---    UPDATED: 07-28-25 23:54 PDT

safe3step boys Henry Clay 1
  
Henry Clay            
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 87.4738

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 308 A Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 9-10 311 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 7-17 314 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 16- 4 319 H Covington Catholic ( 6- 9, 81.5) 11- 0 320 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 14- 0 324 A Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 18- 0 327 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 11-10 330 A South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 14- 3 401 A Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 15- 3 417 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 8- 7 423 H Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 10- 6 424 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 8- 6 429 H Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 12-13 430 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 15- 6 507 A Kentucky Country Day ( 8- 7, 88.3) 9- 8 510 N Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 8- 6 512 N Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 2-10 514 A Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 5-17

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   308 A Lexington Christian     9-10      -1     1    -     -2.06
   311 A Ballard Louisville      7-17     -10     0    --    -5.21
   314 A Cooper                 16- 4      12     8           0.00
   319 H Covington Catholic     11- 0      11     7           0.00
   320 A Great Crossing         14- 0      14     9           0.00
   324 A Scott County           18- 0      18    14           0.00
   327 H Lexington Catholic     11-10       1     1           0.38
   330 A South Warren           14- 3      11     3           1.97
   401 A Bryan Station          15- 3      12    14           0.00
   417 A North Oldham            8- 7       1     2          -1.20
   423 H Sayre                  10- 6       4     1    +      3.17
   424 A Dixie Heights           8- 6       2     2          -0.18
   429 H Frederick Douglass     12-13      -1    -2           0.92
   430 H Tates Creek            15- 6       9     9           0.00
   507 A Kentucky Country Day    9- 8       1    -2    +      2.61
   510 N Sayre                   8- 6       2     0           1.92
   512 N Frederick Douglass      2-10      -8    -3    -     -2.33
   514 A Woodford County         5-17     -12    -8           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 A Ballard Louisville      7-17     -10     0    --    -5.21
   308 A Lexington Christian     9-10      -1     1    -     -2.06
   512 N Frederick Douglass      2-10      -8    -3    -     -2.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Sayre                  10- 6       4     1    +      3.17
   507 A Kentucky Country Day    9- 8       1    -2    +      2.61

Henry Clay Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Anderson County Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Atherton Henry Clay tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Henry Clay
Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville Ballard Louisville  
Bluegrass Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Bowling Green Henry Clay tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Henry Clay
Bryan Station Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Central Hardin Henry Clay insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Henry Clay
Christian Academy-Lo Henry Clay insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) Henry Clay
Collins Henry Clay Henry Clay   4- 1 vs 1- 4
Cooper Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Covington Catholic Henry Clay Henry Clay  
DeSales Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
Dixie Heights Henry Clay Henry Clay  
DuPont Manual Henry Clay Henry Clay   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Eastern Henry Clay tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) Henry Clay
Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass Frederick Douglass  
Great Crossing Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Greenwood Henry Clay insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Henry Clay
Kentucky Country Day Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Lafayette Henry Clay Henry Clay   7- 2 vs 5- 4
Lexington Catholic Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Lexington Christian Lexington Christian Lexington Christian  
Louisville Collegiat Henry Clay Henry Clay   5- 1 vs 2- 4
Male Henry Clay tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Henry Clay
North Hardin Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
North Oldham Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Oldham County Henry Clay insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Henry Clay
Owensboro Henry Clay   Henry Clay
Paul Laurence Dunbar Henry Clay Henry Clay   6- 3 vs 4- 5
Ryle Henry Clay Henry Clay   8- 3 vs 4- 7
Sayre Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Scott County Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Shelby County Henry Clay Henry Clay   4- 0 vs 1- 3
South Oldham South Oldham South Oldham   4- 0 vs 2- 2
South Warren Henry Clay Henry Clay  
St Henry Henry Clay Henry Clay   4- 0 vs 0- 4
St Xavier Louisville St Xavier Louisville tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) St Xavier Louisville
Tates Creek Henry Clay Henry Clay  
Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville Trinity Louisville   5- 0 vs 3- 2
Walton-Verona Henry Clay Henry Clay   7- 0 vs 1- 6
Woodford County Woodford County Woodford County  

PowerWise = 34


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 A Lexington Chri  (10- 6, 85.7)     9-10      -14.24      17.75       0.75         0.76           -10.20
   0 A Ballard Louisv  (10- 6, 86.5)     7-17      -13.39      18.60       0.75         0.76            -9.56
   0 A Cooper          ( 6- 8, 78.7)    16- 4      -21.17      10.81       0.75         0.76             8.75
   0 H Covington Cath  ( 6- 9, 81.5)    11- 0      -18.44      13.54      -0.75         0.76             9.68
   0 A Great Crossing  ( 8-10, 78.0)    14- 0      -21.94      10.05       0.75         0.76             8.17
   0 A Scott County    ( 2-14, 72.5)    18- 0      -27.44       4.54       0.75         0.76             4.01
   0 H Lexington Cath  (10- 7, 87.6)    11-10      -12.29      19.69      -0.75         0.76            14.33
   0 A South Warren    ( 7- 5, 83.7)    14- 3      -16.21      15.78       0.75         0.76            12.51
   0 A Bryan Station   ( 1-13, 73.1)    15- 3      -26.81       5.18       0.75         0.76             4.49
   0 A North Oldham    ( 9-10, 84.5)     8- 7      -15.38      16.60       0.75         0.76            13.13
   0 H Sayre           (11- 5, 87.4)    10- 6      -12.50      19.48      -0.75         0.76            14.17
   0 A Dixie Heights   (12- 5, 84.5)     8- 6      -15.35      16.63       0.75         0.76            13.15
   0 H Frederick Doug  (15- 3, 90.1)    12-13       -9.75      22.23      -0.75         0.76            -7.95
   0 H Tates Creek     ( 3-13, 79.2)    15- 6      -20.74      11.24      -0.75         0.76             7.94
   0 A Kentucky Count  ( 8- 7, 88.3)     9- 8      -11.57      20.42       0.75         0.76            16.02
   0 N Sayre           (11- 5, 87.4)     8- 6      -12.50      19.48      -0.00         0.76            14.74
   0 N Frederick Doug  (15- 3, 90.1)     2-10       -9.75      22.23      -0.00         0.76            -7.38
   0 A Woodford Count  (14- 3, 94.6)     5-17       -5.27      26.71       0.75         0.76            -3.42
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       102.56

winning pts = 141.0753 losing points = -38.5131

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------