Thomas Jefferson
W-L: ( 6- 8) PR = 78.1823Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 317 A Marshall ( 3- 9, 80.0) 4- 6 321 H Heritage Leesburg ( 7-10, 82.2) 2-14 328 H Osbourn ( 1-15, 66.3) 15- 0 401 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 76.1) 1- 2 403 H Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 2-13 409 H Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 6- 3 425 H Northern VA Home Sch ( 1- 9, 72.6) 6- 4 501 H Edison ( 9- 8, 81.2) 5-13 502 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 13- 5 506 A Lewis ( 2-10, 69.7) 16- 1 508 H Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 7- 8 515 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 76.1) 7- 3 519 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 7-12 521 H South County ( 9- 9, 86.0) 6-16
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
317 A Marshall 4- 6 -2 -2 0.45
321 H Heritage Leesburg 2-14 -12 -3 -1.62
328 H Osbourn 15- 0 15 12 0.00
401 A Mount Vernon 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.49
403 H Hayfield 2-13 -11 -6 0.00
409 H Justice 6- 3 3 0 + 3.06
425 H Northern VA Home Sch 6- 4 2 6 - -3.00
501 H Edison 5-13 -8 -2 - -2.56
502 A Annandale 13- 5 8 3 1.62
506 A Lewis 16- 1 15 8 0.00
508 H Falls Church 7- 8 -1 -2 0.78
515 A Mount Vernon 7- 3 4 1 + 2.51
519 A Hayfield 7-12 -5 -7 0.00
521 H South County 6-16 -10 -7 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Mount Vernon 1- 2 -1 1 - -2.49 425 H Northern VA Home Sch 6- 4 2 6 - -3.00 501 H Edison 5-13 -8 -2 - -2.56 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 409 H Justice 6- 3 3 0 + 3.06 515 A Mount Vernon 7- 3 4 1 + 2.51 |
Thomas Jefferson Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Alexandria City | |
| Annandale | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Atlee | Atlee | Atlee | ||
| Battlefield | Battlefield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Battlefield | |
| Bayside | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brentsville | |
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Broad Run | |
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Centreville | |
| Chantilly | Chantilly | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Chantilly | |
| Charlottesville | Charlottesville | Charlottesville | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Clover Hill | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | Colgan | ||
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | Cosby | ||
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Cox | Cox | ||
| Culpeper County | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Dominion | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dominion | |
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | ||
| Eastern View | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| EC Glass | EC Glass | EC Glass | ||
| Edison | Edison | Edison | ||
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 2) | Fairfax | |
| Falls Church | Falls Church | Falls Church | ||
| Fauquier | Fauquier | Fauquier | ||
| First Colonial | First Colonial | First Colonial | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | Fluvanna County | ||
| Forest Park | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Franklin County | Franklin County | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Freedom South Ridin | |
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Gainesville | |
| Gar-field | Thomas Jefferson | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) | Thomas Jefferson | |
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | Grassfield LC | ||
| Green Run | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Handley | Handley | Handley | ||
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | Hayfield | ||
| Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Herndon | Herndon | insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) | Herndon | |
| Hickory LC | Hickory LC | Hickory LC | ||
| Hidden Valley | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Highland School | Highland School | Highland School | ||
| Highland Springs | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Hylton | Hylton | Hylton | ||
| Independence | Independence | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Independence | |
| James Monroe | James Monroe | James Monroe | ||
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | ||
| John Champe | John Champe | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | John Champe | |
| Justice | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Kellam | Kellam | Kellam | ||
| Kempsville | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Kettle Run | Kettle Run | Kettle Run | ||
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Landstown | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Langley | Langley | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Liberty Bealeton | Liberty Bealeton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Liberty Bealeton | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lightridge | |
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Loudoun County | |
| Loudoun Valley | Loudoun Valley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Loudoun Valley | |
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Marshall | Marshall | ||
| Massaponax | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Matoaca | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Mechanicsville | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Menchville LC | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | Meridian | ||
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | Mills Godwin | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | Monticello | ||
| Mount Vernon | Thomas Jefferson | insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 2- 4) | Thomas Jefferson | |
| Mountain View | Mountain View | Mountain View | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Norfolk Christian | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Norfolk Christian | |
| Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | Norfolk Collegiate | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Oakton | Oakton | Oakton 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | Ocean Lakes | ||
| Orange County | Orange County | Orange County | ||
| Osbourn | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Osbourn Park | Thomas Jefferson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Thomas Jefferson | |
| Park View | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | Patrick Henry Ashla | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Potomac Falls | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Potomac Falls | |
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Thomas Jefferson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Thomas Jefferson | |
| Powhatan | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Princess Anne | Princess Anne | Princess Anne | ||
| Riverbend | Riverbend | Riverbend | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Robinson | |
| Rock Ridge | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | Rockbridge County | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Seton School | Seton School | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Seton School | |
| South County | South County | South County | ||
| South Lakes | South Lakes | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | South Lakes | |
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | St John Paul the Gre | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | St John Paul the Gre | |
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Stafford | Stafford | ||
| Steward School | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Stone Bridge | |
| Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | Strasburg LC | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Tandem Friends | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Thomas Dale | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | Trinity Episcopal | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Trinity Meadow View | |
| Tuscarora | Thomas Jefferson | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Thomas Jefferson | |
| Unity Reed | Thomas Jefferson | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Thomas Jefferson | |
| Veritas School | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Virginia Academy | Thomas Jefferson | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Thomas Jefferson | |
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Wakefield HS | insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 4- 0) | Wakefield HS | |
| Wakefield School | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | West Springfield | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | West Springfield | |
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | ||
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Woodgrove | |
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson 4- 0 vs 1- 4 | ||
| York LC | Thomas Jefferson | Thomas Jefferson | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 44
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Marshall ( 3- 9, 80.0) 4- 6 -19.88 15.12 0.61 1.00 -19.19
0 H Heritage Lees ( 7-10, 82.2) 2-14 -17.73 17.28 -0.61 1.00 -18.26
0 H Osbourn ( 1-15, 66.3) 15- 0 -33.59 1.41 -0.61 1.00 0.80
0 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 76.1) 1- 2 -23.82 11.18 0.61 1.00 -23.12
0 H Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 2-13 -14.85 20.15 -0.61 1.00 -15.39
0 H Justice ( 5- 9, 78.8) 6- 3 -21.05 13.95 -0.61 1.00 13.29
0 H Northern VA Ho ( 1- 9, 72.6) 6- 4 -27.31 7.69 -0.61 1.00 7.05
0 H Edison ( 9- 8, 81.2) 5-13 -18.67 16.33 -0.61 1.00 -19.20
0 A Annandale ( 3- 9, 74.2) 13- 5 -25.71 9.29 0.61 1.00 9.86
0 A Lewis ( 2-10, 69.7) 16- 1 -30.21 4.79 0.61 1.00 5.38
0 H Falls Church ( 6- 8, 80.6) 7- 8 -19.32 15.68 -0.61 1.00 -19.85
0 A Mount Vernon ( 5- 8, 76.1) 7- 3 -23.82 11.18 0.61 1.00 11.74
0 A Hayfield (14- 5, 85.1) 7-12 -14.85 20.15 0.61 1.00 -14.18
0 H South County ( 9- 9, 86.0) 6-16 -13.85 21.15 -0.61 1.00 -14.40
------
-95.48
|
winning pts = 48.1221 losing points = -143.6045
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------