---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:56 PDT

safe3step boys Howard 1
  
Howard                
W-L: (13- 4) PR = 87.0792

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Centennial ( 7- 7, 83.7) 13- 1 325 A Arundel ( 3-12, 79.9) 10- 5 327 H River Hill ( 8- 6, 83.5) 10- 1 401 H Crofton (10- 4, 89.8) 4- 7 405 H North County ( 7- 8, 83.4) 11- 3 405 H Bel Air ( 8- 6, 85.0) 4- 3 408 H Hammond ( 2-11, 74.5) 16- 3 410 H Mount Hebron ( 6- 8, 85.9) 8- 7 411 H Atholton ( 3-12, 77.1) 15- 1 425 A Marriotts Ridge (11- 6, 88.8) 7- 6 426 A Towson (15- 5, 90.3) 2-11 428 A Long Reach ( 4- 8, 78.4) 9- 0 430 H Glenelg HS (12- 5, 90.3) 3-10 502 A Oakland Mills ( 6- 7, 81.0) 12- 6 505 A Glenelg HS (12- 5, 90.3) 4- 3 509 H Westminster ( 7- 9, 85.9) 6- 4 512 H Marriotts Ridge (11- 6, 88.8) 6-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 A Centennial             13- 1      12     3    +      2.02
   325 A Arundel                10- 5       5     7           0.00
   327 H River Hill             10- 1       9     4           1.00
   401 H Crofton                 4- 7      -3    -2          -0.77
   405 H North County           11- 3       8     4           0.92
   405 H Bel Air                 4- 3       1     3          -1.55
   408 H Hammond                16- 3      13    13           0.00
   410 H Mount Hebron            8- 7       1     2          -0.66
   411 H Atholton               15- 1      14    10           0.00
   425 A Marriotts Ridge         7- 6       1    -2    +      3.19
   426 A Towson                  2-11      -9    -4          -1.36
   428 A Long Reach              9- 0       9     8           0.00
   430 H Glenelg HS              3-10      -7    -3    -     -2.27
   502 A Oakland Mills          12- 6       6     6           0.00
   505 A Glenelg HS              4- 3       1    -4    ++     4.62
   509 H Westminster             6- 4       2     2           0.36
   512 H Marriotts Ridge         6-13      -7    -1    -     -3.70

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 H Glenelg HS              3-10      -7    -3    -     -2.27
   512 H Marriotts Ridge         6-13      -7    -1    -     -3.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Glenelg HS              4- 3       1    -4    ++     4.62
   321 A Centennial             13- 1      12     3    +      2.02
   425 A Marriotts Ridge         7- 6       1    -2    +      3.19

