Kettle Moraine
W-L: (17- 2) PR = 98.9118
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
404 H Hudson ( 3- 3, 97.1) 8- 6
409 A Mukwonago (13- 5, 97.5) 7- 6
411 A Waunakee (18- 3, 99.9) 9- 7
416 A Muskego ( 5-13, 87.7) 18- 4
419 A Wausau ( 6-11, 91.5) 18- 7
425 H Middleton (15- 2, 99.8) 8-11
428 H Oconomowoc ( 7-11, 89.8) 18- 1
430 H Arrowhead (10- 6, 94.1) 17- 7
505 H Oregon ( 7- 9, 94.8) 10- 3
507 A Catholic Memorial ( 2-14, 86.6) 14- 4
508 H Homestead (12- 8, 93.5) 12- 5
512 A Marquette University (15- 5, 95.5) 12- 9
514 H Waukesha ( 8- 8, 92.9) 18- 4
523 H Franklin ( 6-11, 90.3) 14- 8
530 H Muskego ( 5-13, 87.7) 26- 3
604 H Waukesha ( 8- 8, 92.9) 18- 3
605 H Homestead (12- 8, 93.5) 20- 7
607 H Mukwonago (13- 5, 97.5) 9- 8
614 N Waunakee (18- 3, 99.9) 8- 9
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
404 H Hudson 8- 6 2 3 -0.63
409 A Mukwonago 7- 6 1 1 0.48
411 A Waunakee 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.84
416 A Muskego 18- 4 14 10 0.00
419 A Wausau 18- 7 11 7 0.00
425 H Middleton 8-11 -3 0 - -2.94
428 H Oconomowoc 18- 1 17 10 0.00
430 H Arrowhead 17- 7 10 6 0.00
505 H Oregon 10- 3 7 5 0.07
507 A Catholic Memorial 14- 4 10 11 0.00
508 H Homestead 12- 5 7 6 0.00
512 A Marquette University 12- 9 3 3 0.42
514 H Waukesha 18- 4 14 7 0.00
523 H Franklin 14- 8 6 9 0.00
530 H Muskego 26- 3 23 12 0.00
604 H Waukesha 18- 3 15 7 0.00
605 H Homestead 20- 7 13 6 0.00
607 H Mukwonago 9- 8 1 2 -1.23
614 N Waunakee 8- 9 -1 -1 -0.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
425 H Middleton 8-11 -3 0 - -2.94
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
411 A Waunakee 9- 7 2 -2 + 3.84
|
Kettle Moraine Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Appleton |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   6- 2 vs 4- 3 |
|
Arrowhead |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Bay Port |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Brookfield |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
Catholic Memorial |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Cedarburg |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   5- 0 vs 2- 3 |
|
De Pere |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Kettle Moraine |
DeForest |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 1) |
Kettle Moraine |
Elkhorn |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Kettle Moraine |
Franklin |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Hamilton |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Kettle Moraine |
Homestead |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Hudson |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Janesville |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
|
Kenosha |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 6- 0)( 5- 1) |
Kettle Moraine |
Kimberly |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) |
Kettle Moraine |
La Crosse |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   2- 1 vs 0- 2 |
|
Madison |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   4- 2 vs 2- 3 |
|
Marquette University |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Middleton |
Middleton |
Middleton |
 
| |
Mukwonago |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Muskego |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Neenah |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 2) |
Kettle Moraine |
Notre Dame Green Ba |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   3- 0 vs 1- 2 |
|
Oak Creek |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   5- 0 vs 0- 5 |
|
Oconomowoc |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Oneida Nation |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Kettle Moraine |
Oregon |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Pulaski |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Kettle Moraine |
Sauk Prairie |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   4- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Sun Prairie |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   3- 2 vs 0- 4 |
|
Superior |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   3- 1 vs 0- 4 |
|
University Milwauke |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   5- 1 vs 0- 5 |
|
Verona |
Kettle Moraine |
|
insuffient: ( 6- 2)( 5- 2) |
Kettle Moraine |
Waukesha |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Waunakee |
Waunakee |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) |
Waunakee |
Wausau |
Kettle Moraine |
Kettle Moraine |
 
| |
Wauwatosa |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   7- 0 vs 4- 3 |
|
West Bend |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Whitefish Bay |
Kettle Moraine |
|
Kettle Moraine   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
PowerWise = 38

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 16.73
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Hudson ( 3- 3, 97.1) 8- 6 -2.77 14.62 -0.85 0.88 12.12
0 A Mukwonago (13- 5, 97.5) 7- 6 -2.36 15.02 0.85 0.88 13.98
0 A Waunakee (18- 3, 99.9) 9- 7 -0.00 17.38 0.85 0.88 16.06
0 A Muskego ( 5-13, 87.7) 18- 4 -12.17 5.21 0.85 0.88 5.34
0 A Wausau ( 6-11, 91.5) 18- 7 -8.37 9.01 0.85 0.88 8.69
0 H Middleton (15- 2, 99.8) 8-11 -0.08 17.31 -0.85 0.88 -0.82
0 H Oconomowoc ( 7-11, 89.8) 18- 1 -10.09 7.29 -0.85 0.88 5.67
0 H Arrowhead (10- 6, 94.1) 17- 7 -5.78 11.61 -0.85 0.88 9.47
0 H Oregon ( 7- 9, 94.8) 10- 3 -5.06 12.32 -0.85 0.88 10.10
0 A Catholic Memor ( 2-14, 86.6) 14- 4 -13.34 4.05 0.85 0.88 4.31
0 H Homestead (12- 8, 93.5) 12- 5 -6.38 11.00 -0.85 0.88 8.94
0 A Marquette Univ (15- 5, 95.5) 12- 9 -4.42 12.96 0.85 0.88 12.16
0 H Waukesha ( 8- 8, 92.9) 18- 4 -6.99 10.39 -0.85 0.88 8.40
0 H Franklin ( 6-11, 90.3) 14- 8 -9.59 7.79 -0.85 0.88 6.11
0 H Muskego ( 5-13, 87.7) 26- 3 -12.17 5.21 -0.85 0.88 3.84
0 H Waukesha ( 8- 8, 92.9) 18- 3 -6.99 10.39 -0.85 0.88 8.40
0 H Homestead (12- 8, 93.5) 20- 7 -6.38 11.00 -0.85 0.88 8.94
0 H Mukwonago (13- 5, 97.5) 9- 8 -2.36 15.02 -0.85 0.88 12.48
0 N Waunakee (18- 3, 99.9) 8- 9 -0.00 17.38 -0.00 0.88 -0.00
------
154.18
|
winning pts = 155.0021 losing points = -0.8191
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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