---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:07 PDT

safe3step boys Hickory 1
  
Hickory               
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 86.7686

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 17- 6 304 H Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 20- 5 307 A Community School-Dav (16- 9, 90.4) 4-18 311 H North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 11-12 313 H St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 15- 8 318 A Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 18- 0 320 H South Iredell ( 0-18, 70.8) 20- 0 325 A TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 8-14 327 H Asheville HS ( 5- 8, 82.0) 8- 5 403 H Lincoln Charter (10-11, 83.8) 14-12 408 A Watauga ( 6-15, 78.9) 22- 7 410 A North Lincoln (15- 7, 87.5) 11-18 415 A West Forsyth (12-10, 84.0) 15-11 429 A St Stephens (12- 8, 84.5) 16- 7 501 H Patton Morganton ( 2-13, 76.0) 22- 1 506 H TC Roberson (13- 2, 88.5) 7- 4 516 H West Stokes ( 8- 9, 78.0) 18- 3 520 A Lake Norman Charter (17- 7, 93.5) 7-18

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Asheville HS           17- 6      11     5           0.46
   304 H Watauga                20- 5      15     8           0.00
   307 A Community School-Dav    4-18     -14    -4          -1.07
   311 H North Lincoln          11-12      -1     0          -0.52
   313 H St Stephens            15- 8       7     3    +      2.49
   318 A Patton  Morganton      18- 0      18    10           0.00
   320 H South Iredell          20- 0      20    16           0.00
   325 A TC Roberson             8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.04
   327 H Asheville HS            8- 5       3     5    -     -2.00
   403 H Lincoln Charter        14-12       2     3          -1.25
   408 A Watauga                22- 7      15     8           0.00
   410 A North Lincoln          11-18      -7    -1    -     -3.97
   415 A West Forsyth           15-11       4     2           1.55
   429 A St Stephens            16- 7       9     2    +      3.03
   501 H Patton  Morganton      22- 1      21    11           0.00
   506 H TC Roberson             7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.42
   516 H West Stokes            18- 3      15     9           0.00
   520 A Lake Norman Charter     7-18     -11    -7           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A TC Roberson             8-14      -6    -2    -     -3.04
   327 H Asheville HS            8- 5       3     5    -     -2.00
   410 A North Lincoln          11-18      -7    -1    -     -3.97

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H TC Roberson             7- 4       3    -1    ++     4.42
   313 H St Stephens            15- 8       7     3    +      2.49
   429 A St Stephens            16- 7       9     2    +      3.03

