---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:02 PDT

safe3step boys Holmdel 1
  
Holmdel               
W-L: ( 8-10) PR = 88.4495

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 H Red Bank Catholic ( 4-15, 79.3) 13- 2 329 H Middletown South ( 9-10, 85.2) 17- 7 402 A Christian Brothers ( 9- 7, 92.6) 2-12 408 A Rumson-Fair Haven (14- 7, 93.5) 3-13 412 A Red Bank Regional ( 9- 9, 88.5) 5- 6 416 H Manasquan (19- 3, 94.3) 3-13 417 A Jackson Memorial ( 1-16, 75.7) 16- 3 423 A Shore Regional (12- 6, 90.9) 7- 8 425 A Southern Regional (15- 6, 91.9) 2-12 428 A Manalapan (11-11, 84.5) 12-11 430 H Wall Township (11-12, 89.8) 10-12 503 H East Brunswick ( 9-10, 83.5) 7- 4 508 H Northern Burlington (13- 7, 85.4) 12- 3 513 H Howell (14- 5, 86.7) 10- 8 515 A Rumson-Fair Haven (14- 7, 93.5) 6-15 520 H Toms River East (15- 5, 89.1) 6- 8 529 A Somerville ( 6-10, 88.7) 8- 1 602 A West Morris Central (10-10, 90.2) 7-10

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Red Bank Catholic      13- 2      11    10           0.00
   329 H Middletown South       17- 7      10     4           0.94
   402 A Christian Brothers      2-12     -10    -5          -0.04
   408 A Rumson-Fair Haven       3-13     -10    -6           0.00
   412 A Red Bank Regional       5- 6      -1    -1          -0.19
   416 H Manasquan               3-13     -10    -5           0.00
   417 A Jackson Memorial       16- 3      13    12           0.00
   423 A Shore Regional          7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.28
   425 A Southern Regional       2-12     -10    -4          -0.79
   428 A Manalapan              12-11       1     3    -     -2.11
   430 H Wall Township          10-12      -2    -1          -1.42
   503 H East Brunswick          7- 4       3     6    -     -2.00
   508 H Northern Burlington    12- 3       9     4           1.12
   513 H Howell                 10- 8       2     3          -0.51
   515 A Rumson-Fair Haven       6-15      -9    -6           0.00
   520 H Toms River East         6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.14
   529 A Somerville              8- 1       7    -1    +++    6.05
   602 A West Morris Central     7-10      -3    -3          -0.40

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A Manalapan              12-11       1     3    -     -2.11
   503 H East Brunswick          7- 4       3     6    -     -2.00
   520 H Toms River East         6- 8      -2     0    -     -2.14

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   529 A Somerville              8- 1       7    -1    +++    6.05
   423 A Shore Regional          7- 8      -1    -3    +      2.28

