All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 64.9499969 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Marshall ( 3- 9, 68.2) 4- 6 321 H Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 70.4) 2-14 328 H Osbourn ( 1-15, 50.7) 15- 0 401 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 62.2) 1- 2 403 H Hayfield (14- 5, 73.9) 2-13 409 H Justice ( 5- 9, 65.8) 6- 3 425 H Northern VA Home Schoo ( 1- 9, 58.8) 6- 4 501 H Edison ( 9- 8, 68.8) 5-13 502 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 60.0) 13- 5 506 A Lewis ( 2-10, 57.4) 16- 1 508 H Falls Church ( 6- 8, 67.9) 7- 8 515 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 62.2) 7- 3 519 A Hayfield (14- 5, 73.9) 7-12 521 H South County ( 9- 9, 74.9) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Marshall 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.08 321 H Heritage Leesburg 2-14 -12 -4 - -2.30 328 H Osbourn 15- 0 15 15 0.00 401 A Mount Vernon 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.99 403 H Hayfield 2-13 -11 -8 0.00 409 H Justice 6- 3 3 0 + 3.06 425 H Northern VA Home Schoo 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.91 501 H Edison 5-13 -8 -3 - -3.94 502 A Annandale 13- 5 8 4 + 2.78 506 A Lewis 16- 1 15 6 0.19 508 H Falls Church 7- 8 -1 -2 1.14 515 A Mount Vernon 7- 3 4 1 + 2.01 519 A Hayfield 7-12 -5 -9 + 2.00 521 H South County 6-16 -10 -9 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 425 H Northern VA Home Schoo 6- 4 2 6 -- -4.91 321 H Heritage Leesburg 2-14 -12 -4 - -2.30 401 A Mount Vernon 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.99 501 H Edison 5-13 -8 -3 - -3.94OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 317 A Marshall 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.08 409 H Justice 6- 3 3 0 + 3.06 502 A Annandale 13- 5 8 4 + 2.78 515 A Mount Vernon 7- 3 4 1 + 2.01 519 A Hayfield 7-12 -5 -9 + 2.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 64.95 Power Rank................. 129 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 35.25 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 139 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .4397 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 149 RPI Rating............... .3876 RPI Rank................... 139 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 156 Selection sum ........... 406 Selection Rank ............ 144 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -170. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 118 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -170. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 118 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 6.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -0.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(2nd 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.7