Havre De Grace
W-L: ( 9- 6) PR = 81.1363Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 321 A Rising Sun ( 9- 4, 81.4) 12-11 325 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 13-14 326 H Bel Air ( 8- 6, 85.0) 4-16 331 H Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 13- 9 402 A Eastern Tech ( 9- 4, 81.6) 7-14 407 H Elkton ( 3-10, 74.8) 12- 3 411 A CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 4-18 422 H Perryville ( 3- 8, 77.6) 22-12 424 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 14-15 425 H Edgewood ( 2-11, 70.4) 20- 2 430 H Aberdeen ( 7- 8, 78.1) 13-12 502 A Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 14-11 507 H Dunbar ( 2- 8, 68.3) 18- 0 509 A Academy for College ( 6- 3, 76.9) 14-11 512 A Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 5-20
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
321 A Rising Sun 12-11 1 -1 1.69
325 A North Harford 13-14 -1 -3 + 2.42
326 H Bel Air 4-16 -12 -3 -1.61
331 H Harford Tech 13- 9 4 3 1.30
402 A Eastern Tech 7-14 -7 -1 -- -4.11
407 H Elkton 12- 3 9 7 0.00
411 A CM Wright 4-18 -14 -8 0.00
422 H Perryville 22-12 10 4 0.97
424 H Patterson Mill 14-15 -1 0 -1.13
425 H Edgewood 20- 2 18 11 0.00
430 H Aberdeen 13-12 1 4 - -2.53
502 A Patterson Mill 14-11 3 -1 + 3.76
507 H Dunbar 18- 0 18 13 0.00
509 A Academy for College 14-11 3 4 -0.84
512 A Fallston 5-20 -15 -10 0.00
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 402 A Eastern Tech 7-14 -7 -1 -- -4.11 430 H Aberdeen 13-12 1 4 - -2.53 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A North Harford 13-14 -1 -3 + 2.42 502 A Patterson Mill 14-11 3 -1 + 3.76 |
Havre De Grace Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
| Opponent | Who Gets the Point? | Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | Annapolis Area Chris | ||
| Archbishop Curley | Archbishop Curley | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Archbishop Curley | |
| Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | Archbishop Spalding | ||
| Beth TFiloh | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Bishop McNamara | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Boys Latin | Boys Latin | Boys Latin | ||
| Bullis | Bullis | Bullis | ||
| Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | Calvert Hall | ||
| Chapelgate Christian | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | Concordia Prep | ||
| Cristo Rey Jesuit | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| DeMatha | DeMatha | DeMatha | ||
| FCA LC | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Friends | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Garrett County LC | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Georgetown Day | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | Georgetown Prep | ||
| Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | Gerstell Academy | ||
| Gilman | Gilman | Gilman | ||
| Glenelg Country | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Gonzaga | Gonzaga | Gonzaga | ||
| Good Counsel | Good Counsel | Good Counsel | ||
| Gunston School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Heights | Heights | Heights | ||
| Indian Creek School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Jemicy School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| John Carroll | John Carroll | John Carroll | ||
| Key School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Landon | Landon | Landon | ||
| Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | Loyola-Blakefield | ||
| Maret | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| McDonogh | McDonogh | McDonogh | ||
| Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | Mercersburg Academy | ||
| Mount Carmel | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | Mount St Joseph | ||
| Park School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Salisbury School | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Sandy Spring Friends | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Severn School | Severn School | Severn School | ||
| Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | Sidwell Friends | ||
| St Albans | St Albans | St Albans | ||
| St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | St Andrews Episcopal | ||
| St James | St James | St James | ||
| St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | St Johns Catholic Pr | ||
| St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | St Johns College HS | ||
| St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | St Marys Annapolis | ||
| St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | St Marys Ryken | ||
| St Pauls | St Pauls | St Pauls | ||
| St Vincent Pallotti | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | Sts Peter & Paul | ||
| Tome School | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | Worcester Prep | ||
| Aberdeen | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Academy for College | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Annapolis | Annapolis | Annapolis | ||
| Arundel | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Atholton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Baltimore Polytechni | Baltimore Polytechni | tied - ( 3- 1) ( 3- 1) | Baltimore Polytechni | |
| Bel Air | Bel Air | Bel Air | ||
| Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | Bethesda-Chevy Chase | ||
| Bladensburg | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Blair | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Blake | Blake | Blake | ||
| Bohemia Manor | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Boonsboro | Boonsboro | Boonsboro | ||