Howard Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Annapolis Area Chris Howard   Howard
Archbishop Curley Archbishop Curley tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Archbishop Curley
Archbishop Spalding Archbishop Spalding   Archbishop Spalding
Beth TFiloh Howard   Howard
Bishop McNamara Howard   Howard
Boys Latin Boys Latin   Boys Latin
Bullis Bullis   Bullis
Calvert Hall Calvert Hall   Calvert Hall
Chapelgate Christian Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Concordia Prep Howard   Howard
Cristo Rey Jesuit Howard   Howard
DeMatha DeMatha   DeMatha
FCA LC Howard   Howard
Friends Howard   Howard
Garrett County LC Howard   Howard
Georgetown Day Howard   Howard
Georgetown Prep Georgetown Prep   Georgetown Prep
Gerstell Academy Howard   Howard
Gilman Gilman   Gilman
Glenelg Country Howard   Howard
Gonzaga Gonzaga   Gonzaga
Good Counsel Good Counsel   Good Counsel
Gunston School Howard   Howard
Heights Heights   Heights
Indian Creek School Howard   Howard
Jemicy School Howard   Howard
John Carroll John Carroll   John Carroll
Key School Howard   Howard
Landon Landon   Landon
Loyola-Blakefield Loyola-Blakefield   Loyola-Blakefield
Maret Howard   Howard
McDonogh McDonogh   McDonogh
Mercersburg Academy Howard   Howard
Mount Carmel Howard   Howard
Mount St Joseph Mount St Joseph   Mount St Joseph
Park School Howard   Howard
Salisbury School Howard   Howard
Sandy Spring Friends Howard   Howard
Severn School Severn School   Severn School
Sidwell Friends Howard   Howard
St Albans St Albans   St Albans
St Andrews Episcopal Howard   Howard
St James St James tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St James
St Johns Catholic Pr Howard   Howard
St Johns College HS St Johns College HS   St Johns College HS
St Marys Annapolis St Marys Annapolis   St Marys Annapolis
St Marys Ryken St Marys Ryken   St Marys Ryken
St Pauls St Pauls   St Pauls
St Vincent Pallotti Howard   Howard
Sts Peter & Paul Sts Peter & Paul   Sts Peter & Paul
Tome School Howard   Howard
Worcester Prep Howard   Howard
Aberdeen Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Academy for College Howard   Howard
Annapolis Howard tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Howard
Arundel Howard Howard  
Atholton Howard Howard  
Baltimore Polytechni Howard insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Howard
Bel Air Howard Howard  
Bethesda-Chevy Chase Howard   Howard
Bladensburg Howard   Howard
Blair Howard   Howard
Blake Howard   Howard
Bohemia Manor Howard   Howard
Boonsboro Howard   Howard
Bowie Howard   Howard
Broadneck Broadneck insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 0) Broadneck
Brunswick Howard   Howard
Calvert Howard   Howard
Cambridge SD Howard   Howard
Carver A&T Howard   Howard
Catoctin Howard   Howard
Catonsville Catonsville insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Catonsville
Centennial Howard Howard  
Century Century tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Century
CH Flowers Howard   Howard
Chesapeake AA Chesapeake AA insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 3- 1) Chesapeake AA
Chesapeake BC Howard   Howard
Chopticon Howard   Howard
City College Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Clarksburg Howard   Howard
CM Wright CM Wright tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) CM Wright
Crofton Crofton Crofton  
Damascus Howard insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Howard
Digital Harbor Howard   Howard
Dr Henry Wise Howard   Howard
Dulaney Dulaney tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Dulaney
Dunbar Howard   Howard
Dundalk Howard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howard
DuVal Howard   Howard
Eastern Tech Howard   Howard
Easton Howard   Howard
Edgewood Howard   Howard
Edmondson-Westside Howard   Howard
Einstein Howard   Howard
Eleanor Roosevelt Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Elkton Howard   Howard
Fairmont Heights Howard   Howard
Fallston Fallston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Fallston
Forest Park Howard   Howard
Francis Scott Key Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Franklin Howard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howard
Frederick Howard   Howard
Frederick Douglass B Howard   Howard
Frederick Douglass P Howard   Howard
Friendly Howard   Howard
Gaithersburg Howard   Howard
Glen Burnie Howard Howard   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Glenelg HS Glenelg HS tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) Glenelg HS
Gov Thomas Johnson Howard   Howard
Great Mills Howard   Howard
Guilford Park Howard Howard   6- 0 vs 0- 6
Gwynn Park Howard   Howard
Hammond Howard Howard  
Harford Tech Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Havre De Grace Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Hereford Hereford insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 0) Hereford
High Point Howard   Howard
Huntingtown Huntingtown insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) Huntingtown
JM Bennett Howard   Howard
Joppatowne Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Kennedy Howard   Howard
Kent County Howard   Howard
Kent Island Kent Island tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Kent Island
Kenwood Howard   Howard
La Plata Howard   Howard
Lackey Howard   Howard
Lake Clifton Howard   Howard
Lansdowne Howard   Howard
Laurel Howard   Howard
Leonardtown Leonardtown tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Leonardtown
Liberty Howard Howard   2- 1 vs 0- 2
Linganore Linganore   Linganore
Loch Raven Howard   Howard
Long Reach Howard Howard  
Magruder Howard   Howard
Manchester Valley Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Marriotts Ridge Marriotts Ridge insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 2) Marriotts Ridge
Meade Howard Howard   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Mergenthaler Howard   Howard
Middletown Middletown   Middletown
Milford Mill Howard   Howard
MJ McDonough Howard   Howard
Mount Hebron Howard Howard  
National Academy Fou Howard   Howard
New Town Howard   Howard
North Caroline Howard   Howard
North County Howard Howard  
North Dorchester Howard   Howard
North East Cecil Howard   Howard
North Hagerstown Howard   Howard
North Harford Howard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Howard
North Point Howard   Howard
Northeast AA Howard tied - ( 3- 0) ( 3- 0) Howard
Northern Calvert Northern Calvert   Northern Calvert
Northwest Howard   Howard
Northwestern PG Howard   Howard
Northwood Howard   Howard
Oakdale Howard   Howard
Oakland Mills Howard Howard  
Old Mill Howard insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Howard
Overlea Howard   Howard
Owings Mills Howard   Howard
Oxon Hill Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Paint Branch Howard   Howard
Parkdale Howard   Howard
Parkside Howard   Howard
Parkville Howard   Howard
Patapsco Howard   Howard
Patterson HS Howard   Howard
Patterson Mill Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Patuxent Howard   Howard
Perry Hall Howard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howard
Perryville Howard insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Howard
Pikesville Howard   Howard
Poolesville Howard   Howard
Queen Annes County Queen Annes County   Queen Annes County
Quince Orchard Howard   Howard
Randallstown Howard   Howard
Reginald F Lewis Howard   Howard
Reservoir Howard Howard   8- 2 vs 4- 4
Richard Montgomery Howard   Howard
Rising Sun Howard   Howard
River Hill Howard Howard  
Rockville Howard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howard
Seneca Valley Howard   Howard
Severn Run Howard Howard   5- 1 vs 1- 4
Severna Park Severna Park Severna Park   7- 0 vs 5- 4
Sherwood Sherwood tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 1) Sherwood
Smithsburg Howard   Howard
South Carroll Howard Howard   2- 2 vs 0- 3
South Hagerstown Howard   Howard
South River South River insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 5- 0) South River
Southern AA Howard Howard   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Sparrows Point Howard   Howard
Springbrook Howard   Howard
St Charles Howard   Howard
Stephen Decatur Stephen Decatur tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Stephen Decatur
Suitland Howard tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Howard
Surrattsville Howard   Howard
Thomas Stone Howard   Howard
Towson Towson Towson  
Tuscarora Howard   Howard
Urbana Urbana insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Urbana
Walkersville Howard tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Howard
Walt Whitman Howard   Howard
Walter Johnson Howard   Howard
Watkins Mill Howard   Howard
Western STES Howard   Howard
Westlake Howard   Howard
Westminster Howard Howard  
Wheaton Howard   Howard
Wicomico Howard   Howard
Wilde Lake Howard Howard   8- 2 vs 3- 5
Winston Churchill Howard   Howard
Winters Mill Howard Howard   4- 0 vs 2- 2
Woodlawn Howard   Howard
Wootton Howard   Howard
Archbishop Carroll Howard   Howard
DC International PCS Howard   Howard
Jackson Reed Howard   Howard

