Harwood Union
W-L: (12- 1) PR = 99.2104Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 415 A St Johnsbury Academy (11- 5, 93.9) 12- 0 418 A Lyndon Institute ( 0-15, 82.9) 19- 0 423 H Mt Mansfield Union (14- 5, 99.9) 8-10 429 H Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 7- 3 508 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 8- 4 514 H Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 7- 0 521 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 14- 1 522 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 11- 0 524 A Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 5- 4 528 H Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 11- 3 606 H Brattleboro Union ( 5-11, 90.3) 16- 1 610 H Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 16-10 614 N Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 7- 4
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
415 A St Johnsbury Academy 12- 0 12 5 0.08
418 A Lyndon Institute 19- 0 19 16 0.00
423 H Mt Mansfield Union 8-10 -2 0 -1.73
429 H Burlington 7- 3 4 5 -1.00
508 A Milton 8- 4 4 3 0.57
514 H Mount Abraham 7- 0 7 9 0.00
521 H Spaulding 14- 1 13 11 0.00
522 A Colchester 11- 0 11 10 0.00
524 A Hartford Union 5- 4 1 1 -0.02
528 H Montpelier 11- 3 8 9 0.00
606 H Brattleboro Union 16- 1 15 9 0.00
610 H Milton 16-10 6 4 0.74
614 N Hartford Union 7- 4 3 1 1.56
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
Harwood Union Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellows Free Academy | Harwood Union | Harwood Union 7- 0 vs 1- 6 | ||
| Bellows Free Academy | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Harwood Union | |
| Brattleboro Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Burlington | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Burr and Burton Acad | Harwood Union | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| Champlain Valley Uni | Champlain Valley Uni | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Champlain Valley Uni | |
| Colchester | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Essex Junction | Harwood Union | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| Green Mountain Valle | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| Hartford Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Lamoille Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Lyndon Institute | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Middlebury Union | Middlebury Union | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Middlebury Union | |
| Milton | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Montpelier | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Mount Abraham | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Mt Anthony Union | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 4- 0)( 3- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | Mt Mansfield Union | ||
| Otter Valley Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union 3- 0 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Randolph Union | Harwood Union | Harwood Union 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Rice Memorial | Harwood Union | Harwood Union 3- 1 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Rutland | Harwood Union | tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| South Burlington | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Harwood Union | |
| Spaulding | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| St Johnsbury Academy | Harwood Union | Harwood Union | ||
| Stowe | Harwood Union | Harwood Union 8- 0 vs 4- 4 | ||
| Stratton Mountain Sc | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Harwood Union | |
| Woodstock Union | Harwood Union | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Harwood Union |
PowerWise = 25
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 14.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A St Johnsbury A (11- 5, 93.9) 12- 0 -6.03 11.01 0.42 1.09 12.43
0 A Lyndon Institu ( 0-15, 82.9) 19- 0 -17.04 1.00 0.42 1.09 1.54
0 H Mt Mansfield U (14- 5, 99.9) 8-10 -0.00 17.04 -0.42 1.09 -0.45
0 H Burlington ( 9- 3, 94.4) 7- 3 -5.47 11.57 -0.42 1.09 12.13
0 A Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 8- 4 -4.53 12.51 0.42 1.09 14.06
0 H Mount Abraham ( 4- 8, 90.2) 7- 0 -9.74 7.30 -0.42 1.09 7.49
0 H Spaulding ( 4- 9, 88.5) 14- 1 -11.42 5.63 -0.42 1.09 5.67
0 A Colchester ( 2-11, 88.7) 11- 0 -11.23 5.82 0.42 1.09 6.78
0 A Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 5- 4 -2.13 14.92 0.42 1.09 16.67
0 H Montpelier ( 7- 8, 90.7) 11- 3 -9.23 7.81 -0.42 1.09 8.04
0 H Brattleboro Un ( 5-11, 90.3) 16- 1 -9.60 7.44 -0.42 1.09 7.64
0 H Milton (12- 4, 95.4) 16-10 -4.53 12.51 -0.42 1.09 13.15
0 N Hartford Union (15- 3, 97.8) 7- 4 -2.13 14.92 -0.00 1.09 16.22
------
121.37
|
winning pts = 121.8262 losing points = -0.4522
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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