---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Jacksonville 1
  
Jacksonville          
W-L: ( 6-12) PR = 80.4118

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 5- 7 303 H New Hanover ( 6-13, 81.1) 7- 6 321 H Terry Sanford (11- 8, 80.2) 9-10 324 H DH Conley ( 0- 8, 71.4) 15- 1 326 A Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 8- 9 328 A North Brunswick ( 8-14, 78.1) 13- 7 331 A New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 10-19 402 H Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 5- 7 408 A JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 7-20 409 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 6-19 422 A Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 8- 7 428 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 10-15 430 A Havelock ( 6-10, 80.7) 13-12 502 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 5-17 505 H JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 7-16 507 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 3-17 514 H Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 18-15 516 A Croatan (21- 2, 94.4) 1-23

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 A New Hanover             5- 7      -2    -1          -1.08
   303 H New Hanover             7- 6       1     0           1.38
   321 H Terry Sanford           9-10      -1     1          -1.51
   324 H DH Conley              15- 1      14     9           0.00
   326 A Northside               8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.21
   328 A North Brunswick        13- 7       6     2    +      2.97
   331 A New Bern               10-19      -9    -5           0.00
   402 H Havelock                5- 7      -2     0          -1.97
   408 A JH Rose                 7-20     -13    -6           0.00
   409 A First Flight            6-19     -13   -10           0.00
   422 A Swansboro               8- 7       1     1          -0.48
   428 H New Bern               10-15      -5    -5          -0.38
   430 A Havelock               13-12       1    -1           1.57
   502 H Northside               5-17     -12    -3    -     -2.33
   505 H JH Rose                 7-16      -9    -5           0.00
   507 H First Flight            3-17     -14   -10           0.00
   514 H Eastern Alamance       18-15       3     3          -0.40
   516 A Croatan                 1-23     -22   -14           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 H Northside               5-17     -12    -3    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 A Northside               8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.21
   328 A North Brunswick        13- 7       6     2    +      2.97

Jacksonville Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Ashley Ashley tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Broughton Broughton tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Broughton
Butler Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Jacksonville tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Jacksonville
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Cary HS Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Clayton
Cleveland Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan Croatan  
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Jacksonville Jacksonville  
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Jacksonville Jacksonville  
Eastern Guilford Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Jacksonville
First Flight First Flight First Flight  
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Grays Creek Jacksonville tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Jacksonville
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Havelock Havelock tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Havelock
Heritage Heritage insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Jacksonville
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Jacksonville
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose JH Rose  
John Paul II Catholi Jacksonville Jacksonville   4- 2 vs 1- 4
Jordan Jordan Jordan   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor   Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern New Bern  
New Hanover New Hanover tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) New Hanover
North Brunswick Jacksonville Jacksonville  
North Davidson Jacksonville   Jacksonville
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside Northside  
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Pine Forest Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest Pinecrest   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Porter Ridge Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Jacksonville insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jacksonville
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Roxboro Community Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Seaforth
South Brunswick Jacksonville Jacksonville   2- 1 vs 0- 1
South Garner Jacksonville   Jacksonville
South Iredell Jacksonville   Jacksonville
South Mecklenburg Jacksonville   Jacksonville
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Southeast Guilford Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 0) Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Jacksonville   Jacksonville
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Jacksonville Jacksonville  
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Terry Sanford Terry Sanford  
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 3- 1) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 0) Union Pines
Vance Charter Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Voyager Academy Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Wake Forest Wake Forest   Wake Forest
Wake Prep Jacksonville tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Walter M Williams
Watauga Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Jacksonville Jacksonville   3- 1 vs 1- 2
West Carteret Jacksonville Jacksonville   4- 5 vs 1- 7
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Western Alamance Jacksonville insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Jacksonville
Western Guilford Jacksonville   Jacksonville
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 46


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A New Hanover     ( 6-13, 81.1)     5- 7      -18.84      14.97       0.27         1.00           -18.50
   0 H New Hanover     ( 6-13, 81.1)     7- 6      -18.84      14.97      -0.27         1.00            14.64
   0 H Terry Sanford   (11- 8, 80.2)     9-10      -19.72      14.08      -0.27         1.00           -19.92
   0 H DH Conley       ( 0- 8, 71.4)    15- 1      -28.49       5.32      -0.27         1.00             5.03
   0 A Northside       (11- 8, 83.4)     8- 9      -16.55      17.26       0.27         1.00           -16.21
   0 A North Brunswic  ( 8-14, 78.1)    13- 7      -21.79      12.02       0.27         1.00            12.25
   0 A New Bern        (12-10, 85.3)    10-19      -14.60      19.21       0.27         1.00           -14.27
   0 H Havelock        ( 6-10, 80.7)     5- 7      -19.19      14.62      -0.27         1.00           -19.39
   0 A JH Rose         (17- 5, 85.9)     7-20      -14.00      19.81       0.27         1.00           -13.67
   0 A First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)     6-19       -9.50      24.31       0.27         1.00            -9.19
   0 A Swansboro       ( 6-14, 78.7)     8- 7      -21.24      12.57       0.27         1.00            12.80
   0 H New Bern        (12-10, 85.3)    10-15      -14.60      19.21      -0.27         1.00           -14.81
   0 A Havelock        ( 6-10, 80.7)    13-12      -19.19      14.62       0.27         1.00            14.84
   0 H Northside       (11- 8, 83.4)     5-17      -16.55      17.26      -0.27         1.00           -16.76
   0 H JH Rose         (17- 5, 85.9)     7-16      -14.00      19.81      -0.27         1.00           -14.22
   0 H First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)     3-17       -9.50      24.31      -0.27         1.00            -9.73
   0 H Eastern Alaman  ( 5-15, 77.3)    18-15      -22.62      11.19      -0.27         1.00            10.88
   0 A Croatan         (21- 2, 94.4)     1-23       -5.52      28.29       0.27         1.00            -5.23
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -101.48

winning pts = 70.4284 losing points = -171.9106

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------