---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys JH Rose 1
  
JH Rose               
W-L: (17- 5) PR = 85.9029

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Cape Fear HS ( 6- 8, 78.7) 16- 3 227 H DH Conley ( 0- 8, 71.4) 15- 1 228 H Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 7-20 303 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 13- 3 304 A Fike ( 1-16, 72.9) 17- 4 311 H Fike ( 1-16, 72.9) 15- 4 312 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 9-12 327 A West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 16- 3 331 H Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 16- 4 401 H DH Conley ( 0- 8, 71.4) 22- 1 402 A Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 9- 8 408 H Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 20- 7 409 A New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 9- 7 414 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 5-12 422 H Leesville Road (10-11, 88.8) 5-13 428 A Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 17- 6 429 H West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 17- 4 430 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 15- 4 505 A Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 16- 7 507 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 14-11 515 H Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 14-13 520 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 3-16

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 H Cape Fear HS           16- 3      13     7           0.00
   227 H DH Conley              15- 1      14    15           0.00
   228 H Croatan                 7-20     -13    -8           0.00
   303 H Swansboro              13- 3      10     8           0.00
   304 A Fike                   17- 4      13    13           0.00
   311 H Fike                   15- 4      11    13           0.00
   312 A First Flight            9-12      -3    -5           1.77
   327 A West Carteret          16- 3      13     8           0.00
   331 H Havelock               16- 4      12     5           0.00
   401 H DH Conley              22- 1      21    15           0.00
   402 A Northside               9- 8       1     2          -1.28
   408 H Jacksonville           20- 7      13     6           0.00
   409 A New Bern                9- 7       2     0           1.67
   414 H First Flight            5-12      -7    -4          -0.77
   422 H Leesville Road          5-13      -8    -3    -     -2.34
   428 A Havelock               17- 6      11     5           0.08
   429 H West Carteret          17- 4      13     9           0.00
   430 H Northside              15- 4      11     3    +      2.18
   505 A Jacksonville           16- 7       9     5           0.00
   507 H New Bern               14-11       3     1    +      2.13
   515 H Walter M Williams      14-13       1     4    -     -3.21
   520 A First Flight            3-16     -13    -5          -0.23

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Leesville Road          5-13      -8    -3    -     -2.34
   515 H Walter M Williams      14-13       1     4    -     -3.21

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Northside              15- 4      11     3    +      2.18
   507 H New Bern               14-11       3     1    +      2.13

JH Rose Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca JH Rose   JH Rose
Asheville HS JH Rose   JH Rose
Asheville School JH Rose   JH Rose
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Athens Drive
Atkins JH Rose   JH Rose
Ballantyne Ridge JH Rose   JH Rose
Bishop McGuinness JH Rose   JH Rose
Bradford Prep JH Rose   JH Rose
Broughton Broughton tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) Broughton
Butler JH Rose   JH Rose
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Cape Fear HS JH Rose JH Rose  
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro JH Rose insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) JH Rose
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian JH Rose   JH Rose
Cary HS JH Rose   JH Rose
Cedar Ridge JH Rose tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Clayton
Cleveland JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Cornerstone Charter JH Rose   JH Rose
Croatan Croatan Croatan  
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley JH Rose JH Rose  
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth JH Rose   JH Rose
Eastern Alamance JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) JH Rose
Eastern Guilford JH Rose   JH Rose
Enloe JH Rose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Fike JH Rose JH Rose  
First Flight First Flight First Flight  
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Garner JH Rose   JH Rose
Glenn JH Rose   JH Rose
Grays Creek JH Rose JH Rose   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley JH Rose tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Havelock JH Rose JH Rose  
Heritage Heritage Heritage   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central JH Rose   JH Rose
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Independence JH Rose   JH Rose
Jack Britt JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Jacksonville JH Rose JH Rose  
JF Webb JH Rose   JH Rose
John Paul II Catholi JH Rose JH Rose   6- 0 vs 2- 4
Jordan Jordan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road Leesville Road  
Lincoln Charter JH Rose   JH Rose
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Millbrook
Mooresville JH Rose   JH Rose
Mount Tabor JH Rose   JH Rose
Mountain Island Char JH Rose   JH Rose
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern JH Rose JH Rose  
New Hanover JH Rose JH Rose   3- 0 vs 1- 2
North Brunswick JH Rose JH Rose   4- 0 vs 2- 2
North Davidson JH Rose   JH Rose
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Northern Durham JH Rose   JH Rose
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside JH Rose JH Rose  
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) JH Rose
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek JH Rose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Parkwood JH Rose   JH Rose
Patton Morganton JH Rose   JH Rose
Pine Forest JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge JH Rose   JH Rose
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant JH Rose   JH Rose
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale JH Rose   JH Rose
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham JH Rose   JH Rose
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Roxboro Community JH Rose   JH Rose
Sanderson JH Rose tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Seaforth Seaforth insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) Seaforth
South Brunswick JH Rose   JH Rose
South Garner JH Rose   JH Rose
South Iredell JH Rose   JH Rose
South Mecklenburg JH Rose   JH Rose
South View JH Rose   JH Rose
Southeast Alamance JH Rose tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Southeast Guilford JH Rose   JH Rose
Southern Alamance JH Rose tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford JH Rose   JH Rose
St Davids School JH Rose   JH Rose
St Stephens JH Rose   JH Rose
Sun Valley JH Rose   JH Rose
Swansboro JH Rose JH Rose  
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford JH Rose insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) JH Rose
Topsail Topsail tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Topsail
Union Pines JH Rose tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) JH Rose
Vance Charter JH Rose   JH Rose
Voyager Academy JH Rose   JH Rose
Wake Forest JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Wake Prep JH Rose   JH Rose
Wakefield JH Rose tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) JH Rose
Walter M Williams JH Rose JH Rose  
Watauga JH Rose   JH Rose
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick JH Rose insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) JH Rose
West Carteret JH Rose JH Rose  
West Forsyth JH Rose insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) JH Rose
West Stokes JH Rose   JH Rose
Western Alamance JH Rose tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Western Guilford JH Rose tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) JH Rose
Willow Spring Willow Spring tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Willow Spring