Hickory Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Apex Apex   Apex
Apex Friendship Apex Friendship   Apex Friendship
Ardrey Kell Ardrey Kell insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Ardrey Kell
Arendell Parrott Aca Hickory   Hickory
Asheville HS Hickory Hickory  
Asheville School Hickory Hickory   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Ashley Ashley   Ashley
Athens Drive Athens Drive   Athens Drive
Atkins Hickory tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hickory
Ballantyne Ridge Hickory tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hickory
Bishop McGuinness Hickory insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Hickory
Bradford Prep Hickory insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Hickory
Broughton Broughton   Broughton
Butler Hickory tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hickory
Cannon School Cannon School tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 1) Cannon School
Cape Fear Academy Hickory   Hickory
Cape Fear HS Hickory   Hickory
Cardinal Gibbons Cardinal Gibbons   Cardinal Gibbons
Carrboro Hickory   Hickory
Cary Academy Cary Academy   Cary Academy
Cary Christian Hickory   Hickory
Cary HS Hickory tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hickory
Cedar Ridge Hickory   Hickory
Chapel Hill Chapel Hill   Chapel Hill
Charlotte Catholic Charlotte Catholic tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) Charlotte Catholic
Charlotte CDS Charlotte CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Charlotte CDS
Charlotte Christian Charlotte Christian insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Charlotte Christian
Charlotte Latin Charlotte Latin   Charlotte Latin
Christ School Christ School   Christ School
Christ The King Christ The King Christ The King   5- 0 vs 2- 3
Clayton Clayton   Clayton
Cleveland Hickory   Hickory
Community School-Dav Community School-Dav Community School-Dav  
Corinth Holders Hickory   Hickory
Cornerstone Charter Hickory tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hickory
Croatan Croatan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) Croatan
Cuthbertson Cuthbertson tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Cuthbertson
Davie Davie tied - ( 2- 0) ( 2- 0) Davie
DH Conley Hickory   Hickory
Durham Academy Durham Academy   Durham Academy
East Chapel Hill East Chapel Hill   East Chapel Hill
East Forsyth Hickory Hickory   3- 1 vs 1- 2
Eastern Alamance Hickory   Hickory
Eastern Guilford Hickory insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hickory
Enloe Hickory   Hickory
Fike Hickory   Hickory
First Flight First Flight   First Flight
Forsyth Country Day Forsyth Country Day   Forsyth Country Day
Fuquay-Varina Hickory   Hickory
Garner Hickory   Hickory
Glenn Hickory Hickory   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Grays Creek Hickory   Hickory
Green Hope Green Hope   Green Hope
Green Level Green Level   Green Level
Greensboro Day Greensboro Day   Greensboro Day
Grimsley Hickory insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hickory
Havelock Hickory   Hickory
Heritage Heritage   Heritage
High Point Central Hickory insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hickory
Hillsborough Orange Hillsborough Orange   Hillsborough Orange
Hoggard Hoggard   Hoggard
Holly Springs Holly Springs   Holly Springs
Hough Hough Hough   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Hunt Hickory   Hickory
Independence Hickory   Hickory
Jack Britt Hickory   Hickory
Jacksonville Hickory   Hickory
JF Webb Hickory   Hickory
JH Rose Hickory   Hickory
John Paul II Catholi Hickory   Hickory
Jordan Jordan   Jordan
Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter Lake Norman Charter  
Lake Norman HS Lake Norman HS insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Lake Norman HS
Laney Laney   Laney
Leesville Road Leesville Road   Leesville Road
Lincoln Charter Hickory Hickory  
Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge Marvin Ridge   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Middle Creek Middle Creek   Middle Creek
Millbrook Millbrook   Millbrook
Mooresville Hickory insuffient: ( 2- 3)( 1- 4) Hickory
Mount Tabor Hickory insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Hickory
Mountain Island Char Hickory Hickory   2- 2 vs 0- 4
Myers Park Myers Park tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Myers Park
New Bern Hickory   Hickory
New Hanover Hickory   Hickory
North Brunswick Hickory   Hickory
North Davidson Hickory insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Hickory
North Lincoln North Lincoln North Lincoln  
North Raleigh Christ Hickory   Hickory
Northern Durham Hickory   Hickory
Northern Guilford Northern Guilford   Northern Guilford
Northside Hickory   Hickory
Northwest Guilford Northwest Guilford insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Northwest Guilford
Northwood Hickory   Hickory
Page Page insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 0) Page
Panther Creek Hickory   Hickory
Parkwood Hickory tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hickory
Patton Morganton Hickory Hickory  
Pine Forest Hickory   Hickory
Pine Lake Prep Hickory tied - ( 2- 2) ( 2- 2) Hickory
Pinecrest Hickory   Hickory
Porter Ridge Hickory   Hickory
Providence Hickory tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Hickory
Providence Day Providence Day   Providence Day
Queens Grant Hickory   Hickory
Rabun Gap-Nocoochee Rabun Gap-Nocoochee   Rabun Gap-Nocoochee
Ragsdale Hickory   Hickory
Ravenscroft School Ravenscroft School   Ravenscroft School
Reagan Reagan insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 2) Reagan
Riverside Durham Hickory tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Hickory
RJ Reynolds RJ Reynolds tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) RJ Reynolds
Rolesville Hickory   Hickory
Roxboro Community Hickory   Hickory
Sanderson Hickory   Hickory
Seaforth Seaforth   Seaforth
South Brunswick Hickory   Hickory
South Garner Hickory   Hickory
South Iredell Hickory Hickory  
South Mecklenburg Hickory Hickory   2- 2 vs 0- 3
South View Hickory   Hickory
Southeast Alamance Hickory   Hickory
Southeast Guilford Hickory   Hickory
Southern Alamance Hickory   Hickory
Southlake Christian Southlake Christian Southlake Christian   5- 1 vs 3- 3
Southwest Guilford Hickory insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hickory
St Davids School Hickory   Hickory
St Stephens Hickory Hickory  
Sun Valley Hickory Hickory   3- 0 vs 1- 2
Swansboro Hickory   Hickory
TC Roberson TC Roberson insuffient: ( 4- 1)( 5- 0) TC Roberson
Terry Sanford Hickory   Hickory
Topsail Topsail   Topsail
Union Pines Hickory   Hickory
Vance Charter Hickory   Hickory
Voyager Academy Hickory insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hickory
Wake Forest Hickory   Hickory
Wake Prep Hickory   Hickory
Wakefield Hickory   Hickory
Walter M Williams Hickory insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hickory
Watauga Hickory Hickory  
Weddington Weddington   Weddington
West Brunswick Hickory   Hickory
West Carteret Hickory   Hickory
West Forsyth Hickory Hickory  
West Stokes Hickory Hickory  
Western Alamance Hickory   Hickory
Western Guilford Hickory Hickory   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Willow Spring Willow Spring   Willow Spring

