Helena East
W-L: (11- 3) PR = 98.2429Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 405 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 20- 0 405 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 18- 6 412 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 18- 4 412 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 17- 4 417 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 16- 2 419 H Northwest Black (12- 3, 98.8) 9-12 419 H Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 18- 1 425 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 21- 3 503 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 3- 6 503 A Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 16- 1 506 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 22- 0 509 A Billings Beartooth (11- 4, 97.1) 17- 7 517 H Northwest Green ( 5- 7, 92.9) 22- 4 517 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 7-12
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
405 A Great Falls 20- 0 20 5 0.36
405 H Missoula Wild 18- 6 12 3 1.83
412 H Cody 18- 4 14 8 0.00
412 A Sheridan 17- 4 13 10 0.00
417 H Helena West 16- 2 14 5 0.06
419 H Northwest Black 9-12 -3 0 - -2.70
419 H Northwest Green 18- 1 17 6 0.00
425 A Great Falls 21- 3 18 5 0.36
503 A Bozeman Black 3- 6 -3 -2 -1.07
503 A Cody 16- 1 15 8 0.00
506 H Helena West 22- 0 22 5 0.06
509 A Billings Beartooth 17- 7 10 1 ++ 4.17
517 H Northwest Green 22- 4 18 6 0.00
517 A Bozeman Black 7-12 -5 -2 - -3.07
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 419 H Northwest Black 9-12 -3 0 - -2.70 517 A Bozeman Black 7-12 -5 -2 - -3.07 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 509 A Billings Beartooth 17- 7 10 1 ++ 4.17 |
Helena East Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billings Beartooth | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | Bozeman Black | ||
| Bozeman White | Helena East | Helena East 7- 2 vs 3- 6 | ||
| Cody | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Great Falls | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Helena West | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Missoula Wild | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Northwest Black | Northwest Black | Northwest Black | ||
| Northwest Green | Helena East | Helena East | ||
| Sheridan | Helena East | Helena East |
PowerWise = 8
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 13.45
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 20- 0 -6.56 6.99 0.27 0.96 6.98
0 H Missoula Wild ( 7- 6, 95.3) 18- 6 -4.55 9.00 -0.27 0.96 8.39
0 H Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 18- 4 -9.51 4.05 -0.27 0.96 3.63
0 A Sheridan ( 0-13, 87.8) 17- 4 -12.15 1.41 0.27 0.96 1.61
0 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 16- 2 -6.33 7.23 -0.27 0.96 6.69
0 H Northwest Blac (12- 3, 98.8) 9-12 -1.09 12.47 -0.27 0.96 -1.31
0 H Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 18- 1 -6.96 6.59 -0.27 0.96 6.08
0 A Great Falls ( 4-10, 93.3) 21- 3 -6.56 6.99 0.27 0.96 6.98
0 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 3- 6 -0.00 13.56 0.27 0.96 -0.26
0 A Cody ( 2-10, 90.4) 16- 1 -9.51 4.05 0.27 0.96 4.15
0 H Helena West ( 5-10, 93.6) 22- 0 -6.33 7.23 -0.27 0.96 6.69
0 A Billings Beart (11- 4, 97.1) 17- 7 -2.76 10.80 0.27 0.96 10.63
0 H Northwest Gree ( 5- 7, 92.9) 22- 4 -6.96 6.59 -0.27 0.96 6.08
0 A Bozeman Black (13- 0, 99.9) 7-12 -0.00 13.56 0.27 0.96 -0.26
------
66.09
|
winning pts = 67.9194 losing points = -1.8279
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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