Ammon
W-L: (13- 3) PR = 91.1931Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 315 A Magic Valley ( 0-10, 84.7) 15- 3 315 A Pocatello ( 5- 7, 86.6) 16- 5 405 H Sun Valley ( 9- 5, 87.8) 16- 4 405 A Magic Valley ( 0-10, 84.7) 19- 4 409 H Teton Valley ( 4-12, 85.5) 15- 4 412 A Lake City (11- 7, 88.8) 14- 2 412 A Sandpoint ( 8-10, 86.3) 19- 0 415 A Idaho Falls ( 5- 7, 86.6) 16- 2 419 A Jackson Hole (11- 4, 92.1) 2-11 423 H Pocatello ( 5- 7, 86.6) 16- 5 503 H Jackson Hole (11- 4, 92.1) 4-14 503 H Sun Valley ( 9- 5, 87.8) 14- 4 507 H Idaho Falls ( 5- 7, 86.6) 1- 0 516 H Gonzaga Prep (13- 8, 89.7) 22- 1 516 H Spokane Valley (12- 8, 90.3) 7-10 517 A Mead (13- 6, 91.6) 12-11
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
315 A Magic Valley 15- 3 12 6 0.00
315 A Pocatello 16- 5 11 4 0.56
405 H Sun Valley 16- 4 12 4 1.48
405 A Magic Valley 19- 4 15 6 0.00
409 H Teton Valley 15- 4 11 6 0.00
412 A Lake City 14- 2 12 2 + 2.72
412 A Sandpoint 19- 0 19 5 0.27
415 A Idaho Falls 16- 2 14 5 0.49
419 A Jackson Hole 2-11 -9 -1 - -4.00
423 H Pocatello 16- 5 11 5 0.31
503 H Jackson Hole 4-14 -10 -1 -- -4.25
503 H Sun Valley 14- 4 10 4 1.48
516 H Gonzaga Prep 22- 1 21 2 + 3.43
516 H Spokane Valley 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.00
517 A Mead 12-11 1 -1 1.51
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 503 H Jackson Hole 4-14 -10 -1 -- -4.25 516 H Spokane Valley 7-10 -3 1 -- -4.00 419 A Jackson Hole 2-11 -9 -1 - -4.00 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 412 A Lake City 14- 2 12 2 + 2.72 516 H Gonzaga Prep 22- 1 21 2 + 3.43 |
Ammon Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bishop Kelly | Bishop Kelly | Bishop Kelly | ||
| Boise | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Borah/Capital | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Centennial | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Chesterton of Notre | Ammon | Ammon 3- 1 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Coeur d'Alene | Ammon | Ammon 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Eagle | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Emmett | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Idaho Falls | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Immaculate Conceptio | Ammon | Ammon 4- 1 vs 0- 5 | ||
| Jackson Hole | Jackson Hole | Jackson Hole | ||
| Kuna | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Lake City | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Logos | Ammon | Ammon 2- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Magic Valley | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Meridian | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Middleton | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Mountain View | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Owyhee | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Pocatello | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Rocky Mountain | Rocky Mountain | Rocky Mountain | ||
| Sandpoint | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Spokane | Ammon | Ammon 4- 1 vs 1- 4 | ||
| Spokane Valley | Spokane Valley | Spokane Valley | ||
| Sun Valley | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Teton Valley | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Timberline | Timberline | Timberline | ||
| Vallivue | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Gonzaga Prep | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Lewis & Clark | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Mead | Ammon | Ammon | ||
| Mount Spokane | Mount Spokane | Mount Spokane 7- 0 vs 5- 2 |
PowerWise = 26
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Magic Valley ( 0-10, 84.7) 15- 3 -15.22 6.44 0.13 0.84 5.53
0 A Pocatello ( 5- 7, 86.6) 16- 5 -13.27 8.39 0.13 0.84 7.16
0 H Sun Valley ( 9- 5, 87.8) 16- 4 -12.10 9.56 -0.13 0.84 7.93
0 A Magic Valley ( 0-10, 84.7) 19- 4 -15.22 6.44 0.13 0.84 5.53
0 H Teton Valley ( 4-12, 85.5) 15- 4 -14.40 7.27 -0.13 0.84 6.00
0 A Lake City (11- 7, 88.8) 14- 2 -11.11 10.55 0.13 0.84 8.98
0 A Sandpoint ( 8-10, 86.3) 19- 0 -13.56 8.10 0.13 0.84 6.92
0 A Idaho Falls ( 5- 7, 86.6) 16- 2 -13.34 8.32 0.13 0.84 7.10
0 A Jackson Hole (11- 4, 92.1) 2-11 -7.83 13.83 0.13 0.84 -6.48
0 H Pocatello ( 5- 7, 86.6) 16- 5 -13.27 8.39 -0.13 0.84 6.95
0 H Jackson Hole (11- 4, 92.1) 4-14 -7.83 13.83 -0.13 0.84 -6.69
0 H Sun Valley ( 9- 5, 87.8) 14- 4 -12.10 9.56 -0.13 0.84 7.93
0 H Idaho Falls ( 5- 7, 86.6) 1- 0 -13.34 8.32 -0.13 0.84 6.89
0 H Gonzaga Prep (13- 8, 89.7) 22- 1 -10.15 11.51 -0.13 0.84 9.57
0 H Spokane Valley (12- 8, 90.3) 7-10 -9.58 12.08 -0.13 0.84 -8.16
0 A Mead (13- 6, 91.6) 12-11 -8.33 13.34 0.13 0.84 11.32
------
76.50
|
winning pts = 97.8283 losing points = -21.3329
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------