PowerWise = 87


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Cape Fear HS    ( 6- 8, 78.7)    16- 3      -21.16      12.65      -0.27         0.82            10.09
   0 H DH Conley       ( 0- 8, 71.4)    15- 1      -28.49       5.32      -0.27         0.82             4.11
   0 H Croatan         (21- 2, 94.4)     7-20       -5.52      28.29      -0.27         0.82            -4.72
   0 H Swansboro       ( 6-14, 78.7)    13- 3      -21.24      12.57      -0.27         0.82            10.03
   0 A Fike            ( 1-16, 72.9)    17- 4      -26.98       6.83       0.27         0.82             5.79
   0 H Fike            ( 1-16, 72.9)    15- 4      -26.98       6.83      -0.27         0.82             5.34
   0 A First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)     9-12       -9.50      24.31       0.27         0.82            -7.52
   0 A West Carteret   ( 4-12, 77.6)    16- 3      -22.35      11.46       0.27         0.82             9.56
   0 H Havelock        ( 6-10, 80.7)    16- 4      -19.19      14.62      -0.27         0.82            11.70
   0 H DH Conley       ( 0- 8, 71.4)    22- 1      -28.49       5.32      -0.27         0.82             4.11
   0 A Northside       (11- 8, 83.4)     9- 8      -16.55      17.26       0.27         0.82            14.29
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 6-12, 80.4)    20- 7      -19.49      14.32      -0.27         0.82            11.45
   0 A New Bern        (12-10, 85.3)     9- 7      -14.60      19.21       0.27         0.82            15.88
   0 H First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)     5-12       -9.50      24.31      -0.27         0.82            -7.96
   0 H Leesville Road  (10-11, 88.8)     5-13      -11.06      22.75      -0.27         0.82            -9.24
   0 A Havelock        ( 6-10, 80.7)    17- 6      -19.19      14.62       0.27         0.82            12.14
   0 H West Carteret   ( 4-12, 77.6)    17- 4      -22.35      11.46      -0.27         0.82             9.12
   0 H Northside       (11- 8, 83.4)    15- 4      -16.55      17.26      -0.27         0.82            13.85
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 6-12, 80.4)    16- 7      -19.49      14.32       0.27         0.82            11.89
   0 H New Bern        (12-10, 85.3)    14-11      -14.60      19.21      -0.27         0.82            15.44
   0 H Walter M Willi  (11-11, 82.0)    14-13      -17.94      15.87      -0.27         0.82            12.71
   0 A First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)     3-16       -9.50      24.31       0.27         0.82            -7.52
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       140.55

winning pts = 177.5198 losing points = -36.9700

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------