Key School
W-L: (13- 4) PR = 79.5146Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 311 A Park School ( 4- 7, 79.0) 6- 4 314 H Bishop McNamara ( 1-12, 75.3) 11- 3 318 H St Vincent Pallotti ( 3-10, 78.8) 9- 6 325 A Indian Creek School ( 3- 8, 79.9) 6- 5 326 H Mount Carmel ( 1-11, 71.3) 14- 0 331 A FCA LC ( 4- 1, 80.4) 8-14 408 A Glenelg Country (11- 2, 80.5) 5- 8 410 A Jemicy School ( 4- 5, 74.2) 22- 5 422 H Annapolis Area Chris (11- 3, 81.3) 10-13 425 N Friends ( 4- 8, 76.3) 4- 3 428 H Chapelgate Christian ( 5- 7, 74.2) 17- 3 429 H Gunston School ( 6- 6, 77.4) 5- 4 502 A Cristo Rey Jesuit ( 0-10, 66.0) 14- 1 506 A Beth TFiloh ( 2- 9, 73.4) 18- 5 509 H Friends ( 4- 8, 76.3) 10- 1 513 A Annapolis Area Chris (11- 3, 81.3) 8- 7 515 N Glenelg Country (11- 2, 80.5) 10-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 A Park School 6- 4 2 0 1.91
314 H Bishop McNamara 11- 3 8 5 0.30
318 H St Vincent Pallotti 9- 6 3 1 1.82
325 A Indian Creek School 6- 5 1 -1 1.87
326 H Mount Carmel 14- 0 14 9 0.00
331 A FCA LC 8-14 -6 -1 - -3.67
408 A Glenelg Country 5- 8 -3 -1 -1.54
410 A Jemicy School 22- 5 17 5 0.11
422 H Annapolis Area Chris 10-13 -3 -1 -1.61
425 N Friends 4- 3 1 3 - -2.26
428 H Chapelgate Christian 17- 3 14 6 0.00
429 H Gunston School 5- 4 1 3 -1.56
502 A Cristo Rey Jesuit 14- 1 13 13 0.00
506 A Beth TFiloh 18- 5 13 6 0.00
509 H Friends 10- 1 9 4 1.29
513 A Annapolis Area Chris 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.28
515 N Glenelg Country 10-11 -1 -1 0.01
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 331 A FCA LC 8-14 -6 -1 - -3.67 425 N Friends 4- 3 1 3 - -2.26 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 513 A Annapolis Area Chris 8- 7 1 -2 + 3.28 |
Key School Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | tied - ( 9- 1) ( 9- 1) | Annapolis Area Chris | |
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Key School | Key School | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Key School | Key School | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Key School | Key School | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 0) | Concordia Prep | |
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Key School | Key School | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | DeMatha | |
| FCA LC | FCA LC | FCA LC | ||
| Friends | Key School | Key School | ||
| Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | Garrett County LC | ||
| Georgetown Day | Key School | Key School | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 4- 0) | Gerstell Academy | |
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | Glenelg Country | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Gonzaga | |
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Good Counsel | |
| Gunston School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Heights | Heights | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heights | |
| Indian Creek School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Jemicy School | Key School | Key School | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Key School | Key School 3- 1 vs 1- 2 | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Key School | Key School | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Salisbury School | Salisbury School | Salisbury School | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Key School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Key School | |
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Sidwell Friends | |
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | St Johns Catholic Pr | |
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Johns College HS | |
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St Marys Ryken | |
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Key School | Key School | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) | Sts Peter & Paul | |
| Tome School | Key School | Key School | ||
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Key School | Key School | ||
| Academy for College | Key School | Key School | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Arundel | Arundel | ||
| Atholton | Key School | Key School | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | ||
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Key School | Key School | ||
| Blair | Key School | Key School | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | Bohemia Manor | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Key School | Key School | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Key School | Key School | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Calvert | |
| Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | Cambridge SD | ||
| Carver A&T | Key School | Key School | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | Catonsville | ||
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | Century | ||
| CH Flowers | Key School | Key School | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Key School | Key School | ||
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Key School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Key School | |
| Clarksburg | Key School | Key School | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Key School | Key School | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Key School | Key School | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | Dulaney | ||
| Dunbar | Key School | Key School | ||
| Dundalk | Dundalk | Dundalk | ||
| DuVal | Key School | Key School | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Key School | Key School | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Key School | Key School | ||
| Einstein | Key School | Key School | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Key School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Key School | |
| Elkton | Key School | Key School | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Key School | Key School | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | Forest Park | ||
| Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | Francis Scott Key | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | Franklin | ||
| Frederick | Key School | Key School | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | Frederick Douglass B | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Key School | Key School | ||
