All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 70.4300003 home-field advantage = -0.78 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A John Champe ( 5-10, 66.1) 6-10 319 A Freedom South Riding (12- 7, 77.8) 5-11 321 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 64.9) 14- 2 325 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 67.6) 15- 9 326 A Brentsville (13- 3, 74.3) 5- 8 328 A Broad Run (13- 6, 77.8) 7-14 402 H Independence (19- 2, 86.4) 1-19 404 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 73.8) 7-11 407 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 79.8) 3-16 425 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 75.3) 3-15 502 H Dominion ( 6-10, 71.8) 7- 6 506 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 67.9) 6- 5 508 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 60.8) 14- 0 513 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 81.9) 5-19 521 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 60.8) 21- 6 523 H Dominion ( 6-10, 71.8) 12-10 528 H Broad Run (13- 6, 77.8) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A John Champe 6-10 -4 3 --- -7.52 319 A Freedom South Riding 5-11 -6 -8 1.00 321 A Thomas Jefferson 14- 2 12 4 + 2.30 325 A Potomac Falls 15- 9 6 2 + 3.97 326 A Brentsville 5- 8 -3 -4 1.66 328 A Broad Run 7-14 -7 -8 0.00 402 H Independence 1-19 -18 -15 0.00 404 H Lightridge 7-11 -4 -2 -1.46 407 H Stone Bridge 3-16 -13 -8 0.00 425 A Woodgrove 3-15 -12 -5 -1.31 502 H Dominion 7- 6 1 0 1.56 506 A Loudoun Valley 6- 5 1 1 -0.78 508 H Tuscarora 14- 0 14 10 0.00 513 H Loudoun County 5-19 -14 -10 0.00 521 H Tuscarora 21- 6 15 10 0.00 523 H Dominion 12-10 2 0 + 2.56 528 H Broad Run 6-14 -8 -6 -0.36UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A John Champe 6-10 -4 3 --- -7.52OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 321 A Thomas Jefferson 14- 2 12 4 + 2.30 325 A Potomac Falls 15- 9 6 2 + 3.97 523 H Dominion 12-10 2 0 + 2.56
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 70.43 Power Rank................. 88 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 45.94 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 72 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .5874 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 59 RPI Rating............... .4671 RPI Rank................... 100 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 72 Selection sum ........... 290 Selection Rank ............ 97 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -200. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 131 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -195. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 131 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 8.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 10.3 Wins/Losses(all )...... 7-10 Ave Goal diff (all )..... -2.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -18.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -18.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 3.0