---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Havelock 1
  
Havelock              
W-L: ( 6-10) PR = 80.7135

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 312 H New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 7-22 314 H West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 22-13 318 A West Carteret ( 4-12, 77.6) 19-10 319 A Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 8- 7 321 H John Paul II Catholi ( 5- 7, 76.6) 17- 8 331 A JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 4-16 402 A Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 7- 5 409 H Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 3-16 424 A New Bern (12-10, 85.3) 6-10 428 H JH Rose (17- 5, 85.9) 6-17 430 H Jacksonville ( 6-12, 80.4) 12-13 502 H First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 2-16 505 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 0- 1 507 A Northside (11- 8, 83.4) 7-17 514 H Swansboro ( 6-14, 78.7) 11- 8 516 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 5-21

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   312 H New Bern                7-22     -15    -4          -0.68
   314 H West Carteret          22-13       9     3           1.57
   318 A West Carteret          19-10       9     3    +      2.11
   319 A Swansboro               8- 7       1     2          -0.78
   321 H John Paul II Catholi   17- 8       9     4           0.63
   331 A JH Rose                 4-16     -12    -5           0.00
   402 A Jacksonville            7- 5       2     0           1.97
   409 H Northside               3-16     -13    -2    -     -2.63
   424 A New Bern                6-10      -4    -5           0.86
   428 H JH Rose                 6-17     -11    -5          -0.08
   430 H Jacksonville           12-13      -1     1          -1.57
   502 H First Flight            2-16     -14    -9           0.00
   507 A Northside               7-17     -10    -3    -     -2.09
   514 H Swansboro              11- 8       3     2           0.68
   516 A Seaforth                5-21     -16    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   409 H Northside               3-16     -13    -2    -     -2.63
   507 A Northside               7-17     -10    -3    -     -2.09

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 A West Carteret          19-10       9     3    +      2.11

Havelock Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell   Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Arendell Parrott Aca   Arendell Parrott Aca
Asheville HS Asheville HS   Asheville HS
Asheville School Havelock   Havelock
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Atkins   Atkins
Ballantyne Ridge Ballantyne Ridge   Ballantyne Ridge
Bishop McGuinness Bishop McGuinness   Bishop McGuinness
Bradford Prep Havelock   Havelock
Broughton Broughton tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Broughton
Butler Havelock   Havelock
Cannon School Cannon School   Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Cape Fear Academy tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Cape Fear Academy
Cape Fear HS Havelock insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Havelock
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Carrboro   Carrboro
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Havelock tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Havelock
Cary HS Havelock   Havelock
Cedar Ridge Cedar Ridge tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cedar Ridge
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic   Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS   Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian   Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King   Christ The King
Clayton Clayton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Clayton
Cleveland Havelock   Havelock
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav   Community School-Dav
Corinth Holders Corinth Holders tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Corinth Holders
Cornerstone Charter Cornerstone Charter   Cornerstone Charter
Croatan Croatan Croatan   7- 0 vs 3- 5
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson   Cuthbertson
Davie Davie   Davie
DH Conley Havelock Havelock   3- 3 vs 0- 5
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth East Forsyth   East Forsyth
Eastern Alamance Havelock insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Havelock
Eastern Guilford Havelock   Havelock
Enloe Enloe   Enloe
Fike Havelock Havelock   2- 1 vs 0- 3
First Flight First Flight First Flight  
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Fuquay-Varina tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fuquay-Varina
Garner Garner   Garner
Glenn Havelock   Havelock
Grays Creek Havelock insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Havelock
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Grimsley   Grimsley
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
Hickory Hickory   Hickory
High Point Central Havelock   Havelock
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough   Hough
Hunt Havelock   Havelock
Independence Independence   Independence
Jack Britt Havelock   Havelock
Jacksonville Havelock tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) Havelock
JF Webb JF Webb   JF Webb
JH Rose JH Rose JH Rose  
John Paul II Catholi Havelock Havelock  
Jordan Jordan insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter   Lake Norman Charter
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS   Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Lincoln Charter   Lincoln Charter
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   Marvin Ridge
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Mooresville   Mooresville
Mount Tabor Mount Tabor   Mount Tabor
Mountain Island Char Havelock   Havelock
Myers Park Myers Park   Myers Park
New Bern New Bern New Bern  
New Hanover New Hanover tied - ( 1- 3) ( 1- 2) New Hanover
North Brunswick Havelock insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) Havelock
North Davidson Havelock   Havelock
North Lincoln North Lincoln   North Lincoln
North Raleigh Christ North Raleigh Christ tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) North Raleigh Christ
Northern Durham Havelock   Havelock
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Northside Northside  
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford   Northwest Guilford
Northwood Northwood tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Northwood
Page Page   Page
Panther Creek Havelock   Havelock
Parkwood Parkwood   Parkwood
Patton Morganton Havelock   Havelock
Pine Forest Havelock   Havelock
Pine Lake Prep Pine Lake Prep   Pine Lake Prep
Pinecrest Pinecrest insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pinecrest
Porter Ridge Havelock   Havelock
Providence Providence   Providence
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Queens Grant   Queens Grant
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Havelock   Havelock
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan   Reagan
Riverside Durham Havelock   Havelock
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds   RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Havelock   Havelock
Roxboro Community Havelock   Havelock
Sanderson Sanderson   Sanderson
Seaforth Seaforth Seaforth  
South Brunswick Havelock   Havelock
South Garner Havelock   Havelock
South Iredell Havelock   Havelock
South Mecklenburg Havelock   Havelock
South View South View   South View
Southeast Alamance Havelock tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Havelock
Southeast Guilford Havelock   Havelock
Southern Alamance Southern Alamance tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Southern Alamance
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   Southlake Christian
Southwest Guilford Havelock   Havelock
St Davids School St Davids School   St Davids School
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
Sun Valley Sun Valley   Sun Valley
Swansboro Havelock Havelock  
TC Roberson TC Roberson   TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Havelock tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Havelock
Topsail Topsail insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Topsail
Union Pines Union Pines tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Union Pines
Vance Charter Havelock   Havelock
Voyager Academy Havelock   Havelock
Wake Forest Havelock   Havelock
Wake Prep Havelock   Havelock
Wakefield Wakefield   Wakefield
Walter M Williams Walter M Williams tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Walter M Williams
Watauga Havelock   Havelock
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Havelock insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Havelock
West Carteret Havelock Havelock  
West Forsyth West Forsyth   West Forsyth
West Stokes Havelock   Havelock
Western Alamance Havelock tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Havelock
Western Guilford Havelock   Havelock
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 49


