Heritage Leesburg
W-L: ( 7-10) PR = 82.1742Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 318 A John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 6-10 319 A Freedom South Ridin (12- 7, 88.3) 5-11 321 A Thomas Jefferson ( 6- 8, 78.2) 14- 2 325 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 15- 9 326 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 5- 8 328 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 7-14 402 H Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 1-19 404 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 7-11 407 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 3-16 425 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 3-15 502 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 7- 6 506 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 6- 5 508 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 14- 0 513 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 5-19 521 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 21- 6 523 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 12-10 528 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 6-14
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
318 A John Champe 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.80
319 A Freedom South Ridin 5-11 -6 -7 0.00
321 A Thomas Jefferson 14- 2 12 3 1.62
325 A Potomac Falls 15- 9 6 2 + 3.27
326 A Brentsville 5- 8 -3 -3 0.05
328 A Broad Run 7-14 -7 -7 0.00
402 H Independence 1-19 -18 -11 0.00
404 H Lightridge 7-11 -4 -2 -1.87
407 H Stone Bridge 3-16 -13 -7 0.00
425 A Woodgrove 3-15 -12 -4 -1.16
502 H Dominion 7- 6 1 0 1.12
506 A Loudoun Valley 6- 5 1 1 -0.31
508 H Tuscarora 14- 0 14 6 0.00
513 H Loudoun County 5-19 -14 -8 0.00
521 H Tuscarora 21- 6 15 6 0.00
523 H Dominion 12-10 2 0 + 2.12
528 H Broad Run 6-14 -8 -5 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 A John Champe 6-10 -4 1 -- -4.80 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Potomac Falls 15- 9 6 2 + 3.27 523 H Dominion 12-10 2 0 + 2.12 |
Heritage Leesburg Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Albemarle | Albemarle | Albemarle | ||
| Alexandria City | Alexandria City | Alexandria City | ||
| Annandale | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Atlee | Atlee | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Atlee | |
| Battlefield | Battlefield | Battlefield 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Bayside | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Benedictine | Benedictine | Benedictine | ||
| Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | Bishop Ireton | ||
| Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | Bishop OConnell | ||
| Blacksburg | Blacksburg | Blacksburg | ||
| Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | Blue Ridge School | ||
| Brentsville | Brentsville | Brentsville | ||
| Briar Woods | Briar Woods | Briar Woods 9- 1 vs 3- 7 | ||
| Broad Run | Broad Run | Broad Run | ||
| Brooke Point | Brooke Point | Brooke Point | ||
| Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | Cape Henry Collegiat | ||
| Catholic HS | Catholic HS | Catholic HS | ||
| Cave Spring | Cave Spring | Cave Spring | ||
| Centreville | Centreville | Centreville | ||
| Chantilly | Chantilly | Chantilly | ||
| Charlottesville | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Christchurch | Christchurch | Christchurch | ||
| Christiansburg | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Clover Hill | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Colgan | Colgan | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Colgan | |
| Collegiate School | Collegiate School | Collegiate School | ||
| Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | Colonial Forge | ||
| Cosby | Cosby | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Cosby | |
| Covenant School | Covenant School | Covenant School | ||
| Cox | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Culpeper County | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Deep Run | Deep Run | Deep Run | ||
| Dominion | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Douglas Freeman | Douglas Freeman | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Douglas Freeman | |
| Eastern View | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| EC Glass | EC Glass | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | EC Glass | |
| Edison | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Episcopal | Episcopal | Episcopal | ||
| Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | Eukarya Christian | ||
| Fairfax | Fairfax | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Fairfax | |
| Falls Church | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Fauquier | Fauquier | tied - ( 1- 4) ( 1- 4) | Fauquier | |
| First Colonial | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Fishburne Military A | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Flint Hill | Flint Hill | Flint Hill | ||
| Fluvanna County | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Forest Park | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | Fork Union Military | ||
| Franklin County | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Fredericksburg Acade | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | Fredericksburg Chris | ||
| Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | Freedom South Ridin | ||
| Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | Freedom Woodbridge | ||
| Gainesville | Gainesville | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Gainesville | |
| Gar-field | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Glen Allen | Glen Allen | Glen Allen | ||
| Goochland | Goochland | Goochland | ||
| Grafton LC | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Grassfield LC | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Green Run | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Handley | Handley | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Handley | |
| Hanover | Hanover | Hanover | ||
| Hayfield | Hayfield | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hayfield | |
| Herndon | Herndon | Herndon | ||
| Hickory LC | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Hidden Valley | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Highland School | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Highland Springs | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Hylton | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Independence | Independence | Independence | ||
| James Monroe | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| James River | James River | James River | ||
| Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | Jamestown LC | ||
| Jefferson Forest | Jefferson Forest | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Jefferson Forest | |
| John Champe | John Champe | John Champe | ||
| Justice | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Kellam | Kellam | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Kellam | |
| Kempsville | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Kettle Run | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | Lafayette LC | ||
| Lake Braddock | Lake Braddock | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Lake Braddock | |