Holmdel Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Absegami Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Allentown Holmdel tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Holmdel
Arthur L Johnson Holmdel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holmdel
Barnegat Township Holmdel insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Holmdel
Bergen Catholic Bergen Catholic   Bergen Catholic
Bergen Tech Holmdel   Holmdel
Bernards Bernards tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Bernards
Bishop Eustace Prep Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Blair Academy Holmdel   Holmdel
Boonton Holmdel   Holmdel
Brick Memorial Holmdel insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Holmdel
Brick Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Bridgewater-Raritan Bridgewater-Raritan Bridgewater-Raritan   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Camden Catholic Holmdel   Holmdel
Cedar Creek Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Cedar Grove Holmdel   Holmdel
Central Regional Holmdel   Holmdel
Chatham Chatham insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Chatham
Cherokee Holmdel   Holmdel
Cherry Hill East Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Holmdel
Cherry Hill West Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Christian Brothers Christian Brothers Christian Brothers  
Cinnaminson Holmdel tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Holmdel
Clearview Regional Holmdel   Holmdel
Clifton Holmdel   Holmdel
Colts Neck Holmdel Holmdel   4- 0 vs 1- 3
Columbia Holmdel   Holmdel
Cranford Holmdel insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Holmdel
Delaware Valley Holmdel   Holmdel
Delbarton Delbarton insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Delbarton
Delran Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Demarest Holmdel   Holmdel
DePaul Catholic Holmdel   Holmdel
Don Bosco Prep Don Bosco Prep   Don Bosco Prep
Donovan Catholic Holmdel Holmdel   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Dwight-Englewood Holmdel   Holmdel
East Brunswick Holmdel Holmdel  
East Side Newark Holmdel   Holmdel
Eastern Christian Holmdel   Holmdel
Eastern Regional Eastern Regional Eastern Regional   3- 3 vs 1- 5
Edison Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Egg Harbor Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Ewing Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Fair Lawn Holmdel   Holmdel
Freehold Township Holmdel Holmdel   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Gill St Bernards Gill St Bernards insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Gill St Bernards
Glen Ridge Glen Ridge tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 0) Glen Ridge
Glen Rock Glen Rock   Glen Rock
Gloucester Catholic Holmdel   Holmdel
Governor Livingston Holmdel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holmdel
Hackettstown Holmdel   Holmdel
Haddon Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Haddonfield Memorial Haddonfield Memorial insuffient: ( 0- 4)( 1- 3) Haddonfield Memorial
Hamilton East-Steine Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Holmdel
Hamilton North-Notti Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Holmdel
Hamilton West Holmdel   Holmdel
Hammonton Holmdel   Holmdel
Hanover Park/Whippan Holmdel   Holmdel
Hawthorne Holmdel   Holmdel
High Point/Wallkill Holmdel   Holmdel
Highland Regional Holmdel   Holmdel
Hightstown Holmdel   Holmdel
Hillsborough Holmdel insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Holmdel
Holy Cross Prep Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Holy Spirit Holmdel tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Holmdel
Hopewell Valley Hopewell Valley insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 3- 0) Hopewell Valley
Howell Holmdel Holmdel  
Hun School Hun School   Hun School
Hunterdon Central Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Immaculata Immaculata tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Immaculata
Indian Hills Holmdel   Holmdel
Jackson Liberty Holmdel   Holmdel
Jackson Memorial Holmdel Holmdel  
James Caldwell James Caldwell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) James Caldwell
Jefferson Township Jefferson Township insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Jefferson Township
John P Stevens Holmdel   Holmdel
Jonathan Dayton Holmdel   Holmdel
Kingsway Regional Kingsway Regional Kingsway Regional   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Kinnelon Kinnelon tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Kinnelon
Kittatinny Regional Holmdel   Holmdel
Lacey Township Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Lakeland Regional Holmdel   Holmdel
Lawrenceville School Lawrenceville School   Lawrenceville School
Lenape Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Lenape Valley Holmdel   Holmdel
Livingston Livingston   Livingston
Long Branch Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Lower Cape May Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Lyndhurst/North Arli Holmdel   Holmdel
Madison Madison   Madison
Mahwah Holmdel   Holmdel
Mainland Regional Mainland Regional insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Mainland Regional
Manalapan Holmdel Holmdel  
Manasquan Manasquan Manasquan  
Marlboro Holmdel insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Holmdel
Middle Township Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Middletown North Holmdel Holmdel   5- 3 vs 2- 6
Middletown South Holmdel Holmdel  
Millburn Holmdel   Holmdel
Millville Holmdel   Holmdel
Monroe Township Holmdel Holmdel   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Montclair Montclair   Montclair
Montclair Kimberley Montclair Kimberley   Montclair Kimberley
Montgomery Holmdel   Holmdel
Montville Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Moorestown Moorestown Moorestown   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Moorestown Friends Holmdel   Holmdel
Morris Catholic Holmdel   Holmdel
Morris Hills Holmdel   Holmdel
Morris Knolls Morris Knolls tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Morris Knolls
Morristown Holmdel insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Holmdel
Morristown Beard Holmdel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holmdel
Mount Olive Holmdel   Holmdel
Mountain Lakes Mountain Lakes   Mountain Lakes
Neptune Holmdel   Holmdel
New Egypt Holmdel   Holmdel
New Providence New Providence   New Providence
Newark Academy Holmdel   Holmdel
Newton Holmdel   Holmdel
North Brunswick Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
North Hunterdon Holmdel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holmdel
North Warren Holmdel   Holmdel
Northern Burlington Holmdel Holmdel  
Northern Highlands Northern Highlands   Northern Highlands
Notre Dame Lawrence Notre Dame Lawrence tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Notre Dame Lawrence
Nutley Holmdel   Holmdel
Oakcrest Holmdel   Holmdel
Ocean City Ocean City tied - ( 0- 3) ( 0- 2) Ocean City
Ocean Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Old Bridge Holmdel Holmdel   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Old Tappan Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Oratory Prep Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Paramus Holmdel   Holmdel
Paramus Catholic Holmdel   Holmdel
Park Ridge Holmdel   Holmdel
Parsippany Hills/Par Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Pascack Hills Holmdel   Holmdel
Pascack Valley Pascack Valley   Pascack Valley
Passaic County Tech Holmdel   Holmdel
Passaic Valley Holmdel   Holmdel
Paul VI Haddonfield Holmdel   Holmdel
Peddie School Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Pennington School Holmdel   Holmdel
Pequannock Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Phillipsburg Holmdel   Holmdel
Pingry Pingry insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Pingry
Point Pleasant Boro Holmdel Holmdel   5- 1 vs 1- 5
Pompton Lakes Holmdel   Holmdel
Pope John XXIII Pope John XXIII insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Pope John XXIII
Princeton Day School Holmdel tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Holmdel
Princeton HS Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Ramapo Ramapo   Ramapo
Ramsey Ramsey tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Ramsey
Rancocas Valley Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Holmdel
Randolph Randolph tied - ( 1- 2) ( 1- 2) Randolph
Red Bank Catholic Holmdel Holmdel  
Red Bank Regional Red Bank Regional Red Bank Regional  
Ridge Ridge tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Ridge
Ridgewood Ridgewood   Ridgewood
River Dell Holmdel   Holmdel
Robbinsville Holmdel tied - ( 2- 1) ( 2- 1) Holmdel
Roxbury Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven Rumson-Fair Haven  
Rutgers Prep Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Holmdel
Rutherford Holmdel   Holmdel
Saddle Brook Holmdel   Holmdel
Saddle River Day Holmdel   Holmdel
Sayreville Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Scotch Plains Fanwoo Scotch Plains Fanwoo Scotch Plains Fanwoo   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Seneca Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Holmdel
Seton Hall Prep Seton Hall Prep insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Seton Hall Prep
Shawnee Shawnee insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Shawnee
Shore Regional Shore Regional Shore Regional  
Somerville Holmdel Holmdel  
South Brunswick Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Southern Regional Southern Regional Southern Regional  
Sparta Sparta insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Sparta
St Augustine Prep St Augustine Prep St Augustine Prep   2- 0 vs 0- 2
St John Vianney Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
St Joseph Hammonton Holmdel   Holmdel
St Joseph Metuchen St Joseph Metuchen St Joseph Metuchen   4- 1 vs 2- 3
St Joseph Montvale St Joseph Montvale   St Joseph Montvale
St Peters Prep St Peters Prep   St Peters Prep
St Rose Belmar Holmdel   Holmdel
Sterling Holmdel   Holmdel
Summit Summit Summit   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Tenafly Holmdel   Holmdel
Timber Creek Holmdel   Holmdel
Toms River East Toms River East Toms River East  
Toms River North Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Toms River South Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
Triton Regional Holmdel   Holmdel
Union Catholic Holmdel   Holmdel
Vernon Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Verona Holmdel   Holmdel
Vineland Holmdel   Holmdel
Voorhees Voorhees   Voorhees
Waldwick Holmdel   Holmdel
Wall Township Wall Township Wall Township  
Warren Hills Warren Hills   Warren Hills
Washington Township Washington Township tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Washington Township
Watchung Hills Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Wayne Hills Holmdel   Holmdel
Wayne Valley Holmdel   Holmdel
Weehawken Holmdel   Holmdel
West Deptford/Gatewa Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
West Essex Regional West Essex Regional   West Essex Regional
West Milford Holmdel   Holmdel
West Morris Central West Morris Central West Morris Central  
West Morris Mendham Holmdel tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Holmdel
West Orange Holmdel   Holmdel
West Windsor-Plainsb Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
West Windsor-Plainsb Holmdel insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Holmdel
Westfield Westfield Westfield   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Westwood Holmdel   Holmdel
Wilberforce Holmdel   Holmdel
Williamstown Holmdel   Holmdel
Winslow Township Holmdel   Holmdel
Woodstown Holmdel   Holmdel