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H New Bern        (12-10, 85.3)     7-22      -14.60      19.21      -0.27         1.12           -16.66
   0 H West Carteret   ( 4-12, 77.6)    22-13      -22.35      11.46      -0.27         1.12            12.54
   0 A West Carteret   ( 4-12, 77.6)    19-10      -22.35      11.46       0.27         1.12            13.15
   0 A Swansboro       ( 6-14, 78.7)     8- 7      -21.24      12.57       0.27         1.12            14.39
   0 H John Paul II C  ( 5- 7, 76.6)    17- 8      -23.28      10.53      -0.27         1.12            11.50
   0 A JH Rose         (17- 5, 85.9)     4-16      -14.00      19.81       0.27         1.12           -15.38
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 6-12, 80.4)     7- 5      -19.49      14.32       0.27         1.12            16.36
   0 H Northside       (11- 8, 83.4)     3-16      -16.55      17.26      -0.27         1.12           -18.85
   0 A New Bern        (12-10, 85.3)     6-10      -14.60      19.21       0.27         1.12           -16.06
   0 H JH Rose         (17- 5, 85.9)     6-17      -14.00      19.81      -0.27         1.12           -15.99
   0 H Jacksonville    ( 6-12, 80.4)    12-13      -19.49      14.32      -0.27         1.12           -22.15
   0 H First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)     2-16       -9.50      24.31      -0.27         1.12           -10.95
   0 A First Flight    (14- 3, 90.4)     0- 1       -9.50      24.31       0.27         1.12           -10.34
   0 A Northside       (11- 8, 83.4)     7-17      -16.55      17.26       0.27         1.12           -18.24
   0 H Swansboro       ( 6-14, 78.7)    11- 8      -21.24      12.57      -0.27         1.12            13.79
   0 A Seaforth        (18- 3, 88.0)     5-21      -11.88      21.93       0.27         1.12           -13.01
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       -75.92

winning pts = 81.7261 losing points = -157.6430

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------