All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 88.3899994 home-field advantage = -0.85 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 403 A Needham (12- 8, 83.0) 7- 6 408 H North Quincy Co-op ( 4-14, 68.4) 19- 2 410 A Scituate (19- 5, 86.2) 17-10 412 H Simsbury ( 8-11, 77.6) 19- 7 414 H Plymouth North (11- 9, 75.9) 19- 4 416 A Silver Lake (12- 7, 79.4) 15- 4 419 H Bedford (14- 6, 83.3) 19- 9 422 A Medfield (18- 4, 89.2) 2-15 424 A Wellesley (11-10, 79.8) 17- 5 426 H Winchester (13- 8, 85.9) 13- 9 429 A Duxbury (16- 6, 87.8) 8- 5 501 H Marshfield (13- 6, 85.8) 6- 5 503 H Pinkerton Academy (16- 5, 82.6) 16- 8 507 H Hanover ( 8-12, 76.9) 18- 5 510 A Glastonbury (17- 3, 87.1) 13-14 513 A Plymouth South (13- 7, 80.2) 14- 4 515 H Whitman-Hanson ( 0-19, 69.1) 16- 0 517 A Lincoln-Sudbury Region (15- 5, 89.8) 10- 7 521 A Pembroke ( 8-11, 75.6) 16- 6 523 A St Johns Prep Danvers (22- 1, 90.9) 4-16 601 H Plymouth North (11- 9, 75.9) 17- 7 604 H Minnechaug Regional (16- 3, 80.2) 12- 3 606 H Mansfield (20- 2, 88.8) 11-12
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 403 A Needham 7- 6 1 4 - -3.57 408 H North Quincy Co-op 19- 2 17 20 0.00 410 A Scituate 17-10 7 1 ++ 5.65 412 H Simsbury 19- 7 12 11 n/a 414 H Plymouth North 19- 4 15 13 0.00 416 A Silver Lake 15- 4 11 8 0.00 419 H Bedford 19- 9 10 5 n/a 422 A Medfield 2-15 -13 -1 -- -5.31 424 A Wellesley 17- 5 12 7 0.00 426 H Winchester 13- 9 4 3 0.69 429 A Duxbury 8- 5 3 0 + 3.30 501 H Marshfield 6- 5 1 3 - -2.44 503 H Pinkerton Academy 16- 8 8 6 n/a 507 H Hanover 18- 5 13 12 0.00 510 A Glastonbury 13-14 -1 0 n/a 513 A Plymouth South 14- 4 10 7 0.00 515 H Whitman-Hanson 16- 0 16 20 0.00 517 A Lincoln-Sudbury Region 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.29 521 A Pembroke 16- 6 10 11 0.00 523 A St Johns Prep Danvers 4-16 -12 -3 - -3.61 601 H Plymouth North 17- 7 10 13 0.00 604 H Minnechaug Regional 12- 3 9 9 0.00 606 H Mansfield 11-12 -1 0 -1.39UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 422 A Medfield 2-15 -13 -1 -- -5.31 403 A Needham 7- 6 1 4 - -3.57 501 H Marshfield 6- 5 1 3 - -2.44 523 A St Johns Prep Danvers 4-16 -12 -3 - -3.61OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Scituate 17-10 7 1 ++ 5.65 517 A Lincoln-Sudbury Region 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.29 429 A Duxbury 8- 5 3 0 + 3.30
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 88.39 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 61.03 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 15 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6377 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 73 RPI Rating............... .6754 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 9.0 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 83 Selection Rank ............ 19 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 105. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 5 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 95. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 6 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.1 Wins/Losses(all )...... 19- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 6.3 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -7.3 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... -5.8 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 5- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... -1.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.0