 5 4 0.75
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 329 A Fluvanna County 9-13 -4 -1 - -3.47 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 508 H James Monroe 18-11 7 -1 ++ 6.00 |
Kettle Run Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Albemarle | |
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Alexandria City | |
| Annandale | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield | ||
| Bayside | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Kettle Run | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Clover Hill | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | Dominion 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfax | |
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier | ||
| First Colonial | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Forest Park | Kettle Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Kettle Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | Gainesville | ||
| Gar-field | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Goochland | |
| Grafton LC | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Handley | Handley | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Handley | |
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Kettle Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Hylton | Hylton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hylton | |
| Independence | Independence | Independence 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| James Monroe | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | John Champe | |
| Justice | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | ||
| Landstown | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | ||
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County 5- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | ||
| Madison | Madison | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Madison | |
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Kettle Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kettle Run | |
| Matoaca | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Kettle Run | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kettle Run | |
| Menchville LC | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Monacan | |
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Mount Vernon | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Mountain View | Mountain View | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Mountain View | |
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Orange County | Orange County | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Orange County | |
| Osbourn | Kettle Run | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Osbourn Park | Kettle Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Park View | Kettle Run | Kettle Run 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Kettle Run | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kettle Run | |
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | Patriot 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 3) | Potomac Falls | |
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Powhatan | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Princess Anne | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Riverbend | |
| Riverside | Riverside | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Riverside | |
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Salem | |
| Salem Virginia Beach | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Seton School | |
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St John Paul the Gre | |
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge 4- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Tandem Friends | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Thomas Dale | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Trinity Meadow View | |
| Tuscarora | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Unity Reed | Kettle Run | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Kettle Run | |
| Veritas School | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Virginia Academy | Kettle Run | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kettle Run | |
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | ||
| Wakefield School | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Woodgrove | |
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 51
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 3-13 -14.99 20.01 0.61 1.07 -15.43
0 A Fauquier ( 6- 9, 82.2) 6-15 -17.69 17.31 0.61 1.07 -18.32
0 A Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 16-15 -23.31 11.70 0.61 1.07 13.20
0 A Fluvanna Count ( 5- 9, 79.3) 9-13 -20.61 14.40 0.61 1.07 -21.45
0 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 4-14 -11.83 23.17 0.61 1.07 -12.03
0 H Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 7-15 -15.28 19.72 -0.61 1.07 -17.04
0 H Eastern View ( 0-13, 72.3) 15- 3 -27.61 7.39 -0.61 1.07 7.27
0 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 9-11 -19.64 15.36 0.61 1.07 -20.42
0 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 8-18 -15.28 19.72 0.61 1.07 -15.74
0 H Liberty Beale ( 6- 6, 81.3) 12-13 -18.58 16.42 -0.61 1.07 -20.58
0 H James Monroe (11- 3, 81.0) 18-11 -18.92 16.08 -0.61 1.07 16.60
0 A Meridian (13- 6, 87.1) 5-18 -12.81 22.19 0.61 1.07 -13.09
0 H Culpeper Count ( 4-11, 75.7) 13- 8 -24.17 10.83 -0.61 1.07 10.96
------
-106.07
|
winning pts = 48.0268 losing points = -154.0975
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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