PowerWise = 91


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)    17- 6      -17.94      15.87       0.27         1.00            16.08
   0 H Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)    20- 5      -21.04      12.77      -0.27         1.00            12.45
   0 A Community Scho  (16- 9, 90.4)     4-18       -9.47      24.34       0.27         1.00            -9.17
   0 H North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)    11-12      -12.38      21.43      -0.27         1.00           -12.60
   0 H St Stephens     (12- 8, 84.5)    15- 8      -15.37      18.44      -0.27         1.00            18.10
   0 A Patton  Morgan  ( 2-13, 76.0)    18- 0      -23.90       9.91       0.27         1.00            10.15
   0 H South Iredell   ( 0-18, 70.8)    20- 0      -29.06       4.75      -0.27         1.00             4.46
   0 A TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     8-14      -11.44      22.37       0.27         1.00           -11.13
   0 H Asheville HS    ( 5- 8, 82.0)     8- 5      -17.94      15.87      -0.27         1.00            15.54
   0 H Lincoln Charte  (10-11, 83.8)    14-12      -16.11      17.70      -0.27         1.00            17.36
   0 A Watauga         ( 6-15, 78.9)    22- 7      -21.04      12.77       0.27         1.00            13.00
   0 A North Lincoln   (15- 7, 87.5)    11-18      -12.38      21.43       0.27         1.00           -12.06
   0 A West Forsyth    (12-10, 84.0)    15-11      -15.86      17.95       0.27         1.00            18.16
   0 A St Stephens     (12- 8, 84.5)    16- 7      -15.37      18.44       0.27         1.00            18.64
   0 H Patton  Morgan  ( 2-13, 76.0)    22- 1      -23.90       9.91      -0.27         1.00             9.61
   0 H TC Roberson     (13- 2, 88.5)     7- 4      -11.44      22.37      -0.27         1.00            22.01
   0 H West Stokes     ( 8- 9, 78.0)    18- 3      -21.85      11.95      -0.27         1.00            11.64
   0 A Lake Norman Ch  (17- 7, 93.5)     7-18       -6.37      27.44       0.27         1.00            -6.08
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       136.15

winning pts = 187.1860 losing points = -51.0331

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------