All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 64.9100037 home-field advantage = -0.38 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 A New Hanover ( 6-15, 65.5) 5- 7 303 H New Hanover ( 6-15, 65.5) 7- 6 321 H Terry Sanford (11- 8, 65.0) 9-10 324 H DH Conley ( 0- 8, 48.5) 15- 1 326 A Northside (11- 8, 70.5) 8- 9 328 A North Brunswick (10-14, 62.7) 13- 7 331 A New Bern (12-10, 72.6) 10-19 402 H Havelock ( 6-10, 65.4) 5- 7 408 A JH Rose (17- 5, 73.7) 7-20 409 A First Flight (17- 4, 79.8) 6-19 422 A Swansboro ( 6-14, 62.9) 8- 7 428 H New Bern (12-10, 72.6) 10-15 430 A Havelock ( 6-10, 65.4) 13-12 502 H Northside (11- 8, 70.5) 5-17 505 H JH Rose (17- 5, 73.7) 7-16 507 H First Flight (17- 4, 79.8) 3-17 514 H Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 59.8) 18-15 516 A Croatan (21- 2, 83.3) 1-23
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 A New Hanover 5- 7 -2 0 -1.02 303 H New Hanover 7- 6 1 0 1.22 321 H Terry Sanford 9-10 -1 0 -1.28 324 H DH Conley 15- 1 14 16 0.00 326 A Northside 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.97 328 A North Brunswick 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.15 331 A New Bern 10-19 -9 -8 0.00 402 H Havelock 5- 7 -2 0 -1.91 408 A JH Rose 7-20 -13 -9 0.00 409 A First Flight 6-19 -13 -15 0.00 422 A Swansboro 8- 7 1 1 -0.67 428 H New Bern 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.00 430 A Havelock 13-12 1 0 1.85 502 H Northside 5-17 -12 -5 -1.79 505 H JH Rose 7-16 -9 -8 0.00 507 H First Flight 3-17 -14 -14 0.00 514 H Eastern Alamance 18-15 3 5 - -2.44 516 A Croatan 1-23 -22 -18 0.00UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 514 H Eastern Alamance 18-15 3 5 - -2.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 326 A Northside 8- 9 -1 -5 ++ 4.97 328 A North Brunswick 13- 7 6 1 ++ 4.15 428 H New Bern 10-15 -5 -7 + 2.00
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 64.91 Power Rank................. 98 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 40.16 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 89 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6111 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 56 RPI Rating............... .4562 RPI Rank................... 86 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 75 Selection sum ........... 244 Selection Rank ............ 78 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -260. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 113 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -220. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 102 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.3 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 12.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 6-12 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -22.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -11.0