| Landstown | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Langley | Langley | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Langley | |
| Lewis | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Liberty Bealeton | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Lightridge | Lightridge | Lightridge | ||
| Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | Lloyd C Bird | ||
| Lord Botetourt | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Loudoun County | Loudoun County | Loudoun County | ||
| Loudoun Valley | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Madison | Madison | Madison | ||
| Manchester | Manchester | Manchester | ||
| Marshall | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Massaponax | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Matoaca | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Maury LC | Maury LC | Maury LC | ||
| McLean | McLean | McLean | ||
| Mechanicsville | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Menchville LC | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Meridian | Meridian | insuffient: ( 1- 4)( 2- 3) | Meridian | |
| Midlothian | Midlothian | Midlothian | ||
| Mills Godwin | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Monacan | Monacan | Monacan | ||
| Monticello | Monticello | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Monticello | |
| Mount Vernon | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Mountain View | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | Nansemond-Suffolk Ac | ||
| New Covenant School | New Covenant School | New Covenant School | ||
| Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | Norfolk Academy | ||
| Norfolk Christian | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Norfolk Collegiate | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| North Cross School | North Cross School | North Cross School | ||
| North Stafford | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Northern VA Home Sch | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Oakton | Oakton | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Oakton | |
| Ocean Lakes | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Orange County | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Osbourn | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Osbourn Park | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Park View | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg 3- 4 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Patrick Henry Ashla | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | Patrick Henry Roano | ||
| Patriot | Patriot | insuffient: ( 0- 3)( 1- 2) | Patriot | |
| Paul VI | Paul VI | Paul VI | ||
| Potomac Falls | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Potomac School | Potomac School | Potomac School | ||
| Potomac-Dumfries | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Powhatan | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Princess Anne | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Riverbend | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Riverside | Riverside | Riverside 8- 0 vs 2- 6 | ||
| Robinson | Robinson | Robinson | ||
| Rock Ridge | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Rockbridge County | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | Rockingham LC | ||
| Salem | Salem | Salem 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Salem Virginia Beach | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Seton School | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| South County | South County | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | South County | |
| South Lakes | South Lakes | South Lakes | ||
| St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | St Annes-Belfield | ||
| St Christophers | St Christophers | St Christophers | ||
| St John Paul the Gre | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | St Stephen-St Agnes | ||
| Stafford | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Steward School | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | Stone Bridge | ||
| Strasburg LC | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Tabb LC | Tabb LC | Tabb LC | ||
| Tallwood | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Tandem Friends | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Thomas Dale | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Thomas Jefferson | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | Trinity Christian | ||
| Trinity Episcopal | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | Trinity Meadow View | ||
| Tuscarora | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Unity Reed | Heritage Leesburg | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Veritas School | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Virginia Academy | Heritage Leesburg | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Heritage Leesburg | |
| Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | Virginia Episcopal S | ||
| Wakefield HS | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Wakefield School | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | Washington-Liberty | ||
| West Potomac | West Potomac | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | West Potomac | |
| West Springfield | West Springfield | West Springfield | ||
| Western Albemarle | Western Albemarle | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Western Albemarle | |
| Westfield | Westfield | Westfield | ||
| William Byrd | William Byrd | William Byrd | ||
| William Fleming | William Fleming | William Fleming | ||
| Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | Woodberry Forest | ||
| Woodbridge | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Woodgrove | Woodgrove | Woodgrove | ||
| Woodson | Woodson | Woodson | ||
| York LC | Heritage Leesburg | Heritage Leesburg | ||
| Yorktown | Yorktown | Yorktown |
PowerWise = 79
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.94
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A John Champe ( 5-10, 80.8) 6-10 -19.14 15.87 0.61 0.82 -15.20
0 A Freedom South (12- 7, 88.3) 5-11 -11.59 23.41 0.61 0.82 -9.01
0 A Thomas Jeffers ( 6- 8, 78.2) 14- 2 -21.72 13.28 0.61 0.82 11.40
0 A Potomac Falls ( 2-13, 79.8) 15- 9 -20.06 14.94 0.61 0.82 12.75
0 A Brentsville (13- 3, 84.6) 5- 8 -15.28 19.72 0.61 0.82 -12.03
0 A Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 7-14 -11.83 23.17 0.61 0.82 -9.20
0 H Independence (19- 2, 93.8) 1-19 -6.07 28.94 -0.61 0.82 -5.47
0 H Lightridge ( 6-10, 84.9) 7-11 -14.99 20.01 -0.61 0.82 -12.80
0 H Stone Bridge ( 9- 8, 89.7) 3-16 -10.16 24.84 -0.61 0.82 -8.83
0 A Woodgrove ( 7- 7, 85.4) 3-15 -14.49 20.51 0.61 0.82 -11.39
0 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 7- 6 -16.99 18.01 -0.61 0.82 14.27
0 A Loudoun Valley ( 5- 9, 80.3) 6- 5 -19.64 15.36 0.61 0.82 13.10
0 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 14- 0 -23.31 11.70 -0.61 0.82 9.09
0 H Loudoun County (17- 4, 90.5) 5-19 -9.41 25.59 -0.61 0.82 -8.22
0 H Tuscarora ( 2-12, 76.6) 21- 6 -23.31 11.70 -0.61 0.82 9.09
0 H Dominion ( 6-10, 82.9) 12-10 -16.99 18.01 -0.61 0.82 14.27
0 H Broad Run (13- 6, 88.1) 6-14 -11.83 23.17 -0.61 0.82 -10.20
------
-18.38
|
winning pts = 83.9703 losing points = -102.3547
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------