Henry Clay
W-L: (13- 5) PR = 87.4738
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
308 A Lexington Christian (10- 6, 85.7) 9-10
311 A Ballard Louisville (10- 6, 86.5) 7-17
314 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 16- 4
319 H Covington Catholic ( 6- 9, 81.5) 11- 0
320 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 14- 0
324 A Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 18- 0
327 H Lexington Catholic (10- 7, 87.6) 11-10
330 A South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 14- 3
401 A Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 15- 3
417 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 8- 7
423 H Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 10- 6
424 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 8- 6
429 H Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 12-13
430 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 15- 6
507 A Kentucky Country Day ( 8- 7, 88.3) 9- 8
510 N Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 8- 6
512 N Frederick Douglass (15- 3, 90.1) 2-10
514 A Woodford County (14- 3, 94.6) 5-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
308 A Lexington Christian 9-10 -1 1 - -2.06
311 A Ballard Louisville 7-17 -10 0 -- -5.21
314 A Cooper 16- 4 12 8 0.00
319 H Covington Catholic 11- 0 11 7 0.00
320 A Great Crossing 14- 0 14 9 0.00
324 A Scott County 18- 0 18 14 0.00
327 H Lexington Catholic 11-10 1 1 0.38
330 A South Warren 14- 3 11 3 1.97
401 A Bryan Station 15- 3 12 14 0.00
417 A North Oldham 8- 7 1 2 -1.20
423 H Sayre 10- 6 4 1 + 3.17
424 A Dixie Heights 8- 6 2 2 -0.18
429 H Frederick Douglass 12-13 -1 -2 0.92
430 H Tates Creek 15- 6 9 9 0.00
507 A Kentucky Country Day 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.61
510 N Sayre 8- 6 2 0 1.92
512 N Frederick Douglass 2-10 -8 -3 - -2.33
514 A Woodford County 5-17 -12 -8 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
311 A Ballard Louisville 7-17 -10 0 -- -5.21
308 A Lexington Christian 9-10 -1 1 - -2.06
512 N Frederick Douglass 2-10 -8 -3 - -2.33
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
423 H Sayre 10- 6 4 1 + 3.17
507 A Kentucky Country Day 9- 8 1 -2 + 2.61
|
Henry Clay Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Anderson County |
Henry Clay |
|
 
| Henry Clay |
Atherton |
Henry Clay |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Henry Clay |
Ballard Louisville |
Ballard Louisville |
Ballard Louisville |
 
| |
Bluegrass |
Henry Clay |
|
 
| Henry Clay |
Bowling Green |
Henry Clay |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Henry Clay |
Bryan Station |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Central Hardin |
Henry Clay |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Henry Clay |
Christian Academy-Lo |
Henry Clay |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 2)( 1- 3) |
Henry Clay |
Collins |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   4- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Cooper |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Covington Catholic |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
DeSales |
Henry Clay |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Henry Clay |
Dixie Heights |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
DuPont Manual |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Eastern |
Henry Clay |
|
tied - ( 4- 2) ( 4- 2) |
Henry Clay |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
Frederick Douglass |
 
| |
Great Crossing |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Greenwood |
Henry Clay |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Henry Clay |
Kentucky Country Day |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Lafayette |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   7- 2 vs 5- 4 |
|
Lexington Catholic |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
Lexington Christian |
 
|
Louisville Collegiat |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   5- 1 vs 2- 4 |
|
Male |
Henry Clay |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Henry Clay |
North Hardin |
Henry Clay |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Henry Clay |
North Oldham |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Oldham County |
Henry Clay |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Henry Clay |
Owensboro |
Henry Clay |
|
 
| Henry Clay |
Paul Laurence Dunbar |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   6- 3 vs 4- 5 |
|
Ryle |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   8- 3 vs 4- 7 |
|
Sayre |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Scott County |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Shelby County |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   4- 0 vs 1- 3 |
|
South Oldham |
South Oldham |
|
South Oldham   4- 0 vs 2- 2 |
|
South Warren |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
St Henry |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   4- 0 vs 0- 4 |
|
St Xavier Louisville |
St Xavier Louisville |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
St Xavier Louisville |
Tates Creek |
Henry Clay |
Henry Clay |
 
| |
Trinity Louisville |
Trinity Louisville |
|
Trinity Louisville   5- 0 vs 3- 2 |
|
Walton-Verona |
Henry Clay |
|
Henry Clay   7- 0 vs 1- 6 |
|
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
Woodford County |
 
| |
PowerWise = 34

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 13.62
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Lexington Chri (10- 6, 85.7) 9-10 -14.24 17.75 0.75 0.76 -10.20
0 A Ballard Louisv (10- 6, 86.5) 7-17 -13.39 18.60 0.75 0.76 -9.56
0 A Cooper ( 6- 8, 78.7) 16- 4 -21.17 10.81 0.75 0.76 8.75
0 H Covington Cath ( 6- 9, 81.5) 11- 0 -18.44 13.54 -0.75 0.76 9.68
0 A Great Crossing ( 8-10, 78.0) 14- 0 -21.94 10.05 0.75 0.76 8.17
0 A Scott County ( 2-14, 72.5) 18- 0 -27.44 4.54 0.75 0.76 4.01
0 H Lexington Cath (10- 7, 87.6) 11-10 -12.29 19.69 -0.75 0.76 14.33
0 A South Warren ( 7- 5, 83.7) 14- 3 -16.21 15.78 0.75 0.76 12.51
0 A Bryan Station ( 1-13, 73.1) 15- 3 -26.81 5.18 0.75 0.76 4.49
0 A North Oldham ( 9-10, 84.5) 8- 7 -15.38 16.60 0.75 0.76 13.13
0 H Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 10- 6 -12.50 19.48 -0.75 0.76 14.17
0 A Dixie Heights (12- 5, 84.5) 8- 6 -15.35 16.63 0.75 0.76 13.15
0 H Frederick Doug (15- 3, 90.1) 12-13 -9.75 22.23 -0.75 0.76 -7.95
0 H Tates Creek ( 3-13, 79.2) 15- 6 -20.74 11.24 -0.75 0.76 7.94
0 A Kentucky Count ( 8- 7, 88.3) 9- 8 -11.57 20.42 0.75 0.76 16.02
0 N Sayre (11- 5, 87.4) 8- 6 -12.50 19.48 -0.00 0.76 14.74
0 N Frederick Doug (15- 3, 90.1) 2-10 -9.75 22.23 -0.00 0.76 -7.38
0 A Woodford Count (14- 3, 94.6) 5-17 -5.27 26.71 0.75 0.76 -3.42
------
102.56
|
winning pts = 141.0753 losing points = -38.5131
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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