Saginaw Heritage
W-L: (11- 7) PR = 82.9076Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Pinckney ( 0- 2, 77.4) 23- 2 408 H Bay City Central (10- 6, 79.7) 8- 4 410 H Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 16- 4 412 H Traverse City Centra ( 5-13, 83.9) 11-10 414 H Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 12-11 417 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 20- 2 422 A Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 6-14 424 A Bay City Western ( 6-12, 78.7) 8- 7 425 A Brighton B ( 6- 5, 83.4) 10-11 428 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 10-12 429 H Bay City Western ( 6-12, 78.7) 12- 1 501 A Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 15- 4 505 A DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 7-11 507 A Traverse City West ( 8- 6, 85.7) 5-11 510 A Salem ( 5-12, 82.4) 6- 8 516 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 15- 2 523 A Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 12-11 528 A Haslett-Williamston (15- 4, 91.4) 2-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Pinckney 23- 2 21 5 0.00
408 H Bay City Central 8- 4 4 4 0.31
410 H Midland 16- 4 12 9 0.00
412 H Traverse City Centra 11-10 1 0 1.45
414 H Midland Dow 12-11 1 -3 + 3.82
417 A Davison 20- 2 18 6 0.00
422 A Grand Blanc 6-14 -8 -5 -0.15
424 A Bay City Western 8- 7 1 4 - -2.74
425 A Brighton B 10-11 -1 -1 0.03
428 A Flint Powers 10-12 -2 0 - -2.22
429 H Bay City Western 12- 1 11 5 0.27
501 A Lapeer 15- 4 11 4 0.74
505 A DeWitt 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.54
507 A Traverse City West 5-11 -6 -3 -1.76
510 A Salem 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.04
516 H Lapeer 15- 2 13 5 0.00
523 A Midland Dow 12-11 1 -4 ++ 4.82
528 A Haslett-Williamston 2-18 -16 -9 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 424 A Bay City Western 8- 7 1 4 - -2.74 428 A Flint Powers 10-12 -2 0 - -2.22 505 A DeWitt 7-11 -4 -1 - -2.54 510 A Salem 6- 8 -2 0 - -2.04 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 523 A Midland Dow 12-11 1 -4 ++ 4.82 414 H Midland Dow 12-11 1 -3 + 3.82 |
Saginaw Heritage Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allen Park | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Anchor Bay | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | Ann Arbor Father Gab | ||
| Ann Arbor Greenhills | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Ann Arbor Huron | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | Ann Arbor Pioneer | ||
| Ann Arbor Skyline | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Bay City Central | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Bay City John Glenn | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Bay City Western | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Bedford | Bedford | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Bedford | |
| Belleville | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Birmingham United | Birmingham United | Birmingham United | ||
| Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | Birmingham United B | ||
| Bishop Foley | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Bloomfield Hills | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Brighton | Brighton | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Brighton | |
| Brighton B | Brighton B | Brighton B | ||
| Brother Rice | Brother Rice | Brother Rice | ||
| Brother Rice Orange | Brother Rice Orange | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Brother Rice Orange | |
| Brownstown Woodhaven | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Byron Center | Byron Center | Byron Center | ||
| Cadillac | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Caledonia | Caledonia | Caledonia | ||
| Canton | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Cass Tech | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Chelsea | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Chippewa Valley | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Clarkston | Clarkston | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Clarkston | |
| Coopersville | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Cranbrook | Cranbrook | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Cranbrook | |
| Dakota | Dakota | Dakota | ||
| Davison | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| De La Salle | De La Salle | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | De La Salle | |
| Detroit Catholic Cen | Detroit Catholic Cen | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Detroit Catholic Cen | |
| Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | Detroit Country Day | ||
| DeWitt | DeWitt | DeWitt | ||
| Dexter | Dexter | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Dexter | |
| Divine Child | Divine Child | Divine Child | ||
| East Grand Rapids | East Grand Rapids | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | East Grand Rapids | |
| East Kentwood | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| East Lansing | East Lansing | East Lansing 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Farmington | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Fenton | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Flint Powers | Flint Powers | Flint Powers | ||
| Forest Hills Central | Forest Hills Central | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Forest Hills Central | |
| Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | Forest Hills Eastern | ||
| Forest Hills Norther | Forest Hills Norther | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Forest Hills Norther | |
| Goodrich/Lake Fenton | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | Grand Blanc | ||
| Grand Haven | Grand Haven | Grand Haven | ||
| Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge | Grand Ledge 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Grand Rapids Catholi | Grand Rapids Catholi | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Grand Rapids Catholi | |
| Grand Rapids Christi | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Grandville | Grandville | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Grandville | |
| Grosse Ile | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Grosse Pointe North | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | Grosse Pointe South | ||
| Harper Creek | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Hartland | Hartland | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hartland | |
| Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | Haslett-Williamston | ||
| Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | Henry Ford II | ||
| Holland Christian | Holland Christian | Holland Christian | ||
