Kentucky Country Day
W-L: ( 8- 7) PR = 88.3350Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 304 H Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 5- 6 311 H Christian Academy-Lo ( 9- 5, 86.6) 3- 2 318 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 73.5) 20- 0 324 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 15-11 325 H Louisville Collegiat ( 6- 8, 84.2) 12- 1 409 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 10- 4 411 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 12- 6 416 H St Xavier Louisville ( 6- 1, 99.1) 1-17 422 A Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 7- 8 424 A Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 3-19 505 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 12- 8 507 H Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 8- 9 510 H Christian Academy-Lo ( 9- 5, 86.6) 8- 4 512 A Trinity Louisville (13- 1, 99.9) 2-19 514 A St Xavier Louisville ( 6- 1, 99.1) 1-28
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
304 H Frederick Douglass 5- 6 -1 -1 0.06
311 H Christian Academy-Lo 3- 2 1 2 -1.44
318 A Walton-Verona 20- 0 20 14 0.00
324 A Ballard Louisville 15-11 4 1 + 2.93
325 H Louisville Collegiat 12- 1 11 5 0.13
409 H North Oldham 10- 4 6 5 0.43
411 H DuPont Manual 12- 6 6 5 0.00
416 H St Xavier Louisville 1-17 -16 -10 0.00
422 A Eastern 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.02
424 A Trinity Louisville 3-19 -16 -12 0.00
505 A Dixie Heights 12- 8 4 3 0.96
507 H Henry Clay 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.61
510 H Christian Academy-Lo 8- 4 4 2 1.56
512 A Trinity Louisville 2-19 -17 -12 0.00
514 A St Xavier Louisville 1-28 -27 -11 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Eastern 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.02 507 H Henry Clay 8- 9 -1 2 - -2.61 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 324 A Ballard Louisville 15-11 4 1 + 2.93 |
Kentucky Country Day Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anderson County | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Atherton | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Ballard Louisville | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Bluegrass | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Bowling Green | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bryan Station | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Central Hardin | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Christian Academy-Lo | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Collins | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Cooper | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Covington Catholic | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 3- 2 vs 1- 4 | ||
| DeSales | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Dixie Heights | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| DuPont Manual | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Eastern | Eastern | Eastern | ||
| Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | Frederick Douglass | ||
| Great Crossing | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Greenwood | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Henry Clay | Henry Clay | Henry Clay | ||
| Lafayette | Kentucky Country Day | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Lexington Catholic | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Lexington Christian | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Louisville Collegiat | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Male | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| North Hardin | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| North Oldham | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Oldham County | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Owensboro | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Paul Laurence Dunbar | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Ryle | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Sayre | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Scott County | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 3- 2 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Shelby County | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| South Oldham | South Oldham | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) | South Oldham | |
| South Warren | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| St Henry | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | St Xavier Louisville | ||
| Tates Creek | Kentucky Country Day | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 0- 4) | Kentucky Country Day | |
| Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | Trinity Louisville | ||
| Walton-Verona | Kentucky Country Day | Kentucky Country Day | ||
| Woodford County | Woodford County | Woodford County 4- 1 vs 2- 3 |
PowerWise = 34
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Frederick Doug (15- 3, 90.1) 5- 6 -9.75 22.23 -0.75 0.91 -9.54
0 H Christian Acad ( 9- 5, 86.6) 3- 2 -13.25 18.73 -0.75 0.91 16.32
0 A Walton-Verona ( 4-12, 73.5) 20- 0 -26.40 5.58 0.75 0.91 5.75
0 A Ballard Louisv (10- 6, 86.5) 15-11 -13.39 18.60 0.75 0.91 17.57
0 H Louisville Col ( 6- 8, 84.2) 12- 1 -15.68 16.30 -0.75 0.91 14.12
0 H North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 10- 4 -15.38 16.60 -0.75 0.91 14.39
0 H DuPont Manual (11- 8, 83.8) 12- 6 -16.12 15.86 -0.75 0.91 13.72
0 H St Xavier Loui ( 6- 1, 99.1) 1-17 -0.84 31.14 -0.75 0.91 -1.45
0 A Eastern ( 7- 6, 86.6) 7- 8 -13.34 18.65 0.75 0.91 -11.43
0 A Trinity Louisv (13- 1, 99.9) 3-19 -0.00 31.98 0.75 0.91 -0.68
0 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 12- 8 -15.35 16.63 0.75 0.91 15.78
0 H Henry Clay (13- 5, 87.5) 8- 9 -12.43 19.56 -0.75 0.91 -11.96
0 H Christian Acad ( 9- 5, 86.6) 8- 4 -13.25 18.73 -0.75 0.91 16.32
0 A Trinity Louisv (13- 1, 99.9) 2-19 -0.00 31.98 0.75 0.91 -0.68
0 A St Xavier Loui ( 6- 1, 99.1) 1-28 -0.84 31.14 0.75 0.91 -0.08
------
78.15
|
winning pts = 113.9741 losing points = -35.8249
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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