Holly Springs
W-L: (12- 9) PR = 93.6239Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Northwest Guilford (20- 5, 94.7) 4- 9 225 A Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 10-11 227 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 14- 6 306 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 17- 6 310 A Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 12- 8 313 A Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 10- 7 314 A Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 7-13 317 H Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 5-16 325 H Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 16- 2 328 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 16- 2 408 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 11-12 414 A Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 6- 8 415 H Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 11- 8 417 H Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 5- 8 423 A Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 3-17 425 H Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 11- 4 429 A Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 23- 1 506 A Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 14-13 507 H Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 22- 1 513 H Athens Drive (13- 8, 91.1) 18-12 516 A Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 2-18
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
224 H Northwest Guilford 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.18
225 A Hoggard 10-11 -1 1 - -2.50
227 A Willow Spring 14- 6 8 5 0.00
306 A Pinecrest 17- 6 11 7 0.00
310 A Apex Friendship 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 5.06
313 A Green Hope 10- 7 3 1 1.59
314 A Broughton 7-13 -6 1 -- -5.69
317 H Middle Creek 5-16 -11 -4 -1.22
325 H Cary HS 16- 2 14 15 0.00
328 A Panther Creek 16- 2 14 14 0.00
408 H Apex 11-12 -1 -2 0.64
414 A Green Level 6- 8 -2 -1 -1.39
415 H Green Hope 11- 8 3 2 1.05
417 H Apex Friendship 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.48
423 A Middle Creek 3-17 -14 -4 -0.68
425 H Green Level 11- 4 7 0 ++ 5.07
429 A Cary HS 23- 1 22 14 0.00
506 A Apex 14-13 1 -2 + 3.18
507 H Panther Creek 22- 1 21 15 0.00
513 H Athens Drive 18-12 6 3 + 2.24
516 A Middle Creek 2-18 -16 -4 -0.68
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Northwest Guilford 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.18 314 A Broughton 7-13 -6 1 -- -5.69 225 A Hoggard 10-11 -1 1 - -2.50 417 H Apex Friendship 5- 8 -3 -1 - -2.48 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 A Apex Friendship 12- 8 4 -1 ++ 5.06 425 H Green Level 11- 4 7 0 ++ 5.07 506 A Apex 14-13 1 -2 + 3.18 513 H Athens Drive 18-12 6 3 + 2.24 |
Holly Springs Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | insuffient: ( 7- 5)( 8- 1) | Apex | |
| Apex Friendship | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 6- 3 vs 3- 3 | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Ardrey Kell | |
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Asheville HS | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Asheville School | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Ashley | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Athens Drive | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Atkins | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Bradford Prep | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | Broughton | ||
| Butler | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Cannon School | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Cape Fear Academy | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons 5- 0 vs 2- 4 | ||
| Carrboro | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Cary Academy | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Cary Christian | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Cary HS | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Cedar Ridge | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Chapel Hill | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 4- 3 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Christ School | |
| Christ The King | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Clayton | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Cleveland | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Community School-Dav | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Corinth Holders | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Cornerstone Charter | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Croatan | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 1) | Croatan | |
| Cuthbertson | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Davie | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| DH Conley | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | Durham Academy | ||
| East Chapel Hill | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| East Forsyth | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Enloe | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Fike | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| First Flight | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 2- 2 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Garner | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Glenn | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Grays Creek | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Green Hope | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Green Level | Green Level | insuffient: ( 6- 3)( 5- 2) | Green Level | |
| Greensboro Day | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Grimsley | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Havelock | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Heritage | Holly Springs | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Hickory | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| High Point Central | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Hillsborough Orange | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Hough | Hough | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Independence | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Jack Britt | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Jacksonville | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| JF Webb | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| JH Rose | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| John Paul II Catholi | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Jordan | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 3- 2 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Lake Norman Charter | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Lake Norman HS | |
| Laney | Holly Springs | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Leesville Road | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 5- 3 vs 3- 4 | ||
| Lincoln Charter | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | Middle Creek | ||
| Millbrook | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Mooresville | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Mount Tabor | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Myers Park | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| New Bern | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| New Hanover | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| North Brunswick | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| North Davidson | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| North Lincoln | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Northern Durham | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Northern Guilford | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Northside | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | ||
| Northwood | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Page | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Panther Creek | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Parkwood | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Patton Morganton | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Pine Forest | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Pine Lake Prep | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Pinecrest | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Porter Ridge | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Providence | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Holly Springs | |
| Providence Day | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Queens Grant | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Ravenscroft School | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Reagan | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Riverside Durham | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| RJ Reynolds | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Rolesville | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Roxboro Community | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Sanderson | Holly Springs | Holly Springs 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Seaforth | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| South Brunswick | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| South Garner | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| South Iredell | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| South View | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Southern Alamance | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Southlake Christian | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Southwest Guilford | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| St Davids School | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| St Stephens | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Sun Valley | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Swansboro | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| TC Roberson | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Terry Sanford | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Topsail | Holly Springs | tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Union Pines | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Vance Charter | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Voyager Academy | Holly Springs | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Wake Forest | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Wake Prep | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Wakefield | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Walter M Williams | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Watauga | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Weddington | Weddington | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| West Carteret | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| West Forsyth | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| West Stokes | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Western Alamance | Holly Springs | Holly Springs | ||
| Western Guilford | Holly Springs | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Holly Springs | |
| Willow Spring | Holly Springs | Holly Springs |
PowerWise = 131
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Northwest Guil (20- 5, 94.7) 4- 9 -5.18 28.63 -0.27 0.85 -4.66
0 A Hoggard (15- 6, 91.9) 10-11 -8.05 25.76 0.27 0.85 -6.64
0 A Willow Spring (13- 7, 88.0) 14- 6 -11.91 21.90 0.27 0.85 18.93
0 A Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 17- 6 -13.41 20.40 0.27 0.85 17.65
0 A Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 12- 8 -5.48 28.32 0.27 0.85 24.42
0 A Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 10- 7 -7.96 25.85 0.27 0.85 22.31
0 A Broughton (17- 5, 92.7) 7-13 -7.23 26.58 0.27 0.85 -5.95
0 H Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 5-16 -2.23 31.58 -0.27 0.85 -2.13
0 H Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 16- 2 -20.72 13.08 -0.27 0.85 10.94
0 A Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 16- 2 -20.55 13.26 0.27 0.85 11.56
0 H Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 11-12 -4.36 29.45 -0.27 0.85 -3.96
0 A Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 6- 8 -5.94 27.87 0.27 0.85 -4.84
0 H Green Hope (10-11, 91.9) 11- 8 -7.96 25.85 -0.27 0.85 21.84
0 H Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 5- 8 -5.48 28.32 -0.27 0.85 -4.92
0 A Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 3-17 -2.23 31.58 0.27 0.85 -1.67
0 H Green Level (13- 7, 94.0) 11- 4 -5.94 27.87 -0.27 0.85 23.57
0 A Cary HS ( 7-17, 79.2) 23- 1 -20.72 13.08 0.27 0.85 11.40
0 A Apex (18- 5, 95.5) 14-13 -4.36 29.45 0.27 0.85 25.38
0 H Panther Creek ( 2-18, 79.4) 22- 1 -20.55 13.26 -0.27 0.85 11.09
0 H Athens Drive (13- 8, 91.1) 18-12 -8.76 25.05 -0.27 0.85 21.16
0 A Middle Creek (21- 4, 97.7) 2-18 -2.23 31.58 0.27 0.85 -1.67
------
183.83
|
winning pts = 220.2538 losing points = -36.4278
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------