PowerWise = 173


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Centennial      ( 7- 7, 83.7)    13- 1      -16.24      19.35       0.45         0.71            14.13
   0 A Arundel         ( 3-12, 79.9)    10- 5      -19.97      15.62       0.45         0.71            11.47
   0 H River Hill      ( 8- 6, 83.5)    10- 1      -16.38      19.22      -0.45         0.71            13.40
   0 H Crofton         (10- 4, 89.8)     4- 7      -10.15      25.45      -0.45         0.71            -7.56
   0 H North County    ( 7- 8, 83.4)    11- 3      -16.45      19.14      -0.45         0.71            13.35
   0 H Bel Air         ( 8- 6, 85.0)     4- 3      -14.92      20.67      -0.45         0.71            14.44
   0 H Hammond         ( 2-11, 74.5)    16- 3      -25.39      10.20      -0.45         0.71             6.96
   0 H Mount Hebron    ( 6- 8, 85.9)     8- 7      -14.04      21.56      -0.45         0.71            15.07
   0 H Atholton        ( 3-12, 77.1)    15- 1      -22.77      12.82      -0.45         0.71             8.83
   0 A Marriotts Ridg  (11- 6, 88.8)     7- 6      -11.08      24.52       0.45         0.71            17.82
   0 A Towson          (15- 5, 90.3)     2-11       -9.63      25.96       0.45         0.71            -6.56
   0 A Long Reach      ( 4- 8, 78.4)     9- 0      -21.50      14.09       0.45         0.71            10.38
   0 H Glenelg HS      (12- 5, 90.3)     3-10       -9.65      25.95      -0.45         0.71            -7.20
   0 A Oakland Mills   ( 6- 7, 81.0)    12- 6      -18.91      16.68       0.45         0.71            12.23
   0 A Glenelg HS      (12- 5, 90.3)     4- 3       -9.65      25.95       0.45         0.71            18.84
   0 H Westminster     ( 7- 9, 85.9)     6- 4      -14.01      21.58      -0.45         0.71            15.09
   0 H Marriotts Ridg  (11- 6, 88.8)     6-13      -11.08      24.52      -0.45         0.71            -8.22
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       142.45

winning pts = 171.9982 losing points = -29.5462

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------