| Holland West Ottawa | Holland West Ottawa | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Holland West Ottawa | |
| Holt | Holt | Holt 5- 1 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Howell | Howell | Howell 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Hudsonville | Hudsonville | Hudsonville | ||
| Jackson | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Jenison | Jenison | Jenison | ||
| Kalamazoo United | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Kenowa Hills | Kenowa Hills | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Kenowa Hills | |
| L'Anse Creuse | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| L'Anse Creuse North | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Lake Orion | Lake Orion | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Lake Orion | |
| Lake Shore | Lake Shore | Lake Shore | ||
| Lakeview | Lakeview | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lakeview | |
| Lansing Catholic | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Lapeer | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Lincoln Ypsilanti | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Linden | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Livonia United | Livonia United | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Livonia United | |
| Lowell | Lowell | Lowell | ||
| Mattawan | Mattawan | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Mattawan | |
| Midland | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Midland Dow | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Mona Shores | Mona Shores | Mona Shores 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Northview | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Northville | Northville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Northville | |
| Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep | Notre Dame Prep 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Novi | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Okemos | Okemos | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Okemos | |
| Orchard Lake St Mary | Orchard Lake St Mary | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Orchard Lake St Mary | |
| Ortonville Brandon | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Oxford | Oxford | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Oxford | |
| Pennfield | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Petoskey | Petoskey | insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) | Petoskey | |
| Pinckney | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Plymouth | Plymouth | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Plymouth | |
| Port Huron United | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Portage Central | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Portage Northern | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Reeths Puffer | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | Riverview Gabriel Ri | ||
| Rochester Adams | Rochester Adams | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Rochester Adams | |
| Rochester HS | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | Rochester Stoney Cre | ||
| Rockford | Rockford | Rockford | ||
| Romeo | Romeo | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Romeo | |
| Royal Oak HS | Royal Oak HS | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Royal Oak HS | |
| Royal Oak Shrine | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem | ||
| Saline | Saline | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Saline | |
| Sault Area | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| South Lyon Unified | South Lyon Unified | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | South Lyon Unified | |
| Spring Lake | Spring Lake | Spring Lake 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Clair | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| St Johns/Ovid-Elsie | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 2- 2 vs 0- 4 | ||
| St Mary Catholic Cen | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Swartz Creek | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 3- 3 vs 1- 5 | ||
| Tecumseh | Tecumseh | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Tecumseh | |
| Traverse City Centra | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| Traverse City West | Traverse City West | Traverse City West | ||
| Troy | Troy | Troy | ||
| Troy Athens | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage | ||
| University Detroit J | Saginaw Heritage | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| University Liggett | University Liggett | University Liggett | ||
| Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | Utica Eisenhower | ||
| Vicksburg | Vicksburg | Vicksburg | ||
| Walled Lake Northern | Walled Lake Northern | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Walled Lake Northern | |
| Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | Walled Lake Western | ||
| Waterford United | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| West Bloomfield | Saginaw Heritage | Saginaw Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| White Lake Lakeland | Saginaw Heritage | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Saginaw Heritage | |
| Zeeland | Zeeland | Zeeland |
PowerWise = 59
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 16.06
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Pinckney ( 0- 2, 77.4) 23- 2 -22.51 9.81 0.50 0.89 9.19
0 H Bay City Centr (10- 6, 79.7) 8- 4 -20.19 12.12 -0.50 0.89 10.37
0 H Midland ( 0-15, 74.8) 16- 4 -25.11 7.20 -0.50 0.89 5.98
0 H Traverse City ( 5-13, 83.9) 11-10 -16.04 16.27 -0.50 0.89 14.07
0 H Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 12-11 -13.67 18.64 -0.50 0.89 16.19
0 A Davison ( 4-12, 76.7) 20- 2 -23.17 9.14 0.50 0.89 8.60
0 A Grand Blanc (13- 5, 87.3) 6-14 -12.64 19.68 0.50 0.89 -10.83
0 A Bay City Weste ( 6-12, 78.7) 8- 7 -21.23 11.09 0.50 0.89 10.33
0 A Brighton B ( 6- 5, 83.4) 10-11 -16.46 15.85 0.50 0.89 -14.24
0 A Flint Powers ( 8-10, 82.2) 10-12 -17.71 14.61 0.50 0.89 -15.35
0 H Bay City Weste ( 6-12, 78.7) 12- 1 -21.23 11.09 -0.50 0.89 9.45
0 A Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 15- 4 -21.75 10.57 0.50 0.89 9.87
0 A DeWitt ( 8- 9, 83.9) 7-11 -16.03 16.28 0.50 0.89 -13.86
0 A Traverse City ( 8- 6, 85.7) 5-11 -14.25 18.07 0.50 0.89 -12.27
0 A Salem ( 5-12, 82.4) 6- 8 -17.53 14.79 0.50 0.89 -15.19
0 H Lapeer ( 5-12, 78.2) 15- 2 -21.75 10.57 -0.50 0.89 8.98
0 A Midland Dow (14- 5, 86.2) 12-11 -13.67 18.64 0.50 0.89 17.07
0 A Haslett-Willia (15- 4, 91.4) 2-18 -8.50 23.82 0.50 0.89 -7.14
------
31.23
|
winning pts = 120.1145 losing points = -88.8839
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------