PowerWise = 157


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.58

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Red Bank Catho  ( 4-15, 79.3)    13- 2      -20.61      16.75      -0.81         0.98            15.58
   0 H Middletown Sou  ( 9-10, 85.2)    17- 7      -14.71      22.66      -0.81         0.98            21.34
   0 A Christian Brot  ( 9- 7, 92.6)     2-12       -7.30      30.06       0.81         0.98            -6.34
   0 A Rumson-Fair Ha  (14- 7, 93.5)     3-13       -6.40      30.96       0.81         0.98            -5.46
   0 A Red Bank Regio  ( 9- 9, 88.5)     5- 6      -11.44      25.92       0.81         0.98           -10.39
   0 H Manasquan       (19- 3, 94.3)     3-13       -5.59      31.77      -0.81         0.98            -6.25
   0 A Jackson Memori  ( 1-16, 75.7)    16- 3      -24.19      13.17       0.81         0.98            13.65
   0 A Shore Regional  (12- 6, 90.9)     7- 8       -8.98      28.39       0.81         0.98            -7.98
   0 A Southern Regio  (15- 6, 91.9)     2-12       -8.05      29.32       0.81         0.98            -7.07
   0 A Manalapan       (11-11, 84.5)    12-11      -15.37      22.00       0.81         0.98            22.27
   0 H Wall Township   (11-12, 89.8)    10-12      -10.06      27.30      -0.81         0.98           -10.61
   0 H East Brunswick  ( 9-10, 83.5)     7- 4      -16.39      20.97      -0.81         0.98            19.70
   0 H Northern Burli  (13- 7, 85.4)    12- 3      -14.53      22.83      -0.81         0.98            21.52
   0 H Howell          (14- 5, 86.7)    10- 8      -13.16      24.21      -0.81         0.98            22.86
   0 A Rumson-Fair Ha  (14- 7, 93.5)     6-15       -6.40      30.96       0.81         0.98            -5.46
   0 H Toms River Eas  (15- 5, 89.1)     6- 8      -10.78      26.58      -0.81         0.98           -11.32
   0 A Somerville      ( 6-10, 88.7)     8- 1      -11.21      26.16       0.81         0.98            26.34
   0 A West Morris Ce  (10-10, 90.2)     7-10       -9.66      27.70       0.81         0.98            -8.65
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                        83.71

winning pts = 163.2458 losing points = -79.5375

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------