Hillsborough Orange
W-L: (21- 5) PR = 88.0108Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 75.0) 18- 1 226 H Northern Guilford ( 9- 8, 88.8) 11- 3 228 H Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 12- 1 304 H Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 15- 3 307 A Southern Alamance (19- 5, 84.6) 12- 6 311 A Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 13- 4 313 H Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 6-11 315 H Apex Friendship (16- 7, 94.4) 7-16 319 H Millbrook (16- 5, 88.5) 12-15 321 H Southeast Alamance ( 7-17, 75.0) 19- 0 324 A Walter M Williams (11-11, 82.0) 11- 6 325 A Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 18- 3 408 H Southern Alamance (19- 5, 84.6) 12- 4 409 A Western Alamance ( 2-17, 74.0) 16- 4 415 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 10- 8 417 A Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 9- 5 421 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 9- 6 425 H Eastern Alamance ( 5-15, 77.3) 18- 4 429 A Western Alamance ( 2-17, 74.0) 18- 4 502 H Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 14- 5 505 H Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 14- 3 507 H East Chapel Hill (13- 8, 88.8) 10-11 508 H Riverside Durham ( 9- 8, 80.1) 8- 5 516 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 11- 7 520 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 10- 8 523 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 5-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Southeast Alamance 18- 1 17 13 0.00
226 H Northern Guilford 11- 3 8 -1 ++ 5.52
228 H Pinecrest 12- 1 11 2 + 3.21
304 H Walter M Williams 15- 3 12 6 0.00
307 A Southern Alamance 12- 6 6 3 1.90
311 A Cedar Ridge 13- 4 9 6 0.00
313 H Seaforth 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.27
315 H Apex Friendship 7-16 -9 -6 0.00
319 H Millbrook 12-15 -3 0 - -2.81
321 H Southeast Alamance 19- 0 19 13 0.00
324 A Walter M Williams 11- 6 5 6 0.00
325 A Eastern Alamance 18- 3 15 10 0.00
408 H Southern Alamance 12- 4 8 4 1.36
409 A Western Alamance 16- 4 12 14 0.00
415 A Seaforth 10- 8 2 0 + 2.28
417 A Northwood 9- 5 4 6 -1.00
421 A Carrboro 9- 6 3 2 0.89
425 H Eastern Alamance 18- 4 14 11 0.00
429 A Western Alamance 18- 4 14 14 0.00
502 H Northwood 14- 5 9 7 0.00
505 H Cedar Ridge 14- 3 11 7 0.00
507 H East Chapel Hill 10-11 -1 -1 -0.48
508 H Riverside Durham 8- 5 3 8 - -2.00
516 H Carrboro 11- 7 4 3 1.35
520 A Seaforth 10- 8 2 0 + 2.28
523 A First Flight 5-12 -7 -3 - -2.34
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 313 H Seaforth 6-11 -5 0 -- -5.27 319 H Millbrook 12-15 -3 0 - -2.81 508 H Riverside Durham 8- 5 3 8 - -2.00 523 A First Flight 5-12 -7 -3 - -2.34 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 226 H Northern Guilford 11- 3 8 -1 ++ 5.52 228 H Pinecrest 12- 1 11 2 + 3.21 415 A Seaforth 10- 8 2 0 + 2.28 520 A Seaforth 10- 8 2 0 + 2.28 |
Hillsborough Orange Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apex | Apex | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Apex | |
| Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | Apex Friendship | ||
| Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | Ardrey Kell | ||
| Arendell Parrott Aca | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Asheville HS | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Asheville School | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Ashley | Ashley | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 0) | Ashley | |
| Athens Drive | Athens Drive | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | Athens Drive | |
| Atkins | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Ballantyne Ridge | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Bishop McGuinness | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Bradford Prep | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Broughton | Broughton | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Broughton | |
| Butler | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Cannon School | Cannon School | Cannon School | ||
| Cape Fear Academy | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Cape Fear HS | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | Cardinal Gibbons | ||
| Carrboro | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Cary Academy | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Cary Christian | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Cary HS | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Cedar Ridge | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Chapel Hill | Chapel Hill | insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 3) | Chapel Hill | |
| Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | Charlotte Catholic | ||
| Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | Charlotte CDS | ||
| Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | Charlotte Christian | ||
| Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | Charlotte Latin | ||
| Christ School | Christ School | Christ School | ||
| Christ The King | Christ The King | Christ The King | ||
| Clayton | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Cleveland | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | Community School-Dav | ||
| Corinth Holders | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Cornerstone Charter | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Croatan | Croatan | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 1) | Croatan | |
| Cuthbertson | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Davie | Davie | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Davie | |
| DH Conley | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Durham Academy | Durham Academy | insuffient: ( 0- 0)( 1- 0) | Durham Academy | |
| East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | East Chapel Hill | ||
| East Forsyth | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Eastern Alamance | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Eastern Guilford | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Enloe | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Fike | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| First Flight | First Flight | First Flight | ||
| Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | Forsyth Country Day | ||
| Fuquay-Varina | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Garner | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Glenn | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Grays Creek | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Green Hope | Green Hope | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 1) | Green Hope | |
| Green Level | Green Level | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Green Level | |
| Greensboro Day | Greensboro Day | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Greensboro Day | |
| Grimsley | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange 3- 0 vs 0- 4 | ||
| Havelock | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Heritage | Heritage | Heritage 2- 0 vs 0- 1 | ||
| Hickory | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| High Point Central | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Hoggard | Hoggard | Hoggard | ||
| Holly Springs | Holly Springs | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Holly Springs | |
| Hough | Hough | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hough | |
| Hunt | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Independence | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Jack Britt | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Jacksonville | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| JF Webb | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| JH Rose | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| John Paul II Catholi | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Jordan | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 3- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | Lake Norman Charter | ||
| Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | Lake Norman HS | ||
| Laney | Laney | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Laney | |
| Leesville Road | Leesville Road | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) | Leesville Road | |
| Lincoln Charter | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | Marvin Ridge | ||
| Middle Creek | Middle Creek | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Middle Creek | |
| Millbrook | Millbrook | Millbrook | ||
| Mooresville | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Mount Tabor | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Mountain Island Char | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Myers Park | Myers Park | Myers Park | ||
| New Bern | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| New Hanover | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| North Brunswick | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| North Davidson | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| North Lincoln | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| North Raleigh Christ | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Northern Durham | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 3) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Northern Guilford | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Northside | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Northwest Guilford | Northwest Guilford | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northwest Guilford | |
| Northwood | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Page | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Panther Creek | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Parkwood | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Patton Morganton | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Pine Forest | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Pine Lake Prep | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Pinecrest | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Porter Ridge | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Providence | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Providence Day | Providence Day | Providence Day | ||
| Queens Grant | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | Rabun Gap-Nocoochee | ||
| Ragsdale | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Ravenscroft School | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Reagan | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Riverside Durham | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| RJ Reynolds | RJ Reynolds | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 2- 0) | RJ Reynolds | |
| Rolesville | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Roxboro Community | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Sanderson | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Seaforth | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| South Brunswick | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| South Garner | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| South Iredell | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| South Mecklenburg | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| South View | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Southeast Alamance | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Southeast Guilford | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| Southern Alamance | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | Southlake Christian | ||
| Southwest Guilford | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange 2- 0 vs 0- 2 | ||
| St Davids School | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| St Stephens | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Sun Valley | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Swansboro | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| TC Roberson | TC Roberson | TC Roberson | ||
| Terry Sanford | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 3) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Topsail | Topsail | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Topsail | |
| Union Pines | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange 5- 1 vs 0- 3 | ||
| Vance Charter | Hillsborough Orange | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Voyager Academy | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange 3- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Wake Forest | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Wake Prep | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Wakefield | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 2) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Walter M Williams | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Watauga | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 0) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| Weddington | Weddington | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Weddington | |
| West Brunswick | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| West Carteret | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| West Forsyth | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Hillsborough Orange | |
| West Stokes | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Western Alamance | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange | ||
| Western Guilford | Hillsborough Orange | Hillsborough Orange 4- 0 vs 1- 3 | ||
| Willow Spring | Hillsborough Orange | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Hillsborough Orange |
PowerWise = 103
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 17.93
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Southeast Alam ( 7-17, 75.0) 18- 1 -24.89 8.92 0.27 0.69 6.34
0 H Northern Guilf ( 9- 8, 88.8) 11- 3 -11.09 22.71 -0.27 0.69 15.48
0 H Pinecrest (13- 8, 86.5) 12- 1 -13.41 20.40 -0.27 0.69 13.88
0 H Walter M Willi (11-11, 82.0) 15- 3 -17.94 15.87 -0.27 0.69 10.76
0 A Southern Alama (19- 5, 84.6) 12- 6 -15.26 18.55 0.27 0.69 12.98
0 A Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 13- 4 -18.40 15.41 0.27 0.69 10.82
0 H Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 6-11 -11.88 21.93 -0.27 0.69 -8.38
0 H Apex Friendshi (16- 7, 94.4) 7-16 -5.48 28.32 -0.27 0.69 -3.97
0 H Millbrook (16- 5, 88.5) 12-15 -11.42 22.39 -0.27 0.69 -8.07
0 H Southeast Alam ( 7-17, 75.0) 19- 0 -24.89 8.92 -0.27 0.69 5.96
0 A Walter M Willi (11-11, 82.0) 11- 6 -17.94 15.87 0.27 0.69 11.13
0 A Eastern Alaman ( 5-15, 77.3) 18- 3 -22.62 11.19 0.27 0.69 7.90
0 H Southern Alama (19- 5, 84.6) 12- 4 -15.26 18.55 -0.27 0.69 12.60
0 A Western Alaman ( 2-17, 74.0) 16- 4 -25.89 7.92 0.27 0.69 5.65
0 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 10- 8 -11.88 21.93 0.27 0.69 15.31
0 A Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 9- 5 -18.13 15.68 0.27 0.69 11.00
0 A Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 9- 6 -14.27 19.54 0.27 0.69 13.66
0 H Eastern Alaman ( 5-15, 77.3) 18- 4 -22.62 11.19 -0.27 0.69 7.53
0 A Western Alaman ( 2-17, 74.0) 18- 4 -25.89 7.92 0.27 0.69 5.65
0 H Northwood ( 8-13, 81.8) 14- 5 -18.13 15.68 -0.27 0.69 10.63
0 H Cedar Ridge (11-10, 81.5) 14- 3 -18.40 15.41 -0.27 0.69 10.44
0 H East Chapel Hi (13- 8, 88.8) 10-11 -11.10 22.71 -0.27 0.69 -7.84
0 H Riverside Durh ( 9- 8, 80.1) 8- 5 -19.75 14.06 -0.27 0.69 9.51
0 H Carrboro ( 7- 9, 85.6) 11- 7 -14.27 19.54 -0.27 0.69 13.29
0 A Seaforth (18- 3, 88.0) 10- 8 -11.88 21.93 0.27 0.69 15.31
0 A First Flight (14- 3, 90.4) 5-12 -9.50 24.31 0.27 0.69 -6.36
------
191.21
|
winning pts = 225.8366 losing points = -34.6276
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------