---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:50 PDT

safe3step boys Holy Cross 1
  
Holy Cross            
W-L: (12- 6) PR = 76.3998

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Hamden (11- 6, 81.3) 4-16 407 H St Paul Catholic (11- 7, 77.5) 2-16 409 A Wolcott ( 5-11, 70.3) 14- 5 411 H Capital-Classical Pr ( 0-13, 65.9) 19- 0 415 A Danbury ( 2-13, 69.9) 20- 8 421 A Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 11- 2 424 H Lakeview United ( 6- 9, 73.8) 13- 5 429 A Capital-Classical Pr ( 0-13, 65.9) 1- 0 501 A Branford ( 9- 8, 78.7) 3- 8 503 H Fairfield Warde ( 6-10, 80.0) 6- 9 506 H Wolcott ( 5-11, 70.3) 17- 3 507 A Lakeview United ( 6- 9, 73.8) 13- 3 510 A Immaculate Danbury ( 6-10, 76.4) 8- 7 512 A St Paul Catholic (11- 7, 77.5) 7-11 515 H Watertown ( 6-10, 72.0) 12- 0 524 H Lakeview United ( 6- 9, 73.8) 10- 8 530 A St Paul Catholic (11- 7, 77.5) 6- 5 604 A Somers (20- 2, 86.8) 1-19

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 A Hamden                  4-16     -12    -5           0.00
   407 H St Paul Catholic        2-16     -14    -1    --    -4.36
   409 A Wolcott                14- 5       9     6           0.00
   411 H Capital-Classical Pr   19- 0      19    11           0.00
   415 A Danbury                20- 8      12     6           0.00
   421 A Watertown              11- 2       9     4           1.03
   424 H Lakeview United        13- 5       8     3           1.92
   501 A Branford                3- 8      -5    -3    -     -2.24
   503 H Fairfield Warde         6- 9      -3    -3           0.08
   506 H Wolcott                17- 3      14     7           0.00
   507 A Lakeview United        13- 3      10     2    +      2.87
   510 A Immaculate  Danbury     8- 7       1     0           1.47
   512 A St Paul Catholic        7-11      -4    -2    -     -2.41
   515 H Watertown              12- 0      12     5           0.08
   524 H Lakeview United        10- 8       2     3          -1.08
   530 A St Paul Catholic        6- 5       1    -2    +      2.59
   604 A Somers                  1-19     -18   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H St Paul Catholic        2-16     -14    -1    --    -4.36
   501 A Branford                3- 8      -5    -3    -     -2.24
   512 A St Paul Catholic        7-11      -4    -2    -     -2.41

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   507 A Lakeview United        13- 3      10     2    +      2.87
   530 A St Paul Catholic        6- 5       1    -2    +      2.59

