Jefferson Forest
W-L: (14- 3) PR = 89.0469Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 H North Cross School (11- 7, 88.5) 16-12 319 A Charlottesville ( 3-11, 78.8) 17- 1 327 A New Covenant School ( 1- 8, 82.3) 20- 6 401 A Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 7-14 408 A Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 11- 4 410 H Hidden Valley ( 2-12, 76.0) 24- 6 421 A Blacksburg ( 8- 8, 82.5) 14- 3 424 H EC Glass (11- 5, 88.7) 9- 8 501 A Christiansburg ( 0-14, 73.2) 16- 3 503 A Western Albemarle (14- 5, 86.7) 12-10 505 H William Byrd ( 8- 7, 82.8) 14- 4 515 A Rockbridge County ( 4- 9, 81.4) 19- 6 519 H Cave Spring ( 7- 7, 82.3) 17- 3 520 A Franklin County ( 6-10, 79.7) 18- 3 527 H EC Glass (11- 5, 88.7) 9- 7 529 A Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 3-14 606 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 11-15
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 H North Cross School 16-12 4 1 + 2.82
319 A Charlottesville 17- 1 16 10 0.00
327 A New Covenant School 20- 6 14 6 0.00
401 A Salem 7-14 -7 -3 -1.66
408 A Albemarle 11- 4 7 4 1.16
410 H Hidden Valley 24- 6 18 14 0.00
421 A Blacksburg 14- 3 11 6 0.00
424 H EC Glass 9- 8 1 1 0.03
501 A Christiansburg 16- 3 13 15 0.00
503 A Western Albemarle 12-10 2 2 0.30
505 H William Byrd 14- 4 10 7 0.00
515 A Rockbridge County 19- 6 13 7 0.00
519 H Cave Spring 17- 3 14 7 0.00
520 A Franklin County 18- 3 15 9 0.00
527 H EC Glass 9- 7 2 1 1.03
529 A Salem 3-14 -11 -3 -1.66
606 A Loudoun County 11-15 -4 -2 -1.95
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 H North Cross School 16-12 4 1 + 2.82 |
Jefferson Forest Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Alexandria City | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Annandale | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Atlee | |
| Battlefield | Battlefield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Battlefield | |
| Bayside | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Benedictine | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Blacksburg | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Blue Ridge School | |
| Brentsville | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Briar Woods | |
| Broad Run | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Brooke Point | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Catholic HS | |
| Cave Spring | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Centreville | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Clover Hill | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Colgan | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Cox | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Culpeper County | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| EC Glass | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Edison | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Fairfax | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Falls Church | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Fauquier | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| First Colonial | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Flint Hill | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Fluvanna County | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Forest Park | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Fork Union Military | |
| Franklin County | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Freedom South Ridin | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Gainesville | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Gar-field | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Glen Allen | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Goochland | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Grafton LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Grassfield LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Green Run | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Handley | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Hanover | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Hayfield | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Hidden Valley | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Highland School | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Highland Springs | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Hylton | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| James River | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Jamestown LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Justice | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Kellam | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Kempsville | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Kettle Run | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Lafayette LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Lake Braddock | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Landstown | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Langley | Langley | Langley | ||
| Lewis | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Lightridge | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Lloyd C Bird | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Marshall | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Massaponax | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Matoaca | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Maury LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| McLean | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Mechanicsville | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Menchville LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Meridian | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Midlothian | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Mills Godwin | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Monacan | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Monticello | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Mount Vernon | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Mountain View | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| New Covenant School | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Norfolk Collegiate | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| North Cross School | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| North Stafford | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Orange County | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Osbourn | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Osbourn Park | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Park View | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 9- 1)( 8- 2) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Patriot | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Powhatan | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Princess Anne | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Riverbend | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Rockbridge County | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Rockingham LC | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Seton School | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| South County | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| South Lakes | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | St Annes-Belfield | |
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Steward School | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Stone Bridge | |
| Strasburg LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Tabb LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Tallwood | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Tandem Friends | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Thomas Dale | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Trinity Christian | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Trinity Episcopal | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Tuscarora | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Unity Reed | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Veritas School | Jefferson Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Virginia Academy | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Virginia Episcopal S | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest 4- 0 vs 2- 2 | ||
| Wakefield HS | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Wakefield School | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | West Potomac | ||
| West Springfield | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Western Albemarle | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Westfield | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| William Byrd | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| William Fleming | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Woodberry Forest | |
| Woodbridge | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Woodgrove | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| Woodson | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| York LC | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 142
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H North Cross Sc (11- 7, 88.5) 16-12 -11.43 23.57 -0.61 0.82 18.84
0 A Charlottesvill ( 3-11, 78.8) 17- 1 -21.10 13.90 0.61 0.82 11.90
0 A New Covenant S ( 1- 8, 82.3) 20- 6 -17.63 17.38 0.61 0.82 14.75
0 A Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 7-14 -8.12 26.88 0.61 0.82 -6.16
0 A Albemarle ( 9- 7, 84.6) 11- 4 -15.30 19.70 0.61 0.82 16.66
0 H Hidden Valley ( 2-12, 76.0) 24- 6 -23.88 11.13 -0.61 0.82 8.63
0 A Blacksburg ( 8- 8, 82.5) 14- 3 -17.44 17.56 0.61 0.82 14.90
0 H EC Glass (11- 5, 88.7) 9- 8 -11.22 23.78 -0.61 0.82 19.01
0 A Christiansburg ( 0-14, 73.2) 16- 3 -26.66 8.35 0.61 0.82 7.35
0 A Western Albema (14- 5, 86.7) 12-10 -13.16 21.84 0.61 0.82 18.42
0 H William Byrd ( 8- 7, 82.8) 14- 4 -17.06 17.94 -0.61 0.82 14.22
0 A Rockbridge Cou ( 4- 9, 81.4) 19- 6 -18.46 16.54 0.61 0.82 14.07
0 H Cave Spring ( 7- 7, 82.3) 17- 3 -17.62 17.38 -0.61 0.82 13.76
0 A Franklin Count ( 6-10, 79.7) 18- 3 -20.23 14.77 0.61 0.82 12.62
0 H EC Glass (11- 5, 88.7) 9- 7 -11.22 23.78 -0.61 0.82 19.01
0 A Salem (17- 3, 91.8) 3-14 -8.12 26.88 0.61 0.82 -6.16
0 A Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 11-15 -9.41 25.59 0.61 0.82 -7.22
------
184.58
|
winning pts = 204.1206 losing points = -19.5437
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------