All ratings/rankings on this page are based on the state (not league) championships.
Conf =
GAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.6699982 home-field advantage = -0.57 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 327 A Mamaroneck (13- 7, 89.4) 11- 7 331 A Fordham Prep ( 8-10, 80.1) 16- 3 403 H Connetquot (12- 5, 85.7) 21- 3 405 H Riverhead ( 6-10, 76.0) 18- 4 408 A South Fork Unified ( 8- 8, 76.2) 19- 5 410 A Longwood ( 5-11, 78.6) 20- 2 414 H Lindenhurst ( 9- 8, 80.6) 24-12 416 H Ward Melville ( 8-10, 85.1) 27- 7 422 A Sachem East ( 7- 9, 78.6) 19- 9 428 A Smithtown East (11- 7, 87.8) 17-11 430 H Northport (16- 3, 93.7) 16-14 502 A Sachem North (13- 5, 87.3) 21- 8 508 H William Floyd (10- 7, 81.0) 21- 6 510 H Commack (10- 8, 84.1) 21- 7 513 A Huntington (14- 4, 90.4) 12- 7 515 A Bay Shore ( 6-10, 80.2) 18- 7 522 H Ward Melville ( 8-10, 85.1) 19- 5 527 H Smithtown East (11- 7, 87.8) 20- 9 531 N Northport (16- 3, 93.7) 18- 9 604 N Massapequa (15- 5, 89.6) 15-14 607 N Mamaroneck (13- 7, 89.4) 11- 7 611 N Corning (13- 5, 81.6) 18- 8 614 N West Genesee (21- 1, 91.7) 15-10
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 327 A Mamaroneck 11- 7 4 5 -1.72 331 A Fordham Prep 16- 3 13 14 0.00 403 H Connetquot 21- 3 18 10 0.00 405 H Riverhead 18- 4 14 20 0.00 408 A South Fork Unified 19- 5 14 18 0.00 410 A Longwood 20- 2 18 16 0.00 414 H Lindenhurst 24-12 12 15 0.00 416 H Ward Melville 27- 7 20 11 0.00 422 A Sachem East 19- 9 10 16 0.00 428 A Smithtown East 17-11 6 7 -1.00 430 H Northport 16-14 2 2 -0.52 502 A Sachem North 21- 8 13 7 0.00 508 H William Floyd 21- 6 15 15 0.00 510 H Commack 21- 7 14 12 0.00 513 A Huntington 12- 7 5 4 0.35 515 A Bay Shore 18- 7 11 14 0.00 522 H Ward Melville 19- 5 14 11 0.00 527 H Smithtown East 20- 9 11 8 0.00 531 N Northport 18- 9 9 1 ++ 5.05 604 N Massapequa 15-14 1 6 -- -5.10 607 N Mamaroneck 11- 7 4 6 - -2.29 611 N Corning 18- 8 10 14 0.00 614 N West Genesee 15-10 5 3 1.05UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 604 N Massapequa 15-14 1 6 -- -5.10 607 N Mamaroneck 11- 7 4 6 - -2.29OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 531 N Northport 18- 9 9 1 ++ 5.05
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 95.67 Power Rank................. 3 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 66.98 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 21 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7576 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 3 RPI Rating............... .7277 RPI Rank................... 4 Champ. Probability ...... 4.0 Championship Rank ......... 4 Selection sum ........... 8 Selection Rank ............ 1 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 185. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 2 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 195. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 1 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 18.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 7.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 23- 0 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 10.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 5.5 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 5.3 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 7- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 4.3 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 6.3