---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:49 PDT

safe3step boys Thomas Jefferson 1
  
Thomas Jefferson      
W-L: ( 3-12) PR = 72.2667

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 307 H Smoky Hill ( 6- 9, 75.1) 8- 4 311 H Denver South ( 7-11, 90.4) 1-20 313 H Jefferson Academy ( 4- 8, 76.0) 6- 8 319 A Windsor ( 8- 8, 82.2) 3-17 401 H Vanguard School ( 7- 8, 76.4) 4-14 403 H St Marys HS ( 3-11, 70.5) 7- 2 404 A Rangeview ( 6- 9, 74.9) 6-12 408 A Pueblo West (11- 5, 82.3) 3-17 410 A Middle Park (13- 4, 83.2) 1-17 417 H Denver North ( 7- 8, 76.0) 7-18 421 H Arvada West ( 2-13, 78.0) 1-22 422 A Littleton ( 1-14, 66.4) 9- 4 430 H Summit ( 3- 7, 79.0) 2-10 501 A Palmer ( 3-10, 71.4) 4-14 502 A Mullen ( 7- 7, 82.4) 0-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Smoky Hill              8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.47
   311 H Denver South            1-20     -19   -18           0.00
   313 H Jefferson Academy       6- 8      -2    -3           1.35
   319 A Windsor                 3-17     -14   -10           0.00
   401 H Vanguard School         4-14     -10    -4          -1.21
   403 H St Marys HS             7- 2       5     2    +      2.88
   404 A Rangeview               6-12      -6    -3          -1.99
   408 A Pueblo West             3-17     -14   -10           0.00
   410 A Middle Park             1-17     -16   -11           0.00
   417 H Denver North            7-18     -11    -3          -1.59
   421 H Arvada West             1-22     -21    -5           0.00
   422 A Littleton               9- 4       5     6           0.00
   430 H Summit                  2-10      -8    -6           0.00
   501 A Palmer                  4-14     -10     0    --    -5.46
   502 A Mullen                  0-17     -17   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   501 A Palmer                  4-14     -10     0    --    -5.46

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Smoky Hill              8- 4       4    -2    +++    6.47
   403 H St Marys HS             7- 2       5     2    +      2.88

Thomas Jefferson Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Academy Air Academy Air Academy   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Arapahoe Arapahoe insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Arapahoe
Arvada West Arvada West Arvada West  
Aspen Aspen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Aspen
Battle Mountain Battle Mountain insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Battle Mountain
Boulder Boulder insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Boulder
Castle View Castle View   Castle View
Chaparral Chaparral insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chaparral
Chatfield Chatfield   Chatfield
Cherokee Trail Cherokee Trail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cherokee Trail
Cherry Creek Cherry Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Cherry Creek
Cheyenne Mountain Cheyenne Mountain insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Cheyenne Mountain
Colorado Academy Colorado Academy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Colorado Academy
Columbine Columbine insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Columbine
Conifer Conifer Conifer   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Crested Butte Crested Butte Crested Butte   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge Dakota Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver East Denver East Denver East   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Denver North Denver North Denver North  
Denver South Denver South Denver South  
Douglas County Douglas County Douglas County   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Durango Durango insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Durango
Eagle Valley Eagle Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Eagle Valley
Eaglecrest Eaglecrest Eaglecrest   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Erie Erie   Erie
Evergreen Evergreen insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Evergreen
Fairview Fairview insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fairview
Fountain Valley Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson   3- 4 vs 0- 7
Fruita Monument Fruita Monument   Fruita Monument
Glenwood Springs Glenwood Springs insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Glenwood Springs
Golden Golden insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Golden
Grand Junction Grand Junction   Grand Junction
Grandview Grandview tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Grandview
Green Mountain Green Mountain Green Mountain   4- 0 vs 0- 4
Heritage Heritage Heritage   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Holy Family Holy Family Holy Family   5- 3 vs 1- 7
Jefferson Academy Jefferson Academy Jefferson Academy  
Kent Denver Kent Denver tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kent Denver
Lakewood Lakewood   Lakewood
Legend Legend insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Legend
Lewis Palmer Lewis Palmer insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lewis Palmer
Littleton Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
Lutheran Lutheran Lutheran   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Middle Park Middle Park Middle Park  
Monarch Monarch   Monarch
Montrose Montrose insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Montrose
Mountain Range Mountain Range insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mountain Range
Mountain Vista Mountain Vista insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Mountain Vista
Mullen Mullen Mullen  
Northfield Northfield insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Northfield
Palmer Palmer Palmer  
Pine Creek Pine Creek insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pine Creek
Ponderosa Ponderosa insuffient: ( 3- 3)( 4- 2) Ponderosa
Poudre District Poudre District insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Poudre District
Prairie View Prairie View Prairie View   4- 3 vs 2- 5
Pueblo West Pueblo West Pueblo West  
Ralston Valley Ralston Valley insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ralston Valley
Rangeview Rangeview Rangeview  
Regis Jesuit Regis Jesuit insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Regis Jesuit
Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi Resurrection Christi   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Rock Canyon Rock Canyon   Rock Canyon
Smoky Hill Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
St Marys HS Thomas Jefferson Thomas Jefferson  
Steamboat Springs Steamboat Springs insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Steamboat Springs
Summit Summit Summit  
Telluride Telluride   Telluride
Thompson Valley Thompson Valley Thompson Valley   3- 2 vs 1- 4
ThunderRidge ThunderRidge insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) ThunderRidge
Vail Mountain Vail Mountain Vail Mountain   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Valor Christian Valor Christian insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Valor Christian
Vanguard School Vanguard School Vanguard School  
Windsor Windsor Windsor  

PowerWise = 4


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 15.04

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Smoky Hill      ( 6- 9, 75.1)     8- 4      -24.80       8.70      -0.37         1.00             8.36
   0 H Denver South    ( 7-11, 90.4)     1-20       -9.47      24.03      -0.37         1.00            -9.87
   0 H Jefferson Acad  ( 4- 8, 76.0)     6- 8      -23.92       9.59      -0.37         1.00           -24.35
   0 A Windsor         ( 8- 8, 82.2)     3-17      -17.66      15.84       0.37         1.00           -17.34
   0 H Vanguard Schoo  ( 7- 8, 76.4)     4-14      -23.47      10.03      -0.37         1.00           -23.90
   0 H St Marys HS     ( 3-11, 70.5)     7- 2      -29.39       4.11      -0.37         1.00             3.75
   0 A Rangeview       ( 6- 9, 74.9)     6-12      -24.99       8.51       0.37         1.00           -24.69
   0 A Pueblo West     (11- 5, 82.3)     3-17      -17.62      15.88       0.37         1.00           -17.30
   0 A Middle Park     (13- 4, 83.2)     1-17      -16.71      16.80       0.37         1.00           -16.38
   0 H Denver North    ( 7- 8, 76.0)     7-18      -23.86       9.64      -0.37         1.00           -24.29
   0 H Arvada West     ( 2-13, 78.0)     1-22      -21.89      11.61      -0.37         1.00           -22.32
   0 A Littleton       ( 1-14, 66.4)     9- 4      -33.50       1.00       0.37         1.00             1.37
   0 H Summit          ( 3- 7, 79.0)     2-10      -20.90      12.60      -0.37         1.00           -21.33
   0 A Palmer          ( 3-10, 71.4)     4-14      -28.46       5.04       0.37         1.00           -28.17
   0 A Mullen          ( 7- 7, 82.4)     0-17      -17.54      15.97       0.37         1.00           -17.21
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -233.68

winning pts = 13.4856 losing points = -247.1669

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------