| Friendly | Friendly | Friendly | ||
| Gaithersburg | Key School | Key School | ||
| Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | Glen Burnie | ||
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Key School | Key School | ||
| Great Mills | Great Mills | Great Mills | ||
| Guilford Park | Key School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Key School | |
| Gwynn Park | Key School | Key School | ||
| Hammond | Key School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Key School | |
| Harford Tech | Key School | Key School | ||
| Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | Hereford | ||
| High Point | High Point | High Point | ||
| Howard | Howard | Howard | ||
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | Huntingtown | ||
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Key School | Key School | ||
| Kennedy | Key School | Key School | ||
| Kent County | Key School | Key School | ||
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Key School | Key School | ||
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Key School | Key School | ||
| Lake Clifton | Key School | Key School | ||
| Lansdowne | Key School | Key School | ||
| Laurel | Key School | Key School | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | Liberty | ||
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Key School | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Key School | |
| Long Reach | Key School | Key School | ||
| Magruder | Key School | Key School | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Key School | Key School | ||
| Mergenthaler | Key School | Key School | ||
| Middletown | Middletown | Middletown | ||
| Milford Mill | Key School | Key School | ||
| MJ McDonough | Key School | Key School | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | National Academy Fou | ||
| New Town | Key School | Key School | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Key School | Key School | ||
| North East Cecil | Key School | Key School | ||
| North Hagerstown | Key School | Key School | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Key School | Key School | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | Northeast AA | ||
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Northwest | Northwest | ||
| Northwestern PG | Key School | Key School | ||
| Northwood | Key School | Key School | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | Oakland Mills | ||
| Old Mill | Old Mill | Old Mill | ||
| Overlea | Key School | Key School | ||
| Owings Mills | Key School | Key School | ||
| Oxon Hill | Key School | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Key School | |
| Paint Branch | Key School | Key School | ||
| Parkdale | Key School | Key School | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Key School | Key School | ||
| Patapsco | Key School | Key School | ||
| Patterson HS | Key School | Key School | ||
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | ||
| Patuxent | Key School | Key School | ||
| Perry Hall | Key School | Key School | ||
| Perryville | Key School | Key School | ||
| Pikesville | Key School | Key School | ||
| Poolesville | Key School | Key School | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Key School | Key School | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Key School | Key School | ||
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | Richard Montgomery | ||
| Rising Sun | Rising Sun | Rising Sun | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Key School | Key School | ||
| Severn Run | Key School | Key School | ||
| Severna Park | Severna Park | Severna Park | ||
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Key School | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Key School | |
| South River | South River | South River | ||
| Southern AA | Southern AA | Southern AA | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | ||
| Springbrook | Key School | Key School | ||
| St Charles | St Charles | St Charles | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Key School | Key School | ||
| Surrattsville | Surrattsville | Surrattsville | ||
| Thomas Stone | Key School | Key School | ||
| Towson | Towson | Towson | ||
| Tuscarora | Tuscarora | Tuscarora | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | Urbana | ||
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Key School | Key School | ||
| Western STES | Key School | Key School | ||
| Westlake | Key School | Key School | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Key School | Key School | ||
| Wicomico | Key School | Key School | ||
| Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | Wilde Lake | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | Winters Mill | ||
| Woodlawn | Key School | Key School | ||
| Wootton | Key School | Key School | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Key School | Key School | ||
| DC International PCS | Key School | Key School | ||
| Jackson Reed | Key School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Key School |
PowerWise = 98
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Park School ( 4- 7, 79.0) 6- 4 -20.92 14.67 0.45 0.71 10.79
0 H Bishop McNamar ( 1-12, 75.3) 11- 3 -24.64 10.95 -0.45 0.71 7.50
0 H St Vincent Pal ( 3-10, 78.8) 9- 6 -21.12 14.48 -0.45 0.71 10.02
0 A Indian Creek S ( 3- 8, 79.9) 6- 5 -19.96 15.63 0.45 0.71 11.47
0 H Mount Carmel ( 1-11, 71.3) 14- 0 -28.56 7.04 -0.45 0.71 4.71
0 A FCA LC ( 4- 1, 80.4) 8-14 -19.50 16.09 0.45 0.71 -13.60
0 A Glenelg Countr (11- 2, 80.5) 5- 8 -19.37 16.22 0.45 0.71 -13.51
0 A Jemicy School ( 4- 5, 74.2) 22- 5 -25.72 9.88 0.45 0.71 7.37
0 H Annapolis Area (11- 3, 81.3) 10-13 -18.55 17.04 -0.45 0.71 -13.56
0 N Friends ( 4- 8, 76.3) 4- 3 -23.65 11.94 -0.00 0.71 8.53
0 H Chapelgate Chr ( 5- 7, 74.2) 17- 3 -25.68 9.92 -0.45 0.71 6.76
0 H Gunston School ( 6- 6, 77.4) 5- 4 -22.50 13.10 -0.45 0.71 9.03
0 A Cristo Rey Jes ( 0-10, 66.0) 14- 1 -33.86 1.73 0.45 0.71 1.55
0 A Beth TFiloh ( 2- 9, 73.4) 18- 5 -26.49 9.11 0.45 0.71 6.82
0 H Friends ( 4- 8, 76.3) 10- 1 -23.65 11.94 -0.45 0.71 8.21
0 A Annapolis Area (11- 3, 81.3) 8- 7 -18.55 17.04 0.45 0.71 12.48
0 N Glenelg Countr (11- 2, 80.5) 10-11 -19.37 16.22 -0.00 0.71 -13.83
------
50.73
|
winning pts = 105.2385 losing points = -54.5049
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------