All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 91.4700012 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 402 A Oswego ( 1-14, 64.6) 20- 2 404 H Central Square ( 7- 9, 66.9) 23- 0 411 H Corcoran-Syracuse City ( 5-11, 65.5) 23- 1 412 H Niskayuna (16- 3, 87.6) 16- 6 415 H Canandaigua (19- 3, 88.4) 15-18 419 A Garden City (21- 2, 93.6) 6-10 422 H Auburn (10- 8, 77.4) 22- 1 424 A West Genesee (21- 1, 91.7) 11-12 425 A Fulton (11- 6, 73.3) 18- 0 501 H Fayetteville-Manlius ( 7- 9, 86.4) 15- 5 503 A Victor (14- 5, 88.8) 9- 7 508 A Baldwinsville ( 9- 8, 87.5) 11-10 513 A East Syracuse-Minoa ( 9- 8, 79.6) 17- 6 517 H McQuaid Jesuit (11- 7, 84.1) 21-13 519 H Marcellus (14- 5, 85.5) 23- 7 521 A Watertown (12- 5, 83.1) 17- 7 531 H Carthage ( 6-12, 73.6) 17- 2 604 N Homer (10- 7, 78.9) 20- 5 607 N Honeoye Falls-Lima (16- 5, 81.6) 16- 5 611 N Burnt Hills-Ballston L ( 8-12, 74.1) 23- 4 614 N Somers (19- 3, 94.4) 11-19
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Oswego 20- 2 18 26 0.00 404 H Central Square 23- 0 23 25 0.00 411 H Corcoran-Syracuse City 23- 1 22 26 0.00 412 H Niskayuna 16- 6 10 4 + 2.55 415 H Canandaigua 15-18 -3 3 --- -6.61 419 A Garden City 6-10 -4 -2 -1.33 422 H Auburn 22- 1 21 14 0.00 424 A West Genesee 11-12 -1 0 -0.18 425 A Fulton 18- 0 18 17 0.00 501 H Fayetteville-Manlius 15- 5 10 5 1.39 503 A Victor 9- 7 2 2 -0.09 508 A Baldwinsville 11-10 1 3 - -2.44 513 A East Syracuse-Minoa 17- 6 11 11 0.00 517 H McQuaid Jesuit 21-13 8 7 0.00 519 H Marcellus 23- 7 16 6 0.44 521 A Watertown 17- 7 10 7 0.00 531 H Carthage 17- 2 15 18 0.00 604 N Homer 20- 5 15 12 0.00 607 N Honeoye Falls-Lima 16- 5 11 9 0.00 611 N Burnt Hills-Ballston L 23- 4 19 17 0.00 614 N Somers 11-19 -8 -2 -- -4.11UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 415 H Canandaigua 15-18 -3 3 --- -6.61 614 N Somers 11-19 -8 -2 -- -4.11 508 A Baldwinsville 11-10 1 3 - -2.44OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 H Niskayuna 16- 6 10 4 + 2.55
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 91.47 Power Rank................. 10 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 60.83 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 58 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7631 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6717 RPI Rank................... 14 Champ. Probability ...... 3.0 Championship Rank ......... 5 Selection sum ........... 22 Selection Rank ............ 3 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 55. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 15 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 75. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 16.9 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.7 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 10.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -8.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -4.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -2.8 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 7.3