---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 17:11 PDT

safe3step boys Hillcrest 1
  
Hillcrest             
W-L: ( 2- 9) PR = 74.7839

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 208 A Cumberland Academy ( 4- 6, 78.2) 5- 7 326 A John Paul II ( 9- 5, 78.1) 6-11 328 H St Marys Hall (12- 3, 78.9) 1-10 330 H Guyer (10- 3, 78.4) 7-11 402 H Bishop Lynch ( 2-11, 73.1) 20-12 405 A Guyer (10- 3, 78.4) 1-16 408 H John Paul II ( 9- 5, 78.1) 9-11 412 H All Saints Episcopal ( 5- 4, 77.6) 0- 9 417 A Bishop Lynch ( 2-11, 73.1) 10- 3 423 A All Saints Episcopal ( 5- 4, 77.6) 9-15 425 A Parish Episcopal ( 3-14, 75.4) 11-13

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   208 A Cumberland Academy      5- 7      -2    -4           1.95
   326 A John Paul II            6-11      -5    -4          -1.20
   328 H St Marys Hall           1-10      -9    -4          -1.40
   330 H Guyer                   7-11      -4    -3          -0.87
   402 H Bishop Lynch           20-12       8     2    +      2.85
   405 A Guyer                   1-16     -15    -4          -0.85
   408 H John Paul II            9-11      -2    -3           0.79
   412 H All Saints Episcopal    0- 9      -9    -2    -     -2.67
   417 A Bishop Lynch           10- 3       7     1    +      3.86
   423 A All Saints Episcopal    9-15      -6    -3          -1.66
   425 A Parish Episcopal       11-13      -2    -1          -0.89

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H All Saints Episcopal    0- 9      -9    -2    -     -2.67

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   402 H Bishop Lynch           20-12       8     2    +      2.85
   417 A Bishop Lynch           10- 3       7     1    +      3.86

Hillcrest Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Alamo Heights Alamo Heights   Alamo Heights
All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal All Saints Episcopal  
Allen Allen   Allen
Anderson Anderson   Anderson
Antonian College Pre Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Atascocita Atascocita   Atascocita
Austin Austin   Austin
Awty International Hillcrest   Hillcrest
Bellaire Bellaire   Bellaire
Bishop Lynch Hillcrest Hillcrest  
Boerne Boerne tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Boerne
Bowie Bowie insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Bowie
Bridge LC Bridge LC insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) Bridge LC
Canyon Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Central Catholic Central Catholic tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Central Catholic
Clear Springs Hillcrest   Hillcrest
Concordia Lutheran Concordia Lutheran tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Concordia Lutheran
Coppell Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Coronado El Paso Hillcrest   Hillcrest
Cumberland Academy Cumberland Academy Cumberland Academy  
Cypress Woods Cypress Woods   Cypress Woods
Dallas Jesuit Dallas Jesuit   Dallas Jesuit
Dallas Jesuit B Dallas Jesuit B insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Dallas Jesuit B
Dripping Springs Dripping Springs   Dripping Springs
Emery-Weiner Hillcrest insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Episcopal Houston Episcopal Houston   Episcopal Houston
Episcopal Dallas Episcopal Dallas   Episcopal Dallas
Flower Mound Flower Mound insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Flower Mound
Fort Worth CDS Fort Worth CDS insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Fort Worth CDS
Friendswood Friendswood   Friendswood
Frisco Frisco insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Frisco
Gateway Gateway   Gateway
George Ranch George Ranch   George Ranch
Georgetown Georgetown   Georgetown
Grapevine Grapevine Grapevine   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Greenhill Greenhill insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) Greenhill
Guyer Guyer Guyer  
Hebron Hebron Hebron   5- 0 vs 1- 4
Highland Park Highland Park   Highland Park
Highland Park B Highland Park B insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Highland Park B
Houston Christian Houston Christian   Houston Christian
Hyde Park Hyde Park insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Hyde Park
John Paul II John Paul II John Paul II  
Katy Katy   Katy
Keller Keller insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Keller
Kingwood Kingwood   Kingwood
Kinkaid Kinkaid   Kinkaid
Klein Klein   Klein
Lake Travis Lake Travis   Lake Travis
Lamar Lamar   Lamar
Liberty Hill Liberty Hill tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Liberty Hill
Lovejoy Lovejoy insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Lovejoy
Magnolia Magnolia   Magnolia
McKinney McKinney insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) McKinney
Memorial Memorial   Memorial
New Braunfels Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Parish Episcopal Parish Episcopal Parish Episcopal  
Pearland Pearland   Pearland
Plano Plano insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Plano
Plano East Plano East Plano East   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Plano West Plano West Plano West   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Prosper Prosper insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Prosper
Reagan Reagan tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Reagan
Regents School Aust Regents School Aust   Regents School Aust
Ridge Point Ridge Point   Ridge Point
Rockwall Rockwall insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) Rockwall
Rouse Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hillcrest
Santa Fe LC Santa Fe LC   Santa Fe LC
Smithson Valley Smithson Valley   Smithson Valley
Southlake Southlake   Southlake
St Andrews St Andrews   St Andrews
St Johns St Johns   St Johns
St Marks St Marks   St Marks
St Marys Hall St Marys Hall St Marys Hall  
St Michaels Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) Hillcrest
St Pius X Hillcrest insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 3) Hillcrest
St Stephens St Stephens   St Stephens
St Thomas St Thomas   St Thomas
Stony Point Hillcrest tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Hillcrest
Strake Jesuit Strake Jesuit   Strake Jesuit
Stratford Stratford   Stratford
Tascosa Tascosa   Tascosa
TMI Episcopal TMI Episcopal   TMI Episcopal
Trinity Valley Trinity Valley tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) Trinity Valley
Vandegrift Vandegrift   Vandegrift
Vista Ridge Vista Ridge   Vista Ridge
Westlake Westlake   Westlake
Westlake B Westlake B   Westlake B
Westside Westside   Westside
Westwood Westwood   Westwood
Woodlands Woodlands   Woodlands
Woodlands B Woodlands B   Woodlands B

PowerWise = 13


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.29

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Cumberland Aca  ( 4- 6, 78.2)     5- 7      -21.68      16.01       0.51         1.21           -25.58
   0 A John Paul II    ( 9- 5, 78.1)     6-11      -21.82      15.86       0.51         1.21           -25.75
   0 H St Marys Hall   (12- 3, 78.9)     1-10      -21.01      16.68      -0.51         1.21           -26.00
   0 H Guyer           (10- 3, 78.4)     7-11      -21.48      16.21      -0.51         1.21           -26.56
   0 H Bishop Lynch    ( 2-11, 73.1)    20-12      -26.76      10.93      -0.51         1.21            12.59
   0 A Guyer           (10- 3, 78.4)     1-16      -21.48      16.21       0.51         1.21           -25.34
   0 H John Paul II    ( 9- 5, 78.1)     9-11      -21.82      15.86      -0.51         1.21           -26.98
   0 H All Saints Epi  ( 5- 4, 77.6)     0- 9      -22.28      15.41      -0.51         1.21           -27.53
   0 A Bishop Lynch    ( 2-11, 73.1)    10- 3      -26.76      10.93       0.51         1.21            13.82
   0 A All Saints Epi  ( 5- 4, 77.6)     9-15      -22.28      15.41       0.51         1.21           -26.31
   0 A Parish Episcop  ( 3-14, 75.4)    11-13      -24.51      13.18       0.51         1.21           -29.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                      -212.64

winning pts = 26.4105 losing points = -239.0467

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------