All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 74.7200012 home-field advantage = -0.42 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 H Green Hope (10-11, 82.0) 8-13 228 A Corinth Holders ( 7-13, 66.9) 14- 2 304 A Durham Academy (16- 3, 85.0) 7-21 307 A Millbrook (16- 5, 76.5) 12-20 311 H Pinecrest (13- 8, 74.6) 12- 7 318 A Broughton (17- 6, 82.2) 1-14 321 H Cary Academy ( 6- 7, 73.8) 12-13 325 A Enloe ( 4-15, 70.8) 10- 7 328 H Terry Sanford (11- 8, 65.0) 19- 7 409 H Wakefield ( 7-10, 67.4) 9- 4 411 H North Raleigh Christia ( 4-12, 69.4) 10- 6 415 H Heritage (19- 3, 82.1) 7-11 416 H Wake Prep ( 5- 7, 57.7) 16- 1 422 H East Chapel Hill (13- 8, 76.3) 10-14 424 H Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 65.9) 18- 5 426 A New Bern (12-10, 72.6) 13- 7 429 A Northern Durham ( 2-13, 52.4) 18- 0 502 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 72.5) 11-10 506 A Chapel Hill (12- 8, 77.6) 4-12 508 H Fuquay-Varina (14- 8, 71.3) 16- 6 513 A Green Level (13- 8, 84.2) 4-15
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 H Green Hope 8-13 -5 -6 1.86 228 A Corinth Holders 14- 2 12 7 0.00 304 A Durham Academy 7-21 -14 -10 0.00 307 A Millbrook 12-20 -8 -2 -- -4.84 311 H Pinecrest 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.46 318 A Broughton 1-14 -13 -7 0.00 321 H Cary Academy 12-13 -1 1 - -2.32 325 A Enloe 10- 7 3 3 -0.56 328 H Terry Sanford 19- 7 12 10 0.00 409 H Wakefield 9- 4 5 7 - -2.00 411 H North Raleigh Christia 10- 6 4 5 -1.70 415 H Heritage 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.00 416 H Wake Prep 16- 1 15 17 0.00 422 H East Chapel Hill 10-14 -4 -1 - -2.78 424 H Riverside Durham 18- 5 13 9 0.00 426 A New Bern 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.23 429 A Northern Durham 18- 0 18 21 0.00 502 A Carrboro 11-10 1 1 -0.86 506 A Chapel Hill 4-12 -8 -3 - -3.71 508 H Fuquay-Varina 16- 6 10 3 + 3.19 513 A Green Level 4-15 -11 -9 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 307 A Millbrook 12-20 -8 -2 -- -4.84 321 H Cary Academy 12-13 -1 1 - -2.32 409 H Wakefield 9- 4 5 7 - -2.00 422 H East Chapel Hill 10-14 -4 -1 - -2.78 506 A Chapel Hill 4-12 -8 -3 - -3.71OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 H Pinecrest 12- 7 5 0 ++ 4.46 426 A New Bern 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.23 415 H Heritage 7-11 -4 -7 + 3.00 508 H Fuquay-Varina 16- 6 10 3 + 3.19
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 74.72 Power Rank................. 52 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 46.09 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 59 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6420 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 33 RPI Rating............... .5441 RPI Rank................... 47 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 79 Selection sum ........... 143 Selection Rank ............ 45 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -145. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 71 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -120. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 63 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 12- 9 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -14.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.0