Francis Scott Key
W-L: ( 2-10) PR = 80.2655Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 H Walkersville (10- 4, 86.2) 8- 9 325 H North Hagerstown ( 4- 9, 76.7) 16- 1 403 A Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 4- 6 408 H Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 9-15 410 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 3-20 415 A Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 6-18 417 H Manchester Valley ( 9- 5, 87.0) 5-21 423 A South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 6-14 424 A Catoctin ( 9- 5, 83.5) 3-17 429 H Frederick ( 1-11, 73.2) 16- 2 501 A Smithsburg ( 8- 5, 83.3) 3-16 509 A South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 5-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 H Walkersville 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.00
325 H North Hagerstown 16- 1 15 4 0.94
403 A Winters Mill 4- 6 -2 -2 0.49
408 H Liberty 9-15 -6 -4 -1.19
410 H Century 3-20 -17 -8 0.00
415 A Westminster 6-18 -12 -6 0.00
417 H Manchester Valley 5-21 -16 -6 0.00
423 A South Carroll 6-14 -8 -4 -0.91
424 A Catoctin 3-17 -14 -4 -1.33
429 H Frederick 16- 2 14 7 0.00
501 A Smithsburg 3-16 -13 -4 -1.48
509 A South Carroll 5-18 -13 -4 -0.91
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 H Walkersville 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.00 |
Francis Scott Key Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Jemicy School | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | St Johns Catholic Pr | |
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Academy for College | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Atholton | Francis Scott Key | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Francis Scott Key | |
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Blair | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro 4- 2 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Bowie | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Francis Scott Key | tied - ( 2- 3) ( 2- 3) | Francis Scott Key | |
| Calvert | Calvert | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Calvert | |
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Centennial | |
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Clarksburg | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Dunbar | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Einstein | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Elkton | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Fallston | |
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Franklin | |
| Frederick | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Glenelg HS | |
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key 2- 3 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Great Mills | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Guilford Park | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Gwynn Park | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Hammond | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Harford Tech | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Howard | |
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Kennedy | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Kent County | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kent Island | |
| Kenwood | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Lake Clifton | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Lansdowne | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Laurel | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore 5- 1 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Loch Raven | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Long Reach | Francis Scott Key | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Francis Scott Key | |
| Magruder | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Meade | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Mergenthaler | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown 4- 2 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Milford Mill | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| MJ McDonough | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| North East Cecil | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| North Hagerstown | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Northwood | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | insuffient: ( 1- 5)( 2- 4) | Oakdale | |
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Oakland Mills | |
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Owings Mills | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Oxon Hill | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Paint Branch | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Parkdale | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Patapsco | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Patterson HS | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Patterson Mill | |
| Patuxent | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Perry Hall | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Perryville | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Pikesville | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Poolesville | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Francis Scott Key | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Francis Scott Key | |
| Reginald F Lewis | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Severn Run | Francis Scott Key | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Francis Scott Key | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Francis Scott Key | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Francis Scott Key | |
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Western STES | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Westlake | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Wicomico | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Wilde Lake | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Wootton | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| DC International PCS | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Jackson Reed | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key |
PowerWise = 103
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Walkersville (10- 4, 86.2) 8- 9 -13.71 21.89 -0.45 1.01 -14.31
0 H North Hagersto ( 4- 9, 76.7) 16- 1 -23.24 12.35 -0.45 1.01 12.04
0 A Winters Mill ( 7- 7, 82.3) 4- 6 -17.59 18.01 0.45 1.01 -17.33
0 H Liberty ( 8- 8, 84.5) 9-15 -15.38 20.21 -0.45 1.01 -16.00
0 H Century (10- 6, 89.0) 3-20 -10.86 24.74 -0.45 1.01 -11.43
0 A Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 6-18 -14.01 21.58 0.45 1.01 -13.72
0 H Manchester Val ( 9- 5, 87.0) 5-21 -12.94 22.66 -0.45 1.01 -13.53
0 A South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 6-14 -15.99 19.60 0.45 1.01 -15.72
0 A Catoctin ( 9- 5, 83.5) 3-17 -16.41 19.18 0.45 1.01 -16.15
0 H Frederick ( 1-11, 73.2) 16- 2 -26.65 8.94 -0.45 1.01 8.59
0 A Smithsburg ( 8- 5, 83.3) 3-16 -16.56 19.03 0.45 1.01 -16.30
0 A South Carroll ( 4-10, 83.9) 5-18 -15.99 19.60 0.45 1.01 -15.72
------
-129.59
|
winning pts = 20.6292 losing points = -150.2221
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------