Holy Cross Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Amity Regional Amity Regional Amity Regional   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Avon HS Avon HS tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Avon HS
Bacon Academy Bacon Academy tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Bacon Academy
Berlin Holy Cross insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Holy Cross
Bethel Bethel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Bethel
Branford Branford Branford  
Brien McMahon Brien McMahon tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Brien McMahon
Bristol Co-Op Bristol Co-Op tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Bristol Co-Op
Brookfield Brookfield insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Brookfield
Bunnell-Stratford Holy Cross insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holy Cross
Canton Canton tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Canton
Capital-Classical Pr Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Cheshire HS Cheshire HS   Cheshire HS
Conard Conard insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Conard
Cromwell Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Danbury Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Daniel Hand Daniel Hand   Daniel Hand
Darien Darien insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Darien
East Catholic East Catholic tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) East Catholic
East Lyme East Lyme insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) East Lyme
Ellington Ellington tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Ellington
Enfield Enfield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Enfield
EO Smith EO Smith   EO Smith
Fairfield Ludlowe Fairfield Ludlowe insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Fairfield Ludlowe
Fairfield Prep Fairfield Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fairfield Prep
Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde Fairfield Warde  
Farmington Farmington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Farmington
Fitch Groton Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Foran Foran Foran   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Glastonbury Glastonbury   Glastonbury
Granby Memorial Granby Memorial tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Granby Memorial
Greenwich HS Greenwich HS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Greenwich HS
Guilford Guilford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Guilford
Haddam-Killingworth Haddam-Killingworth   Haddam-Killingworth
Hall Hall   Hall
Hamden Hamden Hamden  
Immaculate Danbury Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Joel Barlow Joel Barlow tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Joel Barlow
Jonathan Law Holy Cross tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Holy Cross
Lakeview United Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Ledyard-Griswold Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Lewis Mills Lewis Mills tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Lewis Mills
Lyman Hall Lyman Hall tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Lyman Hall
Maloney-Platt Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Masuk Masuk tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Masuk
Middletown Holy Cross tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Cross
Montville Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Morgan School Morgan School insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Morgan School
New Canaan New Canaan tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Canaan
New Fairfield New Fairfield tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) New Fairfield
New Milford New Milford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) New Milford
Newington Newington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Newington
Newtown Newtown insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Newtown
North Branford North Branford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) North Branford
North Haven North Haven tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) North Haven
Northwest Catholic Northwest Catholic tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Northwest Catholic
Norwalk Holy Cross tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Holy Cross
Norwich Free Academy Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Norwich Tech Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Notre Dame-Fairfield Holy Cross Holy Cross   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Notre Dame-West Have Notre Dame-West Have   Notre Dame-West Have
Old Lyme Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Old Saybrook Old Saybrook insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Old Saybrook
Pomperaug Pomperaug tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 0) Pomperaug
Prince-Cheney Tech Holy Cross insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Holy Cross
RHAM RHAM   RHAM
Ridgefield Ridgefield   Ridgefield
Rockville Co-op Holy Cross tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Cross
Rocky Hill Holy Cross Holy Cross   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Sheehan Sheehan Sheehan   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Shelton Holy Cross tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 3) Holy Cross
Simsbury Simsbury   Simsbury
Somers Somers Somers  
South Windsor South Windsor tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) South Windsor
Southington Southington   Southington
St Bernard-Wheeler St Bernard-Wheeler   St Bernard-Wheeler
St Joseph Trumbull St Joseph Trumbull insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) St Joseph Trumbull
St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic St Paul Catholic  
Stamford Stamford insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Stamford
Staples Staples tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Staples
Stonington Stonington tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Stonington
Suffield Suffield tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Suffield
Tolland Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Trumbull Trumbull insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Trumbull
Valley Regional Valley Regional   Valley Regional
Vinal/Goodwin Tech Holy Cross insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Holy Cross
Waterford Waterford tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Waterford
Watertown Holy Cross Holy Cross  
West Haven Holy Cross tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Holy Cross
Westhill Holy Cross insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Holy Cross
Weston Weston tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Weston
Wethersfield Wethersfield tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Wethersfield
Wilbur Cross Holy Cross tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Holy Cross
Wilton Wilton   Wilton
Windsor Holy Cross   Holy Cross
Wolcott Holy Cross Holy Cross  
Woodstock Academy Holy Cross tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holy Cross
Xavier Xavier insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Xavier

PowerWise = 31


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.01

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Hamden          (11- 6, 81.3)     4-16      -18.65      21.61       0.47         0.95           -17.17
   0 H St Paul Cathol  (11- 7, 77.5)     2-16      -22.38      17.87      -0.47         0.95           -21.60
   0 A Wolcott         ( 5-11, 70.3)    14- 5      -29.60      10.66       0.47         0.95            10.52
   0 H Capital-Classi  ( 0-13, 65.9)    19- 0      -33.95       6.30      -0.47         0.95             5.51
   0 A Danbury         ( 2-13, 69.9)    20- 8      -29.96      10.29       0.47         0.95            10.18
   0 A Watertown       ( 6-10, 72.0)    11- 2      -27.95      12.31       0.47         0.95            12.08
   0 H Lakeview Unite  ( 6- 9, 73.8)    13- 5      -26.10      14.15      -0.47         0.95            12.93
   0 A Capital-Classi  ( 0-13, 65.9)     1- 0      -33.95       6.30       0.47         0.95             6.41
   0 A Branford        ( 9- 8, 78.7)     3- 8      -21.22      19.04       0.47         0.95           -19.60
   0 H Fairfield Ward  ( 6-10, 80.0)     6- 9      -19.95      20.31      -0.47         0.95           -19.30
   0 H Wolcott         ( 5-11, 70.3)    17- 3      -29.60      10.66      -0.47         0.95             9.62
   0 A Lakeview Unite  ( 6- 9, 73.8)    13- 3      -26.10      14.15       0.47         0.95            13.82
   0 A Immaculate  Da  ( 6-10, 76.4)     8- 7      -23.51      16.75       0.47         0.95            16.27
   0 A St Paul Cathol  (11- 7, 77.5)     7-11      -22.38      17.87       0.47         0.95           -20.71
   0 H Watertown       ( 6-10, 72.0)    12- 0      -27.95      12.31      -0.47         0.95            11.18
   0 H Lakeview Unite  ( 6- 9, 73.8)    10- 8      -26.10      14.15      -0.47         0.95            12.93
   0 A St Paul Cathol  (11- 7, 77.5)     6- 5      -22.38      17.87       0.47         0.95            17.34
   0 A Somers          (20- 2, 86.8)     1-19      -13.11      27.14       0.47         0.95           -11.94
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        28.45

winning pts = 138.7738 losing points = -110.3261

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------