| Bowie | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Broadneck | Broadneck | Broadneck | ||
| Brunswick | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Calvert | Calvert | Calvert | ||
| Cambridge SD | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Carver A&T | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Catoctin | Catoctin | Catoctin | ||
| Catonsville | Catonsville | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Catonsville | |
| Centennial | Centennial | Centennial | ||
| Century | Century | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Century | |
| CH Flowers | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | Chesapeake AA | ||
| Chesapeake BC | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Chopticon | Chopticon | Chopticon | ||
| City College | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 2) | Havre De Grace | |
| Clarksburg | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| CM Wright | CM Wright | CM Wright | ||
| Crofton | Crofton | Crofton | ||
| Damascus | Damascus | Damascus | ||
| Digital Harbor | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace 3- 0 vs 1- 2 | ||
| Dr Henry Wise | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Dulaney | Dulaney | insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 0) | Dulaney | |
| Dunbar | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Dundalk | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| DuVal | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | Eastern Tech | ||
| Easton | Easton | Easton | ||
| Edgewood | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Edmondson-Westside | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Einstein | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Eleanor Roosevelt | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Elkton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Fairmont Heights | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Fallston | Fallston | Fallston | ||
| Forest Park | Forest Park | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Forest Park | |
| Francis Scott Key | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Franklin | Franklin | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Franklin | |
| Frederick | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Frederick Douglass B | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Frederick Douglass P | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Friendly | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Gaithersburg | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Glen Burnie | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Havre De Grace | |
| Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | Glenelg HS | ||
| Gov Thomas Johnson | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Great Mills | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Guilford Park | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Gwynn Park | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hammond | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Harford Tech | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Hereford | Hereford | insuffient: ( 0- 2)( 1- 1) | Hereford | |
| High Point | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Howard | Howard | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Howard | |
| Huntingtown | Huntingtown | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Huntingtown | |
| JM Bennett | JM Bennett | JM Bennett | ||
| Joppatowne | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace 5- 3 vs 0- 7 | ||
| Kennedy | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Kent County | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Havre De Grace | |
| Kent Island | Kent Island | Kent Island | ||
| Kenwood | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Havre De Grace | |
| La Plata | La Plata | La Plata | ||
| Lackey | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Lake Clifton | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Lansdowne | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Laurel | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Leonardtown | Leonardtown | Leonardtown | ||
| Liberty | Liberty | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Liberty | |
| Linganore | Linganore | Linganore | ||
| Loch Raven | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Long Reach | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Magruder | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | Manchester Valley | ||
| Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | Marriotts Ridge | ||
| Meade | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Mergenthaler | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Middletown | Middletown | insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 2- 0) | Middletown | |
| Milford Mill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| MJ McDonough | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | Mount Hebron | ||
| National Academy Fou | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| New Town | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| North Caroline | North Caroline | North Caroline | ||
| North County | North County | North County | ||
| North Dorchester | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| North East Cecil | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace 6- 1 vs 3- 4 | ||
| North Hagerstown | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| North Harford | North Harford | North Harford | ||
| North Point | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Northeast AA | Northeast AA | tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) | Northeast AA | |
| Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | Northern Calvert | ||
| Northwest | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Northwestern PG | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Northwood | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Oakdale | Oakdale | Oakdale | ||
| Oakland Mills | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Old Mill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Overlea | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Owings Mills | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Oxon Hill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Paint Branch | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Parkdale | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Parkside | Parkside | Parkside | ||
| Parkville | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Patapsco | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 2) ( 0- 2) | Havre De Grace | |
| Patterson HS | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Patterson Mill | Patterson Mill | tied - ( 3- 4) ( 3- 4) | Patterson Mill | |
| Patuxent | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Perry Hall | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Perryville | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Pikesville | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Poolesville | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | Queen Annes County | ||
| Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | Quince Orchard | ||
| Randallstown | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Reginald F Lewis | Havre De Grace | insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Reservoir | Reservoir | Reservoir | ||
| Richard Montgomery | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Rising Sun | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| River Hill | River Hill | River Hill | ||
| Rockville | Rockville | Rockville | ||
| Seneca Valley | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Severn Run | Havre De Grace | tied - ( 0- 1) ( 0- 1) | Havre De Grace | |
| Severna Park | Severna Park | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Severna Park | |
| Sherwood | Sherwood | Sherwood | ||
| Smithsburg | Smithsburg | Smithsburg | ||
| South Carroll | South Carroll | South Carroll | ||
| South Hagerstown | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| South River | South River | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | South River | |
| Southern AA | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Sparrows Point | Sparrows Point | insuffient: ( 1- 3)( 2- 2) | Sparrows Point | |
| Springbrook | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| St Charles | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | Stephen Decatur | ||
| Suitland | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Surrattsville | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Thomas Stone | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Towson | Towson | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Towson | |
| Tuscarora | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Urbana | Urbana | insuffient: ( 0- 1)( 1- 0) | Urbana | |
| Walkersville | Walkersville | Walkersville | ||
| Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | Walt Whitman | ||
| Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | Walter Johnson | ||
| Watkins Mill | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Western STES | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Westlake | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Westminster | Westminster | Westminster | ||
| Wheaton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Wicomico | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Wilde Lake | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | Winston Churchill | ||
| Winters Mill | Winters Mill | tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 0) | Winters Mill | |
| Woodlawn | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Wootton | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Archbishop Carroll | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| DC International PCS | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace | ||
| Jackson Reed | Havre De Grace | Havre De Grace |
PowerWise = 124
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.14
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 A Rising Sun ( 9- 4, 81.4) 12-11 -18.52 17.07 0.45 0.81 14.17
0 A North Harford ( 9- 5, 84.1) 13-14 -15.79 19.81 0.45 0.81 -12.41
0 H Bel Air ( 8- 6, 85.0) 4-16 -14.92 20.67 -0.45 0.81 -12.43
0 H Harford Tech ( 4- 9, 78.9) 13- 9 -21.02 14.57 -0.45 0.81 11.43
0 A Eastern Tech ( 9- 4, 81.6) 7-14 -18.32 17.27 0.45 0.81 -14.46
0 H Elkton ( 3-10, 74.8) 12- 3 -25.14 10.45 -0.45 0.81 8.09
0 A CM Wright (11- 5, 88.8) 4-18 -11.14 24.45 0.45 0.81 -8.65
0 H Perryville ( 3- 8, 77.6) 22-12 -22.34 13.25 -0.45 0.81 10.36
0 H Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 14-15 -18.45 17.15 -0.45 0.81 -15.29
0 H Edgewood ( 2-11, 70.4) 20- 2 -29.48 6.11 -0.45 0.81 4.59
0 H Aberdeen ( 7- 8, 78.1) 13-12 -21.85 13.74 -0.45 0.81 10.76
0 A Patterson Mill ( 7- 9, 81.5) 14-11 -18.45 17.15 0.45 0.81 14.23
0 H Dunbar ( 2- 8, 68.3) 18- 0 -31.63 3.96 -0.45 0.81 2.84
0 A Academy for Co ( 6- 3, 76.9) 14-11 -23.04 12.55 0.45 0.81 10.51
0 A Fallston (18- 3, 90.8) 5-20 -9.06 26.53 0.45 0.81 -6.97
------
16.77
|
winning pts = 86.9861 losing points